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-   -   Laying no.1 (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=12266)

Pugnosis 13th January 2006 03:52 PM

The price for My Honor was a bit much however never looked like winning. Gallery Hawk losing at $2.20 on betfair was a great result. The system going by Herald Sun form also throws up Rockhampton R6 No.1 Mersey Beat currently about $1.90 on betfair.

Pugnosis 13th January 2006 05:35 PM

Well that was one of the easiest wins you will see in a while. Laid it at $1.88 and my money was gone as soon as it got its easy lead. A mate of mine always has a theory that if a horse is leading and the jockey looks behind then it is home. Reckons he has never seen a horse lose when the jockey does this. Mersey Beat's jockey looked around about 400m out!

michaelg 13th January 2006 07:00 PM

Hi, Pugnosis. The reason I omitted Mersy Beat from the system was because it was not the pre-post fave. Maybe according to its form it should not have started fave, maybe only its trainer/owner knew something the market didn't and plunged on it bringing it in to favouritism???

Hope you won on the day.

michaelg 14th January 2006 08:14 AM

Over the past seven days there has been 14 selections for 13 successes, the only loser paying $1.70. The previous 18 selections had 3 winners paying a total of $9.30 so I think we're currently going through a purple patch - it can't last.

Two selections today:
Kembla R4 - Warring ($2.80)
Werribee R8 - Spinney ($3.00)

Non-Topweight System. Five selections:
Vic Park R3 no.4 - Exalted Time ($3.20)
Vic Park R8 no.3 - Intoxicating Ring ($3.50)
Wagga R7 no.2 - Bronze Aussie ($2.20)
Werribee R7 no.2 - Octrivia ($2.80)
Ipswich R2 no.2 - Charlie Gun ($3.20)

michaelg 15th January 2006 10:25 AM

From the two selections of the No.1 system there was one winner paying $2.00. And from the non-topweight system there was also one winner of $2.80 from the five selections.

Today's selections for the No.1 System are:
Kyneton R8 - Dark Lord ($2.80)
Strathalbyn R2 - Gerinejay Lad ($2.35)

Also two selections for the non-topweight system.
Kyneton R1 no.4 - Beach Dance ($1.70)
Warranambool R8 no.2 - Count Lago ($3.20)

michaelg 16th January 2006 09:57 AM

Not a good day yesterday. One winner of $3.00 from the two selections. And with the non-topweight system there was also one winner of $1.60 from the two selections.

Two selections today:
Wellington R8 - Crafty Poet ($2.10)
Wellington R9 - Chief Resident ($3.20)

No selections for the non-topweight system.

michaelg 17th January 2006 09:50 AM

Yesterday both selections were beaten.

One selection today:
Echuca R9 - Norhave ($3.00)

No selections for the non-topweight system.

michaelg 18th January 2006 10:23 AM

Yesterday's selection won, paying $2.00 - a losing day.

One selection today:
Mt Barker R7 - Royalistic ($3.00)

Non-Topweight System. Six selections:
Cranbourne R7 no.3 - Mahr ($2.50)
Mt Barker R3 no.2 - Moondance Magic ($4.00)
Gawler R1 no.2 - Cazza's Lottery ($2.50)
Gawler R4 no.2 - Tresillian ($2.20)
Ipswich R4 no.4 - Framboise ($3.00)
Ipswich R8 no.4 - Ming Gold ($3.50).

michaelg 19th January 2006 10:23 AM

A losing day yesterday. Class 1 races have been the culprit, maybe because they are only one step away from Maidens.

Omitting Class 1 races, the results from 01/01/06 have been:
33 selections for 5 winners totalling $11.90. Not bad. It would appear that if the fave in Class 2 or higher races has not won at the distance, track, etc, it may not be a good bet particulary if it is under $4 pre-post. So from today I'll exclude Class 1 races and not differentiate the topweight from the other TAB numbers, and hope...

Two selections today:
Pinjarra R7 no.2 - Sir Chalmers ($3.50)
Pinjarra R8 no.1 - Silver Ambush ($3.50)

michaelg 20th January 2006 09:54 AM

One winner of $2.10 from yesterday's two selections - not a good day.

Six selections today:
Queanbeyan R6 no.6 - Private Dan ($3.50)
Gunnedah R6 no.2 - Catfight ($2.80)
Gunnedah R7 no.3 - Top Beat ($2.80)
Flemington R2 no.3 - Pompeii Ruler ($3.00)
Flemington R6 no.2 - Point Of Call ($3.00)
Benalla R7 no.2 - Skintight ($3.20)


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