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-   -   Here is an oldie that might interest. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=14565)

ubetido 14th September 2006 06:23 PM

Hi

Wesmip1

If its ok and possible i and maybe the forum would be interested any stats you may have on numbers 1 and 2

Amount of races
number of wins
average price

I once read there was little between these two numbers strike rate wise, but both had encountered long outs of 50 or more at some stage.

When i looked a bit closer some time ago many were outside market expectations in that group.

Cheers
ubetido

Chuck 14th September 2006 06:24 PM

hey wesmip, if its not too much trouble do you think you could test these for me?

Race 1000-1100m
Horse is first up

Race 1000-1100m
Horse is first up
Highest Average Prizemoney

Race 1000-1100m
Horse is first up
Won at track and distance

Race 1000-1100m
Horse is first up
Won at track and distance
Highest Average Prizemoney


thanks a lot, love the work you are doing

wesmip1 14th September 2006 11:00 PM

All,

I am back from poker ( got 13th out of 134 players so went ok ). I am pretty tired though and full of the flu so I will fire up the database tommorrow night and run through all the requests.

I still need to code up the test for partypooper too (I haven't forgot just busy).

If you want anymore test just post them.

Maybe ( and its a big maybe) if I get a chance I will download the radio tips + tipsters tips and late mail from unitab on the weekend (for the last 3 years). I will then be able to test systems that use those as critiera. NO promises at this stage though as I haven't even started the code to grab that at all.

Good Luck

darkydog2002 15th September 2006 11:12 AM

WESMIP.
 
Thanks for that.
My worry is that the selections will be too short in the betting to make a profit but here is hoping

Cheers.
darky..

wesmip1 15th September 2006 10:00 PM

Quote:
21 or 12

TOP WIN % ( minimum 33 %)

TOP AVERAGE PRIZEMONEY

Returns 86% at a 30% strike rate.


Quote:
numbers 1 and 2

Amount of races
number of wins
average price

These results are after scratchings ... Thus the number of selections is different.

Number 1:
Selections :29093
Winners : 4975 ( Strike Rate 17% )
ROT : 80%

Number 2:
Selections : 29536
Winners : 4454 ( Strike Rate 15% )
ROT : 87%

Number 3:
Selections : 29594
Winners : 3778 ( Strike Rate 13% )
ROT : 80%

Number 4:
Selections : 29635
Winners : 3504 ( Strike Rate 12% )
ROT : 82%

wesmip1 15th September 2006 10:14 PM

Quote:
Race 1000-1100m
Horse is first up

Returns 76%

Quote:
Race 1000-1100m
Horse is first up
Highest Average Prizemoney

returns 78%

Quote:
Race 1000-1100m
Horse is first up
Won at track and distance

returns 73%


Quote:
Race 1000-1100m
Horse is first up
Won at track and distance
Highest Average Prizemoney

Returns 69%

Good Luck.

blownhemi 15th September 2006 10:50 PM

So I guess we all just throw our life savings on Horse 14 in barrier 14 who has last starts of 54 and who is 3kgs lighter.......yeah :|

wesmip1 15th September 2006 10:57 PM

blownhemi,

I have posted some profitable systems in their own thread with results .. latest one was the WOW system.

Do a search you will find a few that are in profit.

Good Luck.

KaiserSoze 16th September 2006 08:07 AM

Wesmip, your contributions are invaluable indeed!

I'm not sure if this is the right place to ask, but since you're answering a few queries in this thread I was wondering if it wouldn't be too much trouble to fire up your thingamebob and give this a whirl:

(1) 10 or less starters
(2) UniTAB 100 points
(3) 54.5kg, 55kg, 55.5kg weight
(4) Good and Fast tracks only
(5) No maidens or jumps

Was just fiddling with my filters and the above showed a very interesting result. I'd like to know whether it's just an anomaly due to my selection process, a coincidence of the past 7-8 weeks since I've been tracking, or if there was maybe something there.

Cheers.

wesmip1 16th September 2006 09:20 AM

KaiserSoze,

As requested:

Quote:
(1) 10 or less starters
(2) UniTAB 100 points
(3) 54.5kg, 55kg, 55.5kg weight
(4) Good and Fast tracks only
(5) No maidens or jumps

Returns 86%.


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