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-   -   Pengo's Corner (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=17184)

lomaca 31st January 2008 11:28 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Cugat
mmmm ... the yappers. Had a neighbour with one of those. It dissappeared under weird circumstances a few days after we moved in. I remember because i was digging a vegie patch when the neighbour introduced himself to me with this query.


I hope you kept the dog!!!
waiting anxiously for a positive replay

King Cugat 31st January 2008 11:32 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
I hope you kept the dog!!!
waiting anxiously for a positive replay

ABSOLUTLEY POSITIVE!..i saved $9.99 on a bag of blood n bone for my new patch.

lomaca 31st January 2008 11:38 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Cugat
ABSOLUTLEY POSITIVE!..i saved $9.99 on a bag of blood n bone for my new patch.


Just as I thought!
A fav backer, going for $9.99 when you could have got $100.00

King Cugat 31st January 2008 11:53 PM

ah no, the money came for it. 7 other neighbours @ $50ea.
The dog and the pit & the bookies board were the same .... they both rolled in nicely :)

pengo 1st February 2008 12:46 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by pengo
System #5 v2

Late mail is radio tab first pick, showing pre post odds of 2.00-3.50 (final odds expected to be 1.5-3), field is no more than 12 runners, 3 yo+ and either a fillie, mayor or horse.

- Removed sp fav
+ Added odds
+ Increased runners from 8 to 12
+ Age has to be 3 years old or older
+ Has to be a fillie, horse or mare.


Tested it on today's results where a selection would have been made and it won 4 out of 5 times, dnp 1 out of 5. S/R 80%, need a larger sample tho.

Saying you got the lowest odds of $2.00 for a bet of 1 unit for a win, you would have finished with a profit of 3 units (returned 8 units). 60% ROI (I know I know small sample size!).


Another one for tomorrow:

System #6
8 Runners, Radio Tab tip #4, win odds $5-$12.
Notes: Back tested over Sunday, Monday and Today and its showing a profit for both win and place betting. You don't have a lot of opportunities to bet, as over the 3 days only bet a total of 8 times. Also what is good about this one, as based on the results it places more often than not, so at the very least your win bets are is covered, so if it doesn't win but places the bet was not a losing wager. So at it stands with this system the win bet simply magnifies your profits and the place bet seems to afford you some protection when each way betting.

pengo 1st February 2008 12:33 PM

System #6 is no good, just checked the results from Jan 1 - 5 and it only won 1 out of 15 bets and placed 5 out of 15.

pengo 1st February 2008 12:50 PM

Quote:
System #1

Latemail, no 1 tip for both tipsters (radiotab, track tipper; as listed at tabonline.com.au).



Potential races for today:

BALLARAT VR2, 1:35PM
BORDERTOWN AR 5, 3:30PM
BORDERTOWN AR 6, 4:10PM
BORDERTOWN AR 7, 4:50PM

Quote:
System #5 v2

Late mail is radio tab first pick, showing pre post odds of 2.00-3.50 (final odds expected to be 1.5-3), field is no more than 12 runners, 3 yo+ and either a fillie, mare or horse.



Potential races for today:

BALLARAT VR 5, 3:20PM
BORDERTOWN AR 5, 3:30PM
BORDERTOWN AR 7, 4:50PM

lomaca 1st February 2008 01:01 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by pengo
System #6 is no good, just checked the results from Jan 1 - 5 and it only won 1 out of 15 bets and placed 5 out of 15.


Why don't you read the conditions again? You missed something important!

pengo 1st February 2008 01:05 PM

What did I miss?

I manually went thru the results for all race meets from Jan 1st to Jan 5th. The only winner paid about $7 so a loss, and the place winners paid $1.5-$2.0 so a loss there as well. The horse that was selected in qualifying races showed a final win odd of 5-12 as per the selection criteria.

lomaca 1st February 2008 01:10 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by pengo
I didn't miss anything. I manually went thru the results for all race meets from Jan 1st to Jan 5th. The only winner paid about $7 so a loss, and the place winners paid $1.5-$2.0 so a loss there as well. Races that were selected showed a final win odd of 5-12 as per the selection criteria.


I meant in my Email last night, read it again! the first one!


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