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-   -   Anyone with a neural database....? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=19060)

garyf 3rd January 2011 12:51 PM

neural database
 
hi stix i also used a setting of 3 all bar wet track set to zero from ist jan 2010 till 30th june 2010 betting on the top 4 neurals when priced at <11.0 top 4 only when the top 4 contained the opening fav (track opening fav only)providing all horses reached $3.0> top fluc i excluded all age related races as well as hurdles steeples and races with 1st starters (before scratchings) all vic syd adel qld races every day was painstakingly recorded on a spreadsheet with other features overlay underlay dist track top5 p/money w% plus a stack of others however after trialling different settings within that period i found a much more profitale way was to set c/p=5 c/f=5 j/t=5 all others set to zero from the 1/july to 31/dec 2010 i have recorded the same info abot 1800 races approx 6,000 > entries if you would lije a copy send me your email and i will send you the spreadsheet this is my first post and probably last as not too much about neurals are a huge subject enjoy the banter on the site and reading the post's
cheers
garyf

Bhagwan 4th January 2011 03:59 AM

Here's a way to stake the top CP selection.

Only target races where the whole field has has 2+ career starts.

Have a Base bet amount of say $10 per selection

Target the Neural price of the Top CP selection.

Divide this price into the next lowest CP price you can see.

Now multiply that figure by our Base amount.e.g $10.00

Example.
1st CP 2.50
2nd CP 3.90
3.90 / 2.50 = Our multiple is 1.56
1.56 x 10.00 = O/L $15.60 for this selection.

If one wished to only bet the 2nd CP selection .
We would divide 2.50 / 3.90 = .64
.64 x $10 (Base bet) = O/L 6.40

This way we are placing more on runners which have the stronger rating difference chance of getting up.

garyf 4th January 2011 09:28 AM

neural database
 
hi bhagwan
looks good will defintely add this to my armoury should improve the profits
cheers
garyf

Dale 4th January 2011 07:06 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
Here's a way to stake the top CP selection.

Only target races where the whole field has has 2+ career starts.

Have a Base bet amount of say $10 per selection

Target the Neural price of the Top CP selection.

Divide this price into the next lowest CP price you can see.

Now multiply that figure by our Base amount.e.g $10.00

Example.
1st CP 2.50
2nd CP 3.90
3.90 / 2.50 = Our multiple is 1.56
1.56 x 10.00 = O/L $15.60 for this selection.

If one wished to only bet the 2nd CP selection .
We would divide 2.50 / 3.90 = .64
.64 x $10 (Base bet) = O/L 6.40

This way we are placing more on runners which have the stronger rating difference chance of getting up.



Nice idea Bhagwan,going to copy and paste this one.

Dale 4th January 2011 07:22 PM

An addition to this could be to have a base figure determined by taking the price away from a set amount,say 100 and then applying the above formula.

For example we take the first two numbers of the price and take it away from the said 100

A $2.50 favorite would convert to 35 which we take away from 100 which would leave our base bet of 75

A $5.00 favorite would convert to 50 taken away from 100 leaving a base bet of 50

Basicly youve got a higher base bet on your highest rated horses before applying Bhagwans formula.

garyf 4th January 2011 08:38 PM

neural database
 
think you mean $2.50 would be 25 leaving a bet of 75.00 but i get the idea
will check it out
cheers

Dale 4th January 2011 09:51 PM

lol yeah thats what i mean

Stix 14th January 2011 03:01 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by garyf
hi stix i also used a setting of 3 all bar wet track set to zero from ist jan 2010 till 30th june 2010 betting on the top 4 neurals when priced at <11.0 top 4 only when the top 4 contained the opening fav (track opening fav only)providing all horses reached $3.0> top fluc i excluded all age related races as well as hurdles steeples and races with 1st starters (before scratchings) all vic syd adel qld races every day was painstakingly recorded on a spreadsheet with other features overlay underlay dist track top5 p/money w% plus a stack of others however after trialling different settings within that period i found a much more profitale way was to set c/p=5 c/f=5 j/t=5 all others set to zero from the 1/july to 31/dec 2010 i have recorded the same info abot 1800 races approx 6,000 > entries if you would lije a copy send me your email and i will send you the spreadsheet this is my first post and probably last as not too much about neurals are a huge subject enjoy the banter on the site and reading the post's
cheers
garyf
Hi gary

I'd love to take you up on your more than generous offer and have a chat about neurals.

My email is stix_hotcopper at aanet dot com dot au

Thnaks very much in advance

garyf 14th January 2011 08:30 PM

data
 
hi stix have sent the data as requested hope the email gets through if not dropme a line
cheers
garyf


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