2 possible selections today

Newcastle R5#5 Capital Raising
Wangaratta R6#6 Kong Kristian

Capital Raising won $5.20/$1.70

Going great guns Try. especially for the place. lets hope it holds up!

Thanks Partypooper.

There are 5 possible selections today.

Geelong R6#1 Circumference
Geelong R8#3 Absolute King
Gunnedah R3#1 Double Your Money
Sale R3#10 Tizona
Sale R4#3 Optimal

The good run ends--- but in the past has there been a run of outs like this before ? if the odds are high a run of outs is not a worry but if ds toprate fav is mostly the fav it is a worry . Try Try can you say if there is reason to worry ?

Like all selection methods it will establish an average return after it has enough data.
The problem is you never know how much is enough data - most of the time.

e.g.
is this a temporary setback OR establishment of a long term trend.

I have seen approaches like this win for at say 12-15% POT for 3 years and then just head south like they never existed.

cheers

aussie

Yesterday's results were a disgrace!

Geelong R6#1 Circumference Unpl
Geelong R8#3 Absolute King Unpl
Gunnedah R3#1 Double Your Money 3rd -/$1.40
Sale R3#10 Tizona Unpl
Sale R4#3 Optimal Unpl

There are 7 possible selections today

Dubbo R4#5 Panov
Dubbo R5#5 Gold Sultan
Echuca R4#2 El Toro
Echuca R5#9 Rezonated
Echuca R6#4 Muktashef
Echuca R9#7 Filouka
Echuca R10#4 The Night's Hot

No need to panic yet with yesterday's results, let's hope we are back on deck today!

PANIC NOW REPEAT PANIC NOW !!!!!!!!!!!!!

Yes Job123 , Head for the Hills.

The Punting world is going to end as we know it.

I am typing this from under my bed which is where all the rest of you should be right now.

Jokes aside.

Every method has a thing called runs of outs , we can reasonable predict how long that run will be once we have a stronger understanding of its average SR.
e.g. 20% SR , we can expect at some stage a run of 36 outs in a row.
The expected runs of outs , only apply to that day, because the next day is the start of a new cycle, that's why its not a good idea to carry
progressional bets over to the next day.

Less experienced punters think that as soon as there is one not so good day , they think that's the end of everything as we know it.

That's why stop/ losses are used .

I have seen this many times in the past using the Neurals, but its average percentage SR (20% for top selection) does not change, year to year.

I have seen very expensive rating services do the same thing.

But if one feels strongly enough about the Don Scott selections have indeed turned to putty , start Laying them to fall over and watch what happens to your bank account.

Try and enjoy the Daylight .

I'm going back under my bed now.

Jeez, Bhags, I hope you've got a lot of room under your bed then. Big screen TV, pizzas and an Esky would be kinda cool too. :)

But you're correct, all methods have their 'down time' and it is this very 'down time' that causes most punters to ditch their current successful method after hitting one or two potholes and leap on to the next, new successful idea, unsuccessfully.

I learned long ago that indecision will not take the bickies and success is measured by your own volition.