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- - Laying System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=22525)

Laying the Field Pt 2

Following on from my previous post, re laying the field in SP races. I manually removed all non SP races from the week 8th-14th Oct 2012 and nett profit ($100 liability) dropped from $1964 to $759. Big Drop!!! And that was a winning week.
Cheers RP

I've been looking for a way to lose money to a bookie. Given these stats would backing the fav in maiden races be the best way to go?

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Ocho

Well the system got off to a great start with 5 favs falling over for us but two favs got up at Bunbury reducing the winnings to next to nothing.

Full Market Name Selection Bet Type Amount Price Profit And Loss
13:40 R2 1170m Mdn\14. Valdori 14. Valdori Lay 5 3.55 5
14:15 R3 1400m Mdn\6. Learning Centre 6. Learning Centre Lay 5 4.5 5
14:35 R4 1600m Mdn\11. Demonstrable 11. Demonstrable Lay 5 3 5
14:55 R4 1606m Mdn\2. Grigio Now 2. Grigio Now Lay 5 4.9 5
15:11 R4 1350m Mdn\7. Da Nyet 7. Da Nyet Lay 5 3.05 5
16:40 R3 1410m 3yo\1. Cougar Nights 1. Cougar Nights Lay 5 2.3 -6.5
18:10 R5 1410m Mdn\1. Whatever Trevor 1. Whatever Trevor Lay 5 3.9 -14.5

Total for $5 lay bets +2.38 Including Commission
5 winning lays & 2 losing lays

Monday picks if they start fav and if in the odds range:

Toowoomba
1- 1 2

Warrnambool
3- 2
4- 3
5- 4

Coonamble
1- 5 9 11 13

Geraldton
1- 1 8
2- 3 4 10 12

Hi The Ocho,

Due to the comments from Beton, UB and Riconpaul regarding the shorter end of the maket, it might pay to keep records of qualifying selections that start higher, like $5.01-$20 / $20.01-$40 etc.

Mmmm, no good today. For some reason the bot fired off two bets in the first race with the fave winning the race. I'll count both although the result should be around $5 worse actually.

Full Market Name Selection Bet Type Amount Price Profit And Loss
13:47 R1 1300m Mdn\9. Maughan 9. Maughan Lay 5 3.2 -11
13:47 R1 1300m Mdn\11. Film Star 11. Film Star Lay 5 3.4 5
14:00 R1 1000m Mdn\1. Toshinaga 1. Toshinaga Lay 5 4.1 5
14:10 R3 1200m 3yo\2. Chow Meow 2. Chow Meow Lay 5 2.02 5
15:20 R5 1400m Mdn\4. Northern Edge 4. Northern Edge Lay 5 3.65 -13.25
16:41 R2 1207m Mdn\10. Tribal Cat 10. Tribal Cat Lay 5 4.8 5

Not sure it's worth shifting those rocks around the garden.

I'll check on the others tonight TS to see what is happening with those.

Today -5.22 (4 winning lays from 6 bets)

Total for $5 lay bets -2.84 Including Commission :(
13 Lay bets
9 Winning lays
4 Losing lays

Checking the two days results hasn't really revealed anything too much as yet TS but the stats so far to lay all are (for $1 level lay amount no comm):
$5-$20 = -20
$20.50-$40 = +8

Picks for Wednesday if they are fave and in the price range of 1.90-5.00:

Toowoomba
1- 13
2- 1 3 5 7 8
3- 1 5

Townsville
3- 2

Muswellbrook
1- 8
2- 6 15
4- 3 6 7

Traralgon
1- 6 10
2- 7 9
3- 5 7 9 10 12

I'm dropping this one. As Gordon Gekko would say - it's a dog with fleas. As a matter of fact I'm not quite sure what the point of this system was as it is basically laying maidens which just missed out last time out and they're faves or nearly faves with the price range this time out.

Geez I'm gullible. :rolleyes:

Results today only two races with one loss - total loss today -9.25

Full Market Name Selection Bet Type Amount Price Profit And Loss
13:18 R2 1000m 3yo\6. Supreme Bella 6. Supreme Bella Lay 5 3.85 -14.25
14:10 R3 1900m Mdn\5. Prince Valiant 5. Prince Valiant Lay 5 3.45 5

Total for $5 lay bets -12.09 Including Commission
15 Lay bets
10 Winning lays
5 Losing lays

For TS
$5-$20 = -12.3
$20.50-$40 = +8 (only 8 picks)

I working on a new idea and am throwing these up on a test run.

Ellerslie

r1 CHEEKY BOY

r2 FAME AND GLORY,HANNAH MARY, hard to get much info on most others.

r3 STARGURU GASTON

r4 TIGER MOSS,KOOL GAL,ELUSIVE GOLD

spilt beer on keyboard saturday celebrating a win, it is sticking a bit will try drying it out again, see how these go and will come back with more later.

I have ordered this book on line:

Designing Speed in the Racehorse
By Ken McLean

good luck today guys, have the day off so will follow your selections.

Ellerslie

r5 MISS PELEAR,FAZZLE

r6 SECRET'S ONLY,AMBITIOUS CHAMPION,LA SPINETTA

r7 ATACAMA,MORE THAN SACRED!!! - like this one a lot

r8 VOGUE

r9 CHAPARRONE,SANGSTER,ANNIE HIGGINS,HIACE

r10 ARIZONA JAZZ,