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The Roller Coaster
Update:
First race at Donald should read R 3 No 2 Viper Room |
The Roller Coaster
Update;
Opening Bank..................$817.50 UB Train Bank......$1039.05 Positives 2x $9.50 ...........+$19.00.Negatives 2x$10..-$20.00 Red Lingo ($4.7)............-$37.00...Red Lingo ($4.6).. +$36.00 Mil Shrew ($2.6)............-$16.00...Mil shrew ($2.6) ...+$16.00 Skimalong($4.7)............-$37.00...Skimalong ($4.6) ..+$36.00 New Bank......................$$746.50 New Bank.............$1092.55 Downhill slide continues for the Roller Coaster. Carriages back for the UB Train |
The Roller Coaster
Tuesday 11/10/2011
Current Bank(RC).................$$746.50 Current Bank(UB)........$1092.55 Unit Bet (Lay) 1% (original Bank $1000) = $10 (UB Train Back Bet =$10) Max Lay Liability $5.00 Max Back -Alt of lay( all at 10 sec to jump time) Grafton R4 No 4 Dynamic Spy (pp4.6) Echuca R6 No 10Fantastic Porscha (pp10) R6 No 12 Golden ascent (pp7.5) Townsville R3 No 6 No limitation (pp6.5) Grafton R5 No 3 Just amaizin (pp2.9) Echuca R7 No 2 Orbicat (pp6.5) R7 No 5 I'm Mysterious (pp8.5) Echuca R8 No 2 Happyendo (pp8.50 R8 No 3 Resovre (pp5) R8 No 11 Winchester Atms (pp7) R8 No 13 Racer's Dream (pp10) Townsville R5 No 12 Miss Rubenstein (pp6.5) GraftonR7 No 8 Storm Fabulador (pp8.5) R7 No 11 Tzanann (pp10) Townsville Race 7 No 4 Unluckyforsum (pp14) |
I have been dabbling with this crazy idea of backing & laying the same horse in the same sequence of races .
It is not quite right yet. Further input would be welcome. This is how it goes. Lay bet flat 5 units to fall over if price is =>6.20 . Lay bet 10 units if price is <=$6.00 Back bet is 20 units with an increment of 10% on the last losing Back bet, Allow a max run of 6 outs then start again if no winner picked. Also start again if winner is picked. The general idea is to try & minimise ones total outlay if possible Its the losing bets that do the damage & punters should try & think in terms of Liability, whether its Win or Lay betting, rather than just profit all the time. Because if the looses are minimised , the profits will generally follow. The Lay bets try to pay half of the Back bet losses & soften the blow a little especially on a bad run , if that's possible First bet is always a Back bet say $20, with zero Lay bet made. Second bet would be a Back bet $10 +10% due to previous loss . Plus a $5.00 flat Lay bet to go towards the loss of the 1st bet. We wish to hit 3.5% a day, then stop , or option to continue for the day if you feel you can hit another 3.50% on the day. Example of a non winner series. Back----Lay 20------ No bet on 1st race. 22-------10 24-------5 26--------5 29-------10 32-------5 ect. |
Quote:
Hi Bhagwan, My Selections from yesterday Cessnock R 1 No 3.......Back 20(loss) Leeton R 4 No 4......Back 22(4.6)..Return 101.2... Lay10(4.7)..Loss(37.00) If we Stop here; 101.2-20-22-37= 22.2 Profit contunue; Cessnock R 4 No 4..Back 20(2.6)..Return 52.00 If we stop here; 52.00 20= 32.00 profit continue: Leeton R 5 No 6.....Back 20 (Loss) Donald R6 No 9......Back 22 (Loss)............Lay 10....Return 10 Donald R7 No 7......Back 24 (4.6)..Return 110.4..Lay 10(4.7)..Loss(37.00) If we stop here; 110.4-2--22-24-37= 7.4 Profit Each stage would have resulted in a profit All stages combined in a profit 22.2+32.00+7.4 = 61.6 But will it hold up? |
The Roller Coaster
update:
Current Bank(RC)...................$746.50 Current Bank(UB)........$1092.55 Positives 4 x $9.5...................$38.00 Negatives 4 x $10.........-$40.00 Racer's Dream ($4.9).............-$39.00 Racer's Dream (4.7).....+$37.00 New Bank..............................$745.50New Bank.....................$1089.55 Little action to-day |
The Roller Coaster
Wednesday 12/10/2011
Current Bank(RC).................$$745.50 Current Bank(UB)........$1089.55 Unit Bet (Lay) 1% (original Bank $1000) = $10 (UB Train Back Bet =$10) Max Lay Liability $5.00 Max Back -Alt of lay( all at 10 sec to jump time) Caulfield R 1 No 2/3/6 Randwick R1 No 1 Randwick R 2 No 3/4/6 M Bridge R 4 No 9 Caulfield R4 No 3/7/9 Randwick R3 No 7 Caulfield R5 No 3/7 Doombem R3 No 9 Randwick R4 No 1/2/4 M Bridge R6 No 1/3/8/9 Randwick R5 No 3 Cailfield R7 No 12/16 Doomben R5 No 1/8/11 Randwick R6 No 1/7 M Bridge R8 No 2/5/10 Caulfield R8 No 2/6 Doomben R6 No 5 Randwick R7 No 9/10 M Bridge R 9No 6/8 Doomben R7 No 9/14 Northam R 6 No 3 Northaam R 8 No 3/5/8 |
Hi Place2Win
It will hold up if we can hit 1 winner in 6 (17%SR) If the lot dont ever win , our total loss will be approx 60% less than we would have normally have lost if win only betting. The average bet size on the 6 bet sequence is 25.50 units x 6 = 153 units less 6 x say 10units ret = 60unit ret 90 - 153 = -63unit loss Thats a 90 unit difference Saving of approx 60% on win only bets. Therefore less winners & less liability required to recover. Remember , the idea is to reduce our Banks Liability exposure. Max leverage is on the 2nd & 3rd bets of the 6 bet sequence. Plus it adds a bit more fun to the process. If you hit a winner with one of your 9.00+ selections , you will be laughing like a Hyena. Has the selection process hit many $9.00+ winners? |
My maths is ballsed up .
Its meant to read 60-153= -90units Saving of 40% on straight level stakes, |
Quote:
To-day Randwick R 1 No1 Hendricus (1.68) x 20 = 33.6 Profit 13.6 (Stop) or continue; Caulfield R 4 No 9 Cosmonaut (3.30) x 20 66.00 Profit 46.00 (stop) or continue; Randwick R 3 No 7 Mc Bull (2.10) x 20 = -20.00 ( Loss) M Bridge R8 No 5 Belfast Boy (5.5) x 22 = -22.00 (Loss) Lay 10 rtn 10 Caulfield R 8 No 6 Facile Tiger (5.4) x 24 = 129.6 Profit 63.6 Lay 10 rtn(-45) Overall 13.6 + 46.00 +63.6 +10 -45 = 88.2 Profit All selections are from The Roller Coaster System where a single selection resulted. |
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