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-   -   Betting systems discussion (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=23131)

Chrome Prince 26th December 2011 03:58 PM

lol o.k. Party, yes I can see it now.
I must watch my posts, as they provide too much entertainment ;)

Barny 26th December 2011 05:50 PM

Chrome Prince - I'd like to answer these one by one ..... and no doubt not too many will be hanging on every word I post, but I don't mind at all. It's what I've learned and I think it's logical.

Look at what the trainer is doing with the horse. - ABSOLUTELY

Has it got gear on, gear off. - not looking there at this stage, although I'm going to look at the gelding of horses, how long they take to recover etc ..... might come to nothing. As I've posted in the past, Tongie Tie on is an interesting one.

Has it been trialled. - Never been there in any meaningful way

Has he entered in duplicate races and scratched it for this. - Ditto above

Has he entered any other stable runners. - Ditto above

Is he repeating a successful lead up last season. - Yes seen a lot of this and the prices certainly reflect the lead up form. Wouldn't touch it with a ten foot pole.

Is he putting on a jockey who won a few starts back. - Nope

Has he for some reason dramatically changed the horse's distance. - Not lookign for a massive change in the horses distance, but if it happens it's as a result of a previous rule.

Is he gradually reducing or increasing distance. - Ditto above, but I'm not looking for the horses pet distance ..... everyone else looks for that don't they?

Is he gradually increasing the grade, or is he massively jumping grade. - Don't look for it, if it does massively increase in grade it would be as a result of one other rule. I would certainly back a horse from my system with a massive increase in grade. Usually most of them do go up in grade on my main system.

What's the market saying? - Like this one, but not for this particular method.

I come from a totally different direction now .... The horse I back may have recent poor form, or recent really good form. It's like looking at the trainers up coming program for the horse, and being prepared to back a horse that runs last beaten the length of the straight. It's worth trying to get off the traditional "form" (at least as I know it) study and come at things from a different direction. I try and pick a fit horse (that's basically it .... with two v. important filters .... one of 'em get's rid of a lot of losers), some methods couldn't give tuppence about the horse, they're only interested in the odds, others look at the field and assess the better chances, others have "stable" methods.

I doubt I'll change tack from here ..... I'll try and specialise in this are, but too much information and tinkering will ruin the basic system, I'm sure of that!

UselessBettor 26th December 2011 06:52 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Barny
I doubt I'll change tack from here ..... I'll try and specialise in this are, but too much information and tinkering will ruin the basic system, I'm sure of that!

Specialisation is what a lot of experts say is a very good thing to do. Learn one area (track, form factor) and know eveything about it. I think it has a lot of merit.

partypooper 26th December 2011 11:56 PM

Well, I guess if it's a gelding it doesn't make that much diff. it it's got it's "gear" on OR off, when it comes to push v shove ,..... so to speak!



Haahahahahha!........ sorry couldn't resist!!!!


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