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-   -   Money for Jam? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=26801)

Rinconpaul 25th July 2013 05:15 PM

Golden Fiema R4 Gosford was another close call, 40's into 15, came 3rd. I had a $100 on it, but no good!

You're right Speedy in your assessment re the relationship of Betfair v Bookmakers. I've looked into it, but it can be a roller coaster and try to throw you out.

RP

Rinconpaul 26th July 2013 05:01 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by stugots
What may turn out to be a useful pointer is when the BF price is around or shorter than the bookies late in betting as they seem to (just on my ob's) do better than those where the BF price is longer than the books.

;)

Hope you enjoyed those long necks Stugots. I had a look for you over the last 5 days of races using the rule:
Selection IF BF Back Price < Final Fluc at close & BF Back price <= $5

There were 28 selections and 10 winners. Outlay $28 Return $21.69.

RP

stugots 26th July 2013 07:45 AM

why the price filter rp ?, you will notice most I have posted are longer than $5 which is sort of the point, anyway just a bit of fun

dave101 26th July 2013 08:35 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedyBen
And what do you do if it drifts to $15.0?
Lay it off? Have more on? Nothing?
Go to the bar and have a double scotch Speedy as the horse is led into the ring covered in sweat and looking like its about to bight the head off the handler. If they drift and don't come back in --goodbye cash. Nearly as silly as betting on an election

Rinconpaul 26th July 2013 08:52 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by stugots
why the price filter rp ?, you will notice most I have posted are longer than $5 which is sort of the point, anyway just a bit of fun
Sorry mate, doesn't get any better IF:
BF Back Price < 4th Final Fluc at close & BF Back price > $5 & < $15

Note: this is if there were 4 fluctuations recorded

37 selections and 3 winners. Outlay $37 Return $29.40

Might improve a tad at BFSP or Best Of... bookmakers. Lucky if you break even.

RP

stugots 26th July 2013 10:39 AM

pulling the wrong reign there methinks RP;)

Rinconpaul 26th July 2013 10:44 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by stugots
pulling the wrong reign their methinks RP;)

Riding a VIC horse in NSW you reckon? I must admit I've been hard at it since 4.00am so my brain is starting to get a bit frazzled. I'll check it again later.

RP

stugots 26th July 2013 11:34 AM

All I am really doing RP, mainly to pass the time, is looking for those shortening from double figures into single & if I still like them after a quick look at their form etc have a fun bet on them, often only for the place.

I have noticed on a few occasions with those that went on to win that their BF exchange price was shorter than the bookies, but that's just a very small sample & hardly conclusive in any way, & I guess may be due to bookies laying off.

Anyway, I seriously doubt it would be a winner backing all selections but weeding them out a bit could prove worthwhile.

Rinconpaul 26th July 2013 12:01 PM

There was a good one then Stugots, at Goulburn R3, Irish Gangster Opened at $31 then steamed in to $19 to run a place and pay $4.90.

RP

The Ocho 26th July 2013 06:15 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
I must admit I've been hard at it since 4.00am so my brain is starting to get a bit frazzled.

RP

That's stamina for you! ;)


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