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-   -   Why are you a bookie? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=28596)

Mark 26th July 2014 06:47 AM

And just for a change of country.....Louisiana Downs R5. Nice start to the day.

stugots 26th July 2014 10:14 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
It could possibly have been part of a trade for the losing party.
They never reveal that side of it.
I doubt anyone would risk $6,000 unless the horse lost it's rider or fell over.
I've seen a few trotters gallop at the start lose 20 metres and still win, horses miss the kick and still win.
It was a Heavy 8 track over 1400m, and we all know swoopers in the wet.
The horse had secretly trialled in blinkers and was wearing ear muffs, although it's public trials and past form was bad. Trainer got a warning from the stewards for poor performance and horse was reinstated 3 days before it raced ;)




unlikely trade CP as it was layed in running, looks like a 'error in judgement' to me.

Michal 26th July 2014 10:31 AM

Given that the layer had to have the liability in the bank, obviously, otherwise he would not be able to make the offer, this is likely not just some $6 punter with a bank of a few hundred bucks. Still, for my liking, to pinch $6? 999 right and 1 wrong and you are out. May be a glitch in software or something similar?

Laying these type of long conveniences is fraught with danger; if not from anything else, then from the shock when one wins! Get a few go against you in short succession (wouldn't be impossible) and it's capable to break even the most determined, organized and consistent layer who may have a perfectly good method otherwise.

stugots 26th July 2014 10:44 AM

It's worth having a look at the replay, the nag was slow away & the caller probably made that sound a bit worse than it was, but was it ever anywhere near a 1000/1 chance? yeah, nah

stugots 26th July 2014 12:53 PM

Barry Pope
‏@Buzzathepunter
$10k traded on beaten Dalshamar at $1.01 on @Betfair_Aus in R3 Newcastle #ouch


Chrome Prince 26th July 2014 01:20 PM

For the layer Happy days and no big liability.
For the backer(s), what a disaster.
There are no certainties in winning or losing in play.

stugots 26th July 2014 02:37 PM

is another one worth looking at the replay, home for all money...until it wasnt;)

Chrome Prince 26th July 2014 03:10 PM

Reminded me of Seabiscuit's famous loss.

stugots 26th July 2014 04:59 PM

$10k to win $100, $6k to win $6 - someone please tell me what is wrong with these pictures & does it make me a bad person that I have zero sympathy for those on the wrong end?.....

stugots 26th July 2014 05:09 PM

Of course most of it is to do with internet betting - an old mate of mine 25 years my senior who did it hard growing up, lived through the blitz, came to Australia & did alright for himself used to regularly say to me 'people do not appreciate the value of money' & having heard it a 100 times, I would nod & say 'yep, your right' without ever really giving his words the respect or understanding they deserved.

Would anyone in their right mind walk up to a bookie with $10k in hand & take odds of $1.01? Of course not. & that lay bet is even more insane, bordering on certifiable.

If the cash is in your hands & you have to physically part with it, that's a hell of a lot more different than a rushed (maybe panicked?) decision sitting at a computer...just ask any share trader;)

/rant


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