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-   -   Maiden Longshot System. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=4216)

Our Maizcay 25th February 2004 10:42 PM

Ok ..

i haven't finished looking through everything, but here are my possible 3 additional rules based on the horses given.

Testarossa ... am I right about any of these???

* Under 10 starts .. ie 1 to 9
* Weight change from previous start either up max 3kgs, or down max 3kgs (-3 to +3 kgs)
* My longshot ... Average Prizemoney $2,000 or less.

Also, I have narrowed your selections down again using some very basic additional criteria , and got two new feeds. The results were... with only one additional rule...

BELLA FUTURA unp
CODED $29.00 $5.80
DISCO SLACKS unp
HELLO CRYSTAL 3rd $4.40
JONOBLE $10.20 $2.30
MONKEYPICKEN unp
PEGUNNY JAKE unp
ROXBURY HALL unp
SHE'S STRIKING $10.90 $3.10
SLASHERS CREEK unp $1.60
STARZAMI $10.20 $2.10
Selections: 11
Collect (Win): $60.30
Profit: $49.30

With the smallest of extension of the same criteria we could add this to the above...

CRYSTAL EXPRESS $2.20
LADY CANNY
WEEPING WILLOW
CHARLIE'S LEGACY
LA SPERANZA
DARING ECHO
ORONSAY $8.40 $2.50
BROCANTEUR $37.80 $5.20
LONGSTONE
DREJA
ONUS
CHAMPONY
NINA BELLE
GONE FOR GLORY
It drops your strike rate, but there is a good profit there.

The other sub-system from your horses gives these results ... again, a very simple criteria ( 1 rule)..

CODED $29.00 $5.80
CRYSTAL EXPRESS $2.20
HELLO CRYSTAL $4.40
JONOBLE $10.20 $2.30
KAORU SQUARE
MONKEYPICKEN
NINA BELLE
SHE'S STRIKING $10.90 $3.10
SLASHERS CREEK $1.60
ZAMURD

Selections: 10
Win Div: $50.10
Profit: $40.10
Place Div: $19.40
Profit: $9.40 (94%)


I'll show you mine if you show me yours :smile:

I have looked at tomorrows yet, so haven't applied my criteria to your selections.

Good Luck for tomorrow....

OM

jaffa 26th February 2004 12:33 AM

I have used a very successful maiden system on city and provincial tracks for 20 years , since a rails client of bookie Col Dale in sydney put me on to it.

Only time i have back $125 winners 3 times in town, Simple rules which i am happy to share.

First -- Barrier 7 or inside
2nd -- No 2nd ups unless first prepartion
3rd -- Must not had more 7 starts
4th and last-- Must be $ 7 or more.

If 2 in race back both, if more back best drawn 2.

Maidens anywhere. Just have a look on Thurs 26/2/04 at any track.

Desi 26th February 2004 01:48 AM

Testa,
Just got home in time for a late bite and witnessed Oransay come in...good pick LOL of course did not have time to back it...will watch with interest Thursday's lot as there are a lot more...

Our Maizcay 26th February 2004 02:21 AM

Testa,

here is my selections based upon your selections for Thursday 26th...

1st Plan

BENDIGO 2 6 MISTANZ
BENDIGO 3 11 UMBRIA
GOSFORD 4 3 GIPSY MAGIC
GOSFORD 5 13 SMART MAXIE
GOSFORD 4 7 MRS HOGAN
BENDIGO 2 4 ENGLISH OAK

2nd Plan

BENDIGO 2 6 MISTANZ
GOSFORD 5 13 SMART MAXIE
BENDIGO 2 2 BAUDOLINO

Regards,

OM

TheAvenger 26th February 2004 05:16 AM

It will be most interesting watching this system in action tonight. I'm glad your selections are on the two tracks I'm allowed to bet from the U.S.. Good luck to us all.
Maiden races are tough to crack here as well.

Regards,


Glenn

crash 26th February 2004 06:39 AM


Maizcay/Jaffa,

Wow, this thread is 'growing' systems !

The common link for Testa's system though, is something in common to all horse's first start. Find that and everything else becomes clear I think.

Will have to have another look.

Cheers.




[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-26 07:40 ]

crash 26th February 2004 06:54 AM


Kenchar,

I prefere humor with my 'shots', not cheap spite [I don't think anyone in this forum needs you as babysitter].

Back to publishing your tips after they run [you should start another thread on it ] ?
We could vote on a new rule in the comp. to encourage you to join in, allow you to post your Sat. tips as results on Sat. night.

My only bets yesterday were R6 and 7 at Sandown: $9 and $4.50 wins. Sounds a bit flat after the event, doesn't it ?

Mountaineers couldn't climb the chip on your shoulder. Give it a rest, this ain't your thread.

Cheers.


[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-26 11:08 ]

TESTAROSSA 26th February 2004 08:23 AM

Quote:
On 2004-02-25 23:42, Our Maizcay wrote:

Ok ..

i haven't finished looking through everything, but here are my possible 3 additional rules based on the horses given.

Testarossa ... am I right about any of these???

* Under 10 starts .. ie 1 to 9
* Weight change from previous start either up max 3kgs, or down max 3kgs (-3 to +3 kgs)
* My longshot ... Average Prizemoney $2,000 or less.


OM,

The Under 10 starts rule is spot on, the other 2 are not, there are no rules involving Weight or Prizemoney, or Barriers as well.

Everyone,

The thing they all have in common at their first start is pretty simple, ( Besides losing Crash :smile: ) You are all gonna kick yourselves when you realise what it is.

I suggest going to ******************** and searching each selection in Horse History and look at everything each selection has in common at its first start.

Hint - It involves a number :wink:

Cheers.



[ This Message was edited by: TESTAROSSA on 2004-02-26 09:24 ]

TESTAROSSA 26th February 2004 08:51 AM

Thursday Selections:

After Scratchings:

Remember only back if $8.00 or more!!!

Bendigo

R1 (2) Carlton Caper
R1 (8) Silent Street
R2 (2) Baudolino
R2 (4) English Oak
R2 (6) Mistanz
R3 (2) Classic Chevron
R3 (11) Umbria

Gosford

R3 (6) Pompeii Dancer
R4 (3) Gipsy Magic
R4 (7) Mrs Hogan
R5 (11) Mechanical Fan
R5 (13) Smart Maxie

Cheers.

TESTAROSSA 26th February 2004 08:52 AM

Fridays Selections:

Ararat

R2 (4) Sea Tern
R8 (3) Dream Luck
R8 (11) Just Leica

Doomben

R3 (2) Iron Bridge
R3 (5) Riotous
R3 (7) Templin
R3 (8) Mr Benson

Grafton

R5 (3) Te Rapa Boy
R5 (11) Emanjaya

Penola

R2 (5) Avon’s Magic
R8 (13) Call To Action

Cheers.


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