Luckyboy.YOU CANT.There a lucky dip.
Stay right out of them.
Cheers.
darky.

ref form reversal.
on his weight and margin swings he was running 1.6 lengths behind the horse that won his race last time.
that is fairly good.
not such a form reversal really.

declaration of interest. nil. (unfortunately)

darkydog,

Actually, I did not have a bet in the race with my selection Danestorm not providing me with a 100% confidence of handling the going.

The point I was trying to make was how do you gauge (see) this type of form improvement? It is one of the things that irks me most about the punt - long shots winning major races.

Statistically speaking, less than 3% of the total amount invested in the win pool in this race thought Pantani could win. Did they have the knowledge or did they just 'back the grey horse' or follow the 'back greys in the wet adage'?

Dumb money winning is annoying!


Cheers,
Luckyboy

group one winner.
won over the distance
a win in its last 4 starts.

what more do you want. a telegram.

we are not observant enough nor have enough faith.

To be honest a month or so ago I thought it would go really close to winning this race but I must admit I haven't really followed the horse over it's last few starts.


Maybe if I had taken a bit more notice I could have given it a chance like they say hindsight is 20/20.


The irony of all this I was sending my father to the TAB last year before the Adelaide Cup to back Pantani only to find out it was scratched I backed Pillage'n'Plunder instead would have been nice if I had gone the same way this year.

I dont like these type races because there far too long/generally too many horses and interference is the general rule.
More checks /blocks /wide running etc etc .the list could go on forever.
The long and the short of it is that hindsight is just wonderful AFTER the event.
Its hard enough on the punt without adding lucky dips to the equation.
Cheers.
darky.