If you race off to Sportodds website,you will find,what Floydyboy calls roll-your-own odds.
If you analyse these you will come up with a formula or graph of converting margins to prices.

I use a formula to do same.
It is K^M+1

where K=0.955
and M= margin

So for example
if you think Essendon can beat Brisbane by 12 points

First do the power part
0.955 to the power of 12 equals 0.575
Then add plus 1 equals 1.575
Rounding off gives an acceptable price of $1.58
Prediction of a draw becomes $2
A 1 point margin becomes $1.95 for the favourite and $2.05 for the underdog.

Cheers Mo.

Looks like the Saints are struggling.

The Western Bulldogs had all the answers. Fulltime 103 - 80. Are the wheels falling off SK?

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[ This Message was edited by: sportzfan on 2004-06-12 16:45 ]

they cant beat the bulldogs at the m.c.g, hoodoo still there?

I watched the game, and when i don't have a bet i go for the underdog,it was 9 goals to 3 in the 2nd half and like last week in sydney the couldn't finish it off, they have a few injuries too coming out of the game, couple of weeks ago people were talking about them going undefeated, now there looking at 3 losses on the trot, is it possible, like i said before they aint no arsenal.

3 on the trot.
Hawthorn next week.DON'T THINK SO.

Goldmember,

I would have liked to watch the match, but once again we had the ridiculous situation of there being no AFL on free-to-air TV on the Saturday afternoon of the long weekend.

Moeee, didnt look at the draw for next week, i was just talking literally after the loss, but a it is hawthorn, so they are safe, also are you still backing the saints to win the flag every week.

I put my tips in somewhere in this forum.
My system says to back the events with the highest overlays.And limit the bets to 3.
Well this week it came out as Adelaide with 20 points in and Fremantle straight out.
Still think the Saints are value,but kept off them at the $2.90.
I don't think a win next time will influence their premiership price so I might get back on after the Hawthorn game.
I've seen what they are capable of,but it sure doesn't look good at the moment.
What percentage did they say it was above the shoulders?
You don't need brains to be a footballer,but you sure do need motivation.

ANALYSE THAT!