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Yeah Feather, I've noticed you have a good strike rate of getting the winner with your two tips per race.
Personally, I'm absolutely hopeless at these Tipping comps. Unlike you, I always have so many different races I think about including and I get all confused and never know which ones to finally pick. And the races I do end up choosing are always the wrong ones. |
Well, Raw Instinct's got off to a great start with the trifecta in MR8 ($527.90) and Nulla got the Tri in MR9 ($382.90).
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Leaderboard:
Raw Instinct : $608.90 nulla : $382.90 lomaca : $240.00 feather : $229.40 Testarossa : $204.80 Horse Whisperer : $201.00 ra sun : $157.50 Raider : $108.00 Sportz : $88.85 doomben : $86.00 a4brianp : $62.00 Rudolph : $47.00 sparkus8 : $36.00 brave chief : $0.00 Chuck : $0.00 QuickFunBet : $0.00 Martin Friedman : $0.00 Carol Friedman : $0.00 Zev Friedman : $0.00 Well done Raw. Great trifecta there. |
Thanks Sportz if only I had put it on myself would have saved an average day for me.
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i got that one today chuck!!(navaho princess) mind u i only had 5 e/w it still was a good kickstart to my day :) |
Perhaps i should stick to the trots.At least i know something about them and can get a winner.
Thanks for running this comp SPORTZ good interest trouble is i backed my selections. cheers |
I better improve my game, if i'm to get the "Spring Comp + December Comp + January Comp" tipster triple!
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be careful!
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Yes I agree that you are the best about,but take it from me,once you start opening your mouth too wide, you will trip over your bottom lip! |
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sportz, I have never looked at a boxed 5 before. how do you work out if a trifecta or quinella is worth putting on? Yesterday i bet on 7 races, four were on the forum and three at ascot. I would of won the tri 5 times paying 163.20, 295.80, 110.70, 23.60 & 63.80. is the loss of one worth it,because i had the others? I would of had the quin in all 7 races (not betting) and only four were over the $10 cost, but because I had pr9, this would of covered the losses . for the past two months on this system, i had been looking at only 4 horses per race, and it was not worth looking into it further. Is there such a thing as a strike rate for two horses in a race? as i have been recording them separatly. thanks |
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It's hard to tell whether a race is going to be value or not. I just looked up the results of your races and in all three trifectas that paid quite well, the favourite missed a place. That's when you get the bigger dividends. The two trifectas that didn't pay a lot, the favourite won. So, I guess the secret is to see if there's a short priced favourite and work out whether you think it will win or not. As for 5 horses versus 4, when you only have 4 horses in a trifecta and something goes wrong with one of them, you're relying on all 3 of your remaining runners filling the placings. In a 5 horse box, you have that extra chance. Most of the experts will actually say that it's stupid to have a box trifecta and it would be much better to use the 3/6/6 or 2/7/7 ideas. I just feel safer boxing them or using the roving banker idea. I prefer to have more than just 2 or 3 horses running for 1st. 2 guys in the tipping comp unsuccessfully went for a 2/7/7 trifecta in R6 in Sydney, and there's a good chance they would have got it with a 5 horse box or roving banker. Quote:
Of course there is. It doesn't matter if you have two horses in a race. If you back 2 horses in say 10 races and your top selection wins 4 of them and your 2nd pick wins 2, then you've had the winner in 6 of the 10 races (60%) The only thing that changes is the profit. If you back them at level stakes and you get a $3.00 winner, instead of getting 200% profit on that race, you've only made 50% profit. The thing I've noticed with your tips for the comp is that you have the same amount on both and if a short priced runner wins, you don't make much profit on the race. Perhaps you could think about having more on the shorter one, say $10 compared to $5. Don't know why I should tell you what to do though. You're doing better in the tipping comp than me. |
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