OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums - QUEEN ELIZABETH STAKES - 2000M [Group 1] 2 April 05

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- - QUEEN ELIZABETH STAKES - 2000M [Group 1] 2 April 05 - Randwick (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=8336)

Final market movement

No. Horse Was Final
001 Grand Armee $1.75 $1.15
011 Savabeel $8.00 $2.25
003 Toulouse Lautrec $8.00 $2.25
010 Ike's Dream $11.00 $2.50
002 Desert War $11.00 $2.35
009 Vouvray $13.00 $2.65
004 Mummify $21.00 $3.00
005 Delzao $21.00 $5.00
006 St Reims $34.00 $8.00
007 Rizon $101.00 $21.00
008 Simply Viv $251.00 $51.00

Quote:

Originally Posted by whiterhino

1) GRAND ARMEE
4) MUMMIFY
9) VOUVRAY
5) DELZAO

Another MAGIC moment :D

07 BIGPOND QUEEN
ELIZABETH 3YO+ STAKES
2000 Metres
3:45pm
1ST LEG DAILY DOUBLE
3RD LEG QUADRELLA

WIN/PLACE
1 2.00 1.30
5.............4.90
4.............3.00
QUINELLA 20.60
EXACTA 44.80
TRIFECTA 334.00
FIRST4 1559.80
(1-5-4-9)
SPECIAL DIV 2.00

( 1) GRAND ARMEE
( 5) DELZAO
( 4) MUMMIFY
( 9) VOUVRAY

SCR - NIL
QUADRELLA SUB - 1

Haven't given the race the good once over yet, but i only wish i could pick winners as easy as i can pick horses that have no chance. Savabeel was the easiest lay for the whole day, just wondering if it ever had a chance?

Quote:

Originally Posted by whiterhino

1) GRAND ARMEE
4) MUMMIFY
9) VOUVRAY
5) DELZAO

Well I’ll be whiterhino! Hot fav home but you’ve still managed to get great roi! Excellent effort whiterhino !!

QUINELLA $20.60
EXACTA $44.80
TRIFECTA $334.00
FIRST4 $1,559.80

Quote:

Originally Posted by Real Deal

If i can offer any advice it would be to kep all the money you are going to outlay on savabeel in your pocket. Its last start i was at flemington and the jockey put away the whip at the 100 cause the horse refused to respond. The going is probably worse up there and it will be no where near the finish of this race.

Spot on with your advice Real Deal! ;)

Quote:

Originally Posted by Duritz

Interesting words thanks Real Deal.

I keep looking and looking at this race, and wondering how the **** are they going to beat GA. If it goes like it has it's last two then they surely cannot, because if they could then they'd be better than M.Diva too, and NONE of these horses are better (or even close to) M.Diva at WFA. So, GA should be an absolute moral then. The only thing is as Mercurial said, if GA is over the top. If not, it just wins. I'll want $2.50 though. Hell I might not bet. This just looks too straightforward - like two ago when he brained them, this looks like another walk in the park. SOMETHING must be going to happen, becuase horse racing isn't this straightforward, surely? I mark GA a $1.30 chance on my ratings, he has literally lengths on these horses but they don't get any weight from him (or if they do, only weight for age allowance). If he performs again, he wins, full stop. By three or four. So, with that in mind, isn't $1.80 or so insane overs??? If, as I said, his best (ie his last two starts) beats their best with ease, shouldn't he be $1.30?

Insane overs indeed Duritz, hope you reaped the benefit.