OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/index.php)
-   Horse Race Betting Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=10)
-   -   Newspaper Tipsters Panels (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=8868)

davez 29th April 2005 07:38 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by davez
anyone able to analyse the results for runners say under 10/1 that have NOT been tipped by a given panel of tipsters?



cant be done anyone?

jfc 29th April 2005 06:09 PM

Davez,

Increasing the SP up to 10/1 on my sample reduces the return to a very ordinary 93.3%.

While my earlier 97% for "untipped" <= 3/1 runners is very seductive, I caution anyone against getting carried away with that. Results vary from State to State and days of the week. Saturdays are the worst.

However if you combine the study with the OPPOSITE of Bhagwan's latest brainstorm by considering TAB#'s > 4:

Untipped <= 3/1 & TAB# > 4

4,738 - Runs
25.8% - Strike Rate
100.3% - ROT - best SP/NSW !!!!
98.0% - ROT - NSW TAB

I don't know of too many ~5,000 run samples that can end up in the black.

racingnovice 29th April 2005 07:02 PM

Interesting results. Im sure with a couple simple filters it would be much better. Might be something to keep an eye on.

davez 30th April 2005 08:03 AM

thanks jfc, & yes racingnovice it would appear a few filters and a decent staking plan could produce some interesting results, having a look at various tipping panels may also be worthwhile.

& as an after thought - <=3/1 & unitab rating of say < 95 ish? would have snagged the last 3 at cranbourne on friday

dingoboy 30th April 2005 09:32 AM

my younger days
 
Hi all,

just on the tipsters columns,

When i had my very first dable on the punt 15 years ago, i would walk to the newsagent every saturday, come back armed with the holy grail (telegrapgh form guide), make a BIG cuppa,and i mean BIG, go back to bed with said trusty felt tipped pen (couldnt afford clip board) and circle the "more favoured" in each column that were say 6/1 ish in the race. I would also listen to the fellas talking on the radio about each race and would find one in each race to put my $2 bets on. I honestly did not know what a maiden was apart from the one lying next to me complaining that i shouldnt be wasting the day drawing on the form guide, i didnt understand weights, barriers, trainers, mud,...nothing.
You may laugh but it did work, it helped me pay for my second car ! (mind you it only cost 3K and i saved all year)

True story

God health to everyone
Dingo

racingnovice 30th April 2005 09:52 AM

Not sure how these will go but should be interesting :). They are a combination of Pre post prices, tipsters top picks and unitab ratings.

ROSEHILL
R3 #3 BARBERTON
R6 #1 SEA SEARCH

SANDOWN
R5 #8 SONIC ROYAL
R7 #2 PERLIN
R8 #12 ASSAFA


All times are GMT +10. The time now is 02:19 PM.

Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.