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- - Lay Don Scott's Outsiders (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=25652)

U.B.

I've checked the records of the accidents.

Unfortunately field size hasn't had any importance. Fields of 13-plus have had their fair share of accidents.

I'll ignore field size and hope the method continues to perform.

Thanks for your positive intentions.

Quote:

Originally Posted by michaelg

Hi, U.B.

Not knowing anything about computers I don't have a spreadsheet.

Michael
Betfair has a simple function to download your history into a spreadsheet. All you need is to have Excel on your computer. Most do and you can get some fantastic summaries from it. Happy to lend a hand if you'd like.

Thanks for your kind offer, Speedy Ben. However one of my fiends will soon be spending a week in my area and I will ask him to sit at my computer and show me what to do.

Today's selections:

Warwick Farm
8/11

Newcastle
2/3, 14
4/1, 7
5/5, 16, 17
7/10

Nowra
4/10
5/5, 6, 8

Coonabarabran
1/7
2/15
3/5, 10

Gold Coast
3/5, 9
7/12

Toowoomba
2/7

Not many selections today because of the introduction of the recent filter.

Quote:

Originally Posted by michaelg

Thanks for your kind offer, Speedy Ben. However one of my fiends will soon be spending a week in my area and I will ask him to sit at my computer and show me what to do.

How many FIENDS do you have Michael?

None fortunately. However after today's results I'm beginning to think I may have a few unknown ones.

There was one accident from the 21 selections for a loss of $213.78. That's two successive losing days - there's never been three so I suppose I should be hopeful about tomorrow...but I can't.

Michael
I don't know if you'd call this good news or bad news but Newc 7/10 ( a loss for you ) was rated at $19.

Thanks, Speedy Ben, you are right about it's D.S. price being $19.

But maybe R&S reduced it's price after the race to reflect it's win.

However no such thing happened to Friday's accident of Pakenham 9/9 because the Worksheet still shows it's D.S. price at $300.

All I can think of is that yesterday I must have identified it's D.S. price before R&S loaded the scratchings which reduced it's price to $19 - this is something I must consider.

So I don't really know if yesterday's accident was a genuine one. And to reduce from a price of $100(?) to $19 does seem extreme and unlikely, but because I listed it here as a selection I have to wear it. However, yesterday's disappointment is now almost non-existent. Fortunately I layed some of the other selections for more than the standard $333 to break-even on the day.

Thanks for checking it out and bringing it to our notice.

I record before scratchings:

meeting	race	horse	TAB	RFS	DLS	YR	BRR	FORM	COND	CONS	BP	JOCK	JC	FR	EM	PER	DIVIDEND
28937	7	TEN TO ZERO	10	5	17	38.5	32	0.5	0	0	-0.5	1.5	0	33.5	4	3.87	26

The Final Rating was 33.5 and the don scott price was $26.

Here are all the horses:

28937	7	MY MAN OF WAR	1	8	29	34.5	34.5	-2	0	0	0	1.5	3	37	0.5	13.94	7
28937	7	BINALONG ROAD	2	0	77	35.5	35.5	0	-6	0	0	2.5	2	34	3.5	5.11	20
28937	7	KIMBERLEY KID	3	5	9	36	33.5	-2	0	-1	0	-0.5	0	30	7.5	0.62	201
28937	7	FOREIGN NEWS	4	5	19	36	35	1	0	-0.5	-2	0	0	33.5	4	3.87	26
28937	7	BRAGGART	5	5	17	36	33	-2	0	0.5	-1.5	1.5	3	34.5	3	6.2	16
28937	7	CZAR OF YANGERY	6	4	13	38.5	32.5	0.5	0	-1	-1	1.5	0	32.5	5	2.17	51
28937	7	FRANKENFURTER	7	0	167	34	34	0	-6	0	0	0.5	0	28.5	9	0.15	601
28937	7	LE BEAU CHEVAL	8	4	14	36.5	35	-2	0	0.5	0	0	0	33.5	4	3.87	26
28937	7	LUTHER	9	3	16	33	33	1.5	0	0	-2	-1	0	31.5	6	1.24	81
28937	7	TEN TO ZERO	10	5	17	38.5	32	0.5	0	0	-0.5	1.5	0	33.5	4	3.87	26
28937	7	REBEL PRINCE	11	1	9	38	21.5	4	0	0	-0.5	0	0	25	12.5	0.15	601
28937	7	RICH N FAMOUS	12	0	105	37	37	0	-6	0	0	1	2	34	3.5	5.11	20
28937	7	SANDPIPERS	13	3	21	33.5	33.5	1.5	0	0	0	0	0	35	2.5	7.75	13
28937	7	HADEED	14	0	131	34.5	34.5	0	-6	2	-1.5	0	0	29	8.5	0.31	301
28937	7	UNO FIVE	15	6	39	35	35	0	-1.5	0	-1	1	3	36.5	1	12.39	8
28937	7	ANATOMIC	16	10	35	38	35.5	0	-1.5	-0.5	0	0	0	33.5	4	3.87	26
28937	7	GRIFT	17	3	14	34.5	34.5	1.5	0	0	0	1.5	0	37.5	0	15.49	6.5
28937	7	MARCH TO VICTORY	18	0	243	36.5	36.5	0	-6	0	0	-0.5	0	30	7.5	0.62	201
28937	7	IN NOMINE PATRI	19	4	15	37	33.5	0.5	0	-0.5	-0.5	0	0	33	4.5	3.1	31

Possibly the selection should have been 11 ?

Thanks, U.B - whatever happened, the mistake was mine.

I first write down the selections based on the Worksheet market and at the same time I cross-reference them with the Telegraph. Finally, I look at Unitab for the remaining filters and come up with the final selections.

When I looked at Unitab, No.11 was scratched, so I believe I could not have considered it. No.10 matched all the rules, except for the price, so I still can't say with certainty why I made the mistake.

There's been 1,949 selections - I hope I haven't made any more mistakes. My only excuse is that my selection process is done manually.

Sorry anyone, if you layed it.

I just have to be more careful.

Quote:

Originally Posted by michaelg

Michael
The reason that I checked your selections is that I worked out my own selections and I did not have a loser on the day so, I assumed that I may have overlooked this one. I go a bit wider than you so when you have a loss I always have it too. I did the first half of each meeting on Fri night and the second half about 3pm eastern on Sat. so that is when i would have done the loser's race.