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-   -   Real Deals Trifecta System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=12581)

Stix 20th February 2006 12:20 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by the freek
Stix, are you standing out your top selection to win in the Exacta's or do you also take it to run 2nd ?
G'day The Freek

I take Straight-out exacta's my selection for first only and then 3 for second.

I works for me, I know everyone has their own (preferred) bet type and way of punting, so whatever works I say....

Good Luck.

Stix 20th February 2006 12:25 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by marcus25
Sorry to disappoint you Stix, I ran the whole gamut of combinations ie. first fav. with the field sec. fav with the field etc. combined with starting prices and number of runners, (like less than $2 and less than 7 runners etc.) and the result is: as I expected, UTTER disaster.
If it only were so easy??
I am sorry but nothing beats rating!
My opinion only of course, so no debate here.
Good luck all.

Marcus

Interesting comments.

Guess testing on a "mass" data source would ultimately see it fail, I guess - from Real's point of view - not all selections will be the $2 hot pot, it maybe a whisper/rating/inside knowledge... yatta yatta... or whatever selection method he uses and produces value that way... I don't know!....

.....we will have to see what selections he has as his stand-out....

Good Luck Real....... we ALL need it... ;)

Real Deal 24th February 2006 12:54 PM

Tomorrows bets at this stage will be:

Aqua Damore
God's Own
Lad of the Manor.

Some of you may turn your nose up at this but i am willing to put this threads life on the line and say that if all 3 win i am guaranteeing a profit!!
(with current fields-will re assess after scratchings.)

Yep, you got it right-If ALL 3 win and i don't show a profit for the day there will never be another trifecta tip from me on this thread.

marcus25 24th February 2006 01:24 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Real Deal
Tomorrows bets at this stage will be:
Some of you may turn your nose up at this but

Hi Real Deal!
I hope you don't include me in the "some". I ran the test through ALL races with fav as a standout, so there was no question, it would lose.
But if you have selections that happen to be favs, with a good chance of winning, I can't see why it should not be profitable. That's what I meant by saying "nothing beats rating!", in my opinion rating includes tips, hints etc. after all, they all have some valid info behind them.

Hope you snare all of them today and the next day and ......
Cheers

Stix 24th February 2006 01:35 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Real Deal
Tomorrows bets at this stage will be:

Aqua Damore
God's Own
Lad of the Manor.

Some of you may turn your nose up at this but i am willing to put this threads life on the line and say that if all 3 win i am guaranteeing a profit!!
(with current fields-will re assess after scratchings.)

Yep, you got it right-If ALL 3 win and i don't show a profit for the day there will never be another trifecta tip from me on this thread.

Good Luck Real

But keep posting son!

I think that the missing link people (turning their nose up) are missing is the fact that not all your selections are hot pots..... plain and simple.... therefore value is be had... just need the strike rate to kick it along !

Good Luck Fella :)

Ade 24th February 2006 01:43 PM

Yes, keep posting Real Deal. It doesn't matter if they are outsiders or hot favourites, as long as you can pick the winners. That is what we strive for, to pick the winners no matter what their price may be.

Winners are grinners, and judging by those three selections you'll be grinning tomorrow evening.

Good luck!

Real Deal 25th February 2006 08:07 AM

Aqua Damore-Field-field
$45 for .50c

God's Own-Field-Field
$42 for $1

Lad Of The Manor-field-field
$36 for .50c

Total Outlay $123

Sportz 25th February 2006 02:13 PM

Bad luck, mate. I hope you didn't actually go through with the bets after that heavy storm struck???

Once all that rain came, Apache Cat and Our Smoking Joe came right into the picture. Was amazed with the great odds on both of them.

Real Deal 26th February 2006 04:46 PM

Here's the thing guys. I posted my tips on the morning of the race but as i was at the races didnt get a chance to withdraw my selections and therefore i did not outlay the bets. But as i did not post that all bets were off for the guys that have been following my tips i have nbo choice but to add the days losses to the total.

So far total outlay: $290
Total Return: $181.60
Strike Rate: 4/10

Real Deal 3rd March 2006 01:22 PM

Just one for today. I have been on this horse previously so it may come as no surprise.

Sandown Race 3 #1 Anais-field-field
Cost-$28 for .50c


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