Sandown yesterday
 

5 races rated, 10 horses given the "*** winning chance" rating;

Race 5: Lets Go Thommo rated Odds On but didn't live up to that rating.

Race 6: Our top pick Zipping won but paid unders @ $2.40.

Race 7: Belcentra another that rated at Odds On and ran unplaced.

Race 8: Our top 2 ran 2nd. & 3rd. respectively, and whilst missing the winner we did have the quinella @ $26.50.

Race 9: Following on from Montechoro last week, we managed to find a good priced winner in the "Get Out Stakes", Zip Baby Zip returning $13.90 against our rated price of $6.80. Also snared the Tri. @ $619.50 and, by extension, the First 4 @ $8279.60

In the wash up, a one unit flat bet on all "***" horses returned 16.3 units or a profit of 63% on turnover. It would take you a long way on a tram !

See ya next week,

Gerry.

Well done. Keep it up. Good to see you marked those with winning chances.

Early this week....
 

having a game of golf Sat. morning so here they are for Sandown & Morphetville.

Sat. 24th. Nov. 2007

Note: These ratings have been done much earlier than usual and won't be
altered after scratchings etc. as I am having a day off tomorrow.
They are based on a dead track at Sandown & a good track at Morphetville,
but wouldn't change unless they are downgraded to slow or worse.

Sandown races 4,5, & 7 are not races which I would normally include, and I
have only rated them for quaddy picks. Risky races.

Quaddy races 5,6,7,8. Try 1,5,10---1,5,7,9---2,7,8---5,7,8 ( 108 units or flexi bet ).
Not so wide try 5,10---1,7,9---2,7---8 ( 12 units ).

Winning chances are marked ***; Don't ask why some winning chances rate lower
than others not given a winning chance. As usual, all care, no responsibility.

Sandown Race 3 2.10pm Rating Market
3 TREMEZZO*** 56.7 $2.90
2 JUST CURIOUS 55.4 $4.10
4 MANNA MISS*** 54.3 $5.90
9 SALUTE THE STORM 52.5 $12.00
1 SOVEREIGN MISS 52.2 $13.50
6 SENORITA DE LAGO 51.8 $16.20
7 COLLODI 48.6 $71.70
5 JOONTOO GEMINI*** 47 $100.00
8 WILLINGANI 46.5 $100.00
10 JUNGLE ECHO 43.7 $100.00
11 MARY GOODNIGHT 40 $100.00
12 TULLY LAYO 36.9 $100.00

Tri's 3,4,5---2,3,4,5---2,3,4,5,9
Quinellas box 2,3,4,5

Sandown Race 4 2.50pm Rating Market
4 NORTHERN POINT*** 59.2 $2.00
3 SATIN ROBES 57.3 $3.40
2 APPLE LODE 54.9 $8.60
7 SERENE PRINCE 51.9 $33.50
6 CALL ME SYD 51.4 $42.70
5 CAN LAGO 50.7 $60.20
9 TOP TIER 49.8 $94.80
8 CENTOPIA 49 $100.00
10 BOND STREET 48.2 $100.00
1 WATCHYERBACK 47.8 $100.00
11 SECRET TUNNEL 42.1 $100.00

Tri's 4---3,7---2,3,5,7
Quinellas 2/4 3/4 4/7

Sandown Race 5 3.30pm Rating Market
5 MUZDAHER*** 62.5 $2.10
1 COCINERO 60 $4.40
7 ITSAMONTY 58.9 $6.70
10 ESCADAIRE*** 57.2 $13.80
2 STICKPIN 55.8 $26.20
3 ROADHOG 54.1 $59.00
4 BOWHUNTER 53.3 $88.10
6 CAMP KALANI 51.1 $100.00
8 OUR RAPHAEL 49.7 $100.00
12 REDADAN 48 $100.00
9 CURRIGEE 47.7 $100.00
11 DRIZZLE 47.5 $100.00

Tri's 5,10---1,5,7,8,10---1,5,7,8,10
Quinellas box 1,5,7,8,10

Sandown Race 6 4.05pm Rating Market
1 FLASH TRICK*** 64.1 $3.10
9 ECLAIR PASSION*** 63.9 $3.20
5 LIKE IT IS 61.1 $8.00
10 MOJO PIN 59.8 $13.30
6 HIDDEN STRINGS 58.3 $25.70
3 SENTIRE 58 $29.50
11 UTILITY 58 $29.50
4 SHINZIG 57.7 $33.80
7 KING JOHANNES*** 57.3 $40.80
8 CANCANELLE 53.8 $100.00
12 THE WOLVERINE 52 $100.00
2 GROWL 50.7 $100.00

Tri's 1,7,9---1,5,7,9---1,3,4,5,7,9,10
Quinellas box 1,5,7,9

Morphetville Race 6 4.15pm Rating Market
1 EXALTED EGO*** 58 $3.70
7 SAVLATE*** 58 $3.70
3 MERLOT NOW*** 57.5 $4.10
4 JIM'S PARTY*** 54.5 $11.40
6 STEEL MY HEART*** 54 $14.00
5 SECRET DAUGHTER*** 52.5 $26.80
8 ULYSSES 51.1 $51.00
9 KEEPTHEDREAMALIVE 45.5 $100.00
2 SATURN 39.2 $100.00

Too many chances in this, make up your own mind about tri's and quinellas.
Any multi should pay well in what should, in spite of the small field, be a wide betting race.

Sandown Race 7 4.45pm Rating Market
2 AMBERINO*** 61 $1.10
8 JUMAANA 52 $43.80
11 BENATAR 51.5 $55.30
7 SERA CIELO*** 51.2 $65.90
5 SENSATIONAL TOY 51.1 $69.40
1 LAURA'S CHARM 50.9 $76.90
4 MYALANSKY 50.4 $99.80
3 FULLTA 49.9 $100.00
6 KINGSTON BIRD 49.9 $100.00
12 IMPOSING WAY 49.5 $100.00
10 GRISBI 49.4 $100.00
9 SAFARI SUNBEAM 48.2 $100.00
13 BOMBORA BLAZE 45 $100.00

Tri's 2,7---2,4,5,7,8,12---2,4,5,7,8,11,12
Quinellas 2/7 and 2 & 7 with 4,5,8,12.

Sandown Race 8 5.25pm Rating Market
8 ITSTHEONE*** 59.7 $2.40
5 OKAY OKY 58.5 $3.20
7 FIRE HAZARD 56.7 $6.10
1 MR BARITONE 54.6 $14.60
9 VICARAGE GATE 50.3 $100.00
4 HOME SWEET 49.9 $100.00
10 TANTAT SECRET 49.5 $100.00
6 SPELLING 49.1 $100.00
11 PACKING SUCCESS 48.5 $100.00
13 HUCKLEBERRY FINN 48.2 $100.00
12 BELLA CASSANI 47.7 $100.00
3 METTRE EN JEU 44.5 $100.00
2 HUNTER HERMITAGE 42.3 $100.00

Tri's 8---5,7---1,4,5,7,9
Quinellas box 5,7,8

Sat. 1st. December 2007
 

TAB # Horse
Cheltenham Race 2 @ 1420 Rating My Price
2 MAN OF CLASS*** 50.6 $2.60
3 TO A FAULT 49 $3.90
4 COUNTESS OF TIBA*** 48.3 $5.00
6 RODETO 45.6 $14.90
5 BRILLIANT LIES 44.8 $21.30
1 JEUNE'S EDGE 44.7 $22.30
7 SURE PAINT 31.2 $100.00
8 BENEHIL 22.9 $100.00

Tri's 2,3,4---2,,3,4,5,6---2,3,4,5,6
Quinellas box 2,3,4,5,6

Cheltenham Race 4 @ 1540 Rating My Price
2 BOLD LINE*** 54.6 $2.30
1 MT BILLY*** 52.6 $4.00
6 MI CASA SU CASA*** 51.5 $6.10
3 AUSTPAK 50 $11.20
7 STARBIRD*** 49 $17.40
4 RACER'S RUN 44.1 $100.00
5 GREEN MACHINE 42.6 $100.00

Tri's 1,2,6,7---1,2,3,6,7---1,2,3,6,7
Quinellas box 1,2,6,7

Moonee Valley Race 7 @ 1650 Rating My Price
1 ARBITRATION*** 58 $2.30
6 MOONLOUSHE 55.8 $4.30
5 SENDEED 54 $8.60
8 ROSLOTTA 53.2 $12.10
7 PROSPECT 53 $13.20
4 LANSON 52 $20.60
2 HUNTER HERMITAGE 46.5 $100.00
3 TAILS OF TRIOMPHE 45 $100.00
9 PIETRO VANNUCCI Scratched

Tri's 1---5,6,7,8---4,5,6,7,8
Quinellas 1/5 1/6 1/7 1/8

Moonee Valley Race 8 @ 1730 Rating My Price
3 SENORITA DE LAGO*** 49 $4.00
7 COMOSA 47.5 $5.90
6 SPACEAGE JULIET 47.2 $6.50
4 BAREFOOT MARVEL*** 47 $7.00
1 DIRT MUSIC 45.5 $12.20
10 MARY GOODNIGHT*** 45.5 $12.20
8 FROTHY 45 $15.00
12 PARK ESTEEM 42.3 $49.60
11 BETTER ALTERNATIVE 41.8 $62.90
2 MISS BADOURA 40.7 $100.00
9 SAMURTRIARK 39.5 $100.00
5 MANHATTAN TREASURE Scratched

Tri's 3,4,10---1,3,4,6,7,10---1,3,4,6,7,10
Quinellas Box 3,4,10



Not a good day for a punt. Maybe a few Tri's is the way to go, but I
wouldn't be putting the rent on anything today.
Randwick & Doomben should be avoided like the plague.

*** Rated as having a winning chance.

Sat. 8th. Dec. 2007
 

having a day off today, but for quick ratings @ Caulfield see "One Minute Ratings" thread.

Gerry

Sat. 15th. December 2007
 

let's see if we can get a Xmas present........

TAB # Horse Rating My price
Flemington Race 2
1 ARBITRATION*** 64.0 $1.30
2 GALLOPIN*** 59.3 $6.70
4 MOJO PIN*** 57.6 $14.30
5 ROAD TO ATHENS 53.0 $100.00
6 ROSLOTTA 52.9 $100.00
7 BAREFOOT MARVEL 51.0 $100.00
3 TAILS OF TRIOMPHE 47.5 $100.00

# 1 rated to win by 2.5L, but 2 or 4 could upset.
Sugg. Trifecta 1---2,4---2,4

Cheltenham Race 1 1335
2 THE CHUNKSTER*** 53.4 $1.10
1 STRATEGIC ANSWER 45.8 $21.30
4 FELLINA*** 44.9 $33.20
3 NIKITA JANE*** 44.3 $44.80
5 RUBEVE 30.8 $100.00

# 2 rated to win by 5L, but please yourself about short odds
in small fields.

Flemington Race 3 1405
2 JUST CURIOUS*** 57.1 $3.20
6 PARTIVA*** 57.0 $3.20
1 LAURA'S CHARM 54.5 $7.30
5 TAHNEE TANGO 52.8 $12.80
3 PRINCESS MARIZZA 52.0 $19.30
4 MYALANSKY*** 51.9 $20.00
10 MIXXER 50.7 $35.00
7 PINTAKA 50.0 $48.60
9 BRITOMART 49.5 $61.80
8 RUBY TROIS Scratched

Nothing between 2 & 6, with 4 a chance at good odds. An open
betting race so multis should pay OK.
Sugg. Tri's 1,2,4,6---1,2,4,6---1,2,4,5,6,7,10 (60 units or flexi).
Quinella box 1,2,4,6

Flemington Race 5 1525
5 BILLYWING*** 53.4 $4.70
7 PERUSEN*** 53.4 $4.70
3 YOU SEXY BOY*** 52.1 $6.50
11 REDONDO BEACH 51.5 $8.00
8 VENGO 51.0 $9.60
9 ELWOOD 49.0 $21.20
4 DON RAPHAEL 48.8 $23.10
12 CHINA CAUSEWAY 48.5 $26.20
2 EXPUNGE 47.9 $33.90
6 DIRT MUSIC 47.3 $44.90
10 MONTE CASSINO 46.4 $68.30
14 CONSTANT CHEERS 31.2 $100.00
1 PANTANI Scratched
13 LISTEN PAL Scratched

Nothing between 5 & 7, then 3
Sugg tri's 3,5,7---3,5,7,8,11---3,5,7,8,9,11
Quinellas box 3 5 7 8 11

Cheltenham Race 4 1535
1 MAN OF CLASS*** 52.1 $3.30
2 KNOCK KNOCK 51.0 $4.40
6 MAID OF THE MIST*** 50.1 $5.80
3 SPARKLING TOP 49.3 $7.80
7 RODETO*** 48.0 $13.10
5 KARIKURI 47.5 $16.20
4 JEUNE'S EDGE 46.1 $30.10
8 GRAND PALAIS Scratched

Only 4 lengths between the lot in this race, so please yourself.
# 6 is good value if you like it ($13 in morning line).

Flemington race 7 1645
11 LA CHASSEUSE*** 59.8 $3.20
5 TOP TIER 57.8 $5.50
9 GRAND DUELS 57.0 $7.40
2 MESSAGE BANK 56.4 $9.40
10 TERESCHENKO 56.0 $11.00
1 APPLE LODE 54.8 $18.30
3 SATIN ROBES 54.8 $18.30
8 CORPORAL NEDIYM 53.2 $37.70
6 CITY OF RUINS 52.9 $43.50
13 AREVALO 42.0 $100.00
12 GOING SPENDING 47.9 $100.00
4 PALACE GENERAL 49.3 $100.00
7 BOLD KEL 50.4 $100.00

# 11 looks good at the weights.
Sugg. Tri's 11---1,2,5,8,9,10---1,2,5,8,9,10 ( 30 units or flexi ).
Quinellas 11 with 2 5 8 9 10.

Flemington Race 8
5 POISED TO WIN*** 56.5 $3.70
2 JIM'S PARTY*** 56.0 $4.10
6 GREAT STEPS*** 55.1 $5.30
3 KING JOHANNES 54.5 $6.40
4 SHARKBITE 52.1 $16.80
1 YOUTHS EDGE 50.5 $33.80
8 MACAU CAUSEWAY 49.6 $50.90
9 ESCAPE ARTIST 49.1 $64.60
10 NINE WIVES 49.2 $68.50
11 HASTY APPEAL 41.0 $100.00
7 ITSTHEONE Scratched

Only 3 lengths between the top 5 here, with 2 & 6 only coming in as "winning chances"
after the scratching of # 7.
Sugg. Tri's 2,5,6---2,3,4,5,6---1,2,3,4,5,6 ( 48 units or flexi ).
Quinella box 2,3,4,5,6

Flemington quaddy 3,5,7---12,10,7,9---5,9,11---2,5,6 (108 units or flexi)

Bold type and "***" denotes winning chances.

Amended prices Race 3 Flem....
 

with late scratching of Myalansky.

1; $6.70
2; $3
3; $18.40
5; $13.20
6; $3.10
7; $46.40
9; $59
10; $33.40

framed to 100%

Gerry

Sat. 29/12/07
 

Not wasting a lot of time on crap races, but if you want ot take a flexi quaddie, see "One Minute Ratings" thread.

have a good New Year,

Gerry

Another crappy day for the punt....
 

See "One minute ratings" thread.

Gerry

Sat. 12 Jan. 2008
 

Horses in Bold Type with *** given a winning chance.

TAB Horse Rating My Market
Doomben Race 2 @12.35
1 ESKIMO DAN*** 55.3 $1.30
3 BITOFASMARTIE 49.8 $9.90
5 TIME AND DANDY 47.8 $25.00
12 ST LOUIS BLUE*** 47.8 $25.00
11 TARIKI 47.7 $25.80
8 TATTYAM 47 $37.00
4 GREENFINDER 42 $100.00
6 MR MISTER 40.5 $100.00
7 BESORAA 41.3 $100.00
9 LATIN IDOL 43.3 $100.00
13 SEMI FINAL 37 $100.00
2 GRAND LADDIE Scratched
10 ENGINEER Scratched

Tri's 1,12---1,3,5,8,11,12---1,3,5,8,9,11,12
Quinellas 1,12 with 3,5,8,11
Track is slow, so please yourself about this race.

Caulfield race 1 @ 12.45
4 TREMEZZO*** 61.5 $1.30
3 OUR SPUR 56 $9.10
1 ISTA KAREEM 54.6 $17.20
2 YOUTHS EDGE 53.1 $35.60
5 STAY ALL DAY 45.6 $100.00
6 THE FONZ 49.6 $100.00
7 KHAYYAM 47 $100.00

Tri's 4---1,3---1,2,3,6
Quinellas 4 with 1,2,3,6

Morphetville race 1 @ 12.55
1 ROYAL PLAYER*** 56.5 $1.20
2 KNOCK KNOCK*** 51.8 $6.20
4 KENWICK 47.3 $51.90
3 EPONA MISS 40.2 $100.00
5 BALDAQUE 43.2 $100.00

Tri's 1,2---1,2,4---1,2,4
Quinellas no value.

Caulfield Race 4 @ 2.40
1 COCINERO*** 66.7 $1.80
4 ITSAMONTY*** 62.8 $6.50
3 STICKPIN 62.4 $7.70
5 LARSON*** 61.6 $10.80
2 CARGO CULT 60.7 $16.20
6 TEARS 'N' TRIUMPH 54 $100.00
7 REDADAN 54 $100.00

Tri's 1,4,5---1,2,4,5---1,2,3,4,5 but not much value.
Quinellas box 1,2,4,5

Caulfield race 5 @ 3.20
3 HERE DE ANGELS*** 61.5 $1.70
1 LET GO THOMMO*** 59.7 $2.70
5 MESSAGE BANK 54.1 $29.30
2 RAID THE ROYALS 49.8 $100.00
6 MONDANO 49 $100.00
7 MISS LUCILLE 44 $100.00
4 LUCKY SECRET Scratched

Tri's 1,3---1,3---1,3,5
Quinellas Box 1,3,4

Morphetville Race 5 @ 3.30
1 ALLSTAR*** 55.6 $2.50
4 MADURO*** 54 $3.90
2 SUREWOOD 53.9 $4.00
5 TENSHI 50.1 $18.20
7 GOLDEN SNIP*** 49.2 $27.50
3 TERANGO 44.2 $100.00
6 DR CONGO 41.7 $100.00
8 GLEESONS LANDING 41.8 $100.00

Tri's 1,4,7---1,2,4,5,6,7---1,2,4,5,6,7
Quinellas Box 1,4,7

Morphetville Race 6 @ 4.10
4 DIAMOND COVE*** 59.8 $2.50
1 EXALTED EGO 57.7 $4.40
3 MERLOT NOW 55.8 $9.20
2 ROAD WORKER 55.7 $9.30
6 OBGLO 54.5 $16.10
5 GREEN MACHINE 54.3 $17.60
7 VINTRACK 52.1 $49.50
8 VICELLO 49.1 $100.00
9 SPLINTA 50 $100.00
10 LOT ONE 49 $100.00

Tri's 4---1,5,6---1,3,5,6,8
Quinellas 4 with 1,3,5,6

Rosehill race 6 @ 4.20
5 PARTY CRASHER*** 61.8 $1.50
2 LEGENDARY MAN*** 58.6 $4.20
1 NEWPORT 54.8 $22.70
4 EL MEROO 53.5 $41.80
6 PHILOSOPHE 52.8 $60.00
7 JAMBEROO*** 51.8 $98.90
3 HURRAH 51.7 $100.00
8 CHOOSE TO DREAM 43.5 $100.00
9 MIZONE 50.8 $100.00

Tri's 2,5,7---2,4,5,7,9---2,4,5,7,9
Quinellas Box 2,5,7