long run of outs
 

I said in another post if a run of outs is ok if the odds are high but the facts seem to point to a loser in the long run as the odds are not high----- however if Try Try has a long past history or someone else can use data to say a profit is possible then I would maybe think again but thats 12 outs in 2 days !!!! and small odds since tips were posted------ still a worry .

Job123 - Ye of little faith!

This is not the time to panic it's the time to bet up!!

Only 2 places yesterday from the 7 selections ($1.60 & $1.90)

Today's possible selections are:-

Mornington R2#2 Colony
Mornington R6#5 Black Artois
Mornington R8#5 Clinches
Mornington R9#3 Retaliate
Goulburn R3#1 Geemeup
Goulburn R5#2 Tuscan Power

Sorry Try it was all "MY" fault,......... I posted congratulations !!!!!!

anyway I'm sure it will recover!

I reckon this one could be a long term winner as your using the best rating service in the country.
I personally dont bet on dead tracks as I,m risk aversive but the prices are such that over time the prices should counter any losses.

Cheers and good luck with it.
darky

Today's results were:-

Mornington R2#2 Colony 3rd -/$1.50
Mornington R6#5 Black Artois 3rd -/$3.40
Mornington R8#5 Clinches Won $4.50/$2.30
Mornington R9#3 Retaliate unpl
Goulburn R3#1 Geemeup unpl
Goulburn R5#2 Tuscan Power unpl

Of the 11 unplaced runners in the past 3 days these were their SP:-

$2.50, $3.20, $4.00, $4.20, $4.40, $4.60 (2), $5.50 (3) and $6.00

which would indicate they were "favoured" in the market OR were they overbet because they are the Don Scott favourite.

profit
 

Try Try do not pay any attention to darky dog he lies and posts a crap system The long term result of any system requires value in the tote prices with dons scott top rater you have just said the favs = don scott top. To have a hope of this working go back and look at your past results and look at the top of ds top where it meets a price of 5 or 6 or 7 or 8 or more dollers(tote price just before the jump ) and see it a profit it made .

No selections today due to track conditions being worse than Dead.

Hi Job123,

I looked at your suggestion of only considering contenders with an SP of >=$5.00. In the past 38 bets, there would have only been 3 winners, the bank would have dropped by 1/3 and would currently be on a 18 losing streak - Scary stuff!

An aspect I will look at are the class of races being thrown up.

If you fogot the 2.00 3.60 rule ( still ds top ) I remember a big odds winner not long ago . might be worth looking into .

What other filters can you all suggest? Maybe cutting selections >5.00 as you have already said that all those selections returned a loss.

What about DS's 2nd fav? or 3rd? Better value?