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-   -   A system for those without a system. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=22643)

moeee 9th October 2011 08:33 AM

I FOUND IT!!!! :)

VANESSA JOHNSTON is a meagre 1.5 Rating :(

TWOBETS 9th October 2011 08:48 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Elk
Vortech (and others thinking of using the S&R Jockey Rating),

I gave Albury a go today and quickly found an anomoly:

One that bothers me more if you watch out for it , is that occasionally the jockey and trainer ratings can be the complete opposite of what the neural values are saying. This I find hard to comprehend.

Maybe it is a warning that you cannot rely on a single data source?

The Elk 9th October 2011 09:15 AM

Quote:
The jockey rating will vary on the website as it is calculated by the strike rate over distance and course....
Fair enough...thought there might be a reason but nothing obvious stood out for me at the time



Mooee, thought you might do a check on Ballybits as well

cheers

Vortech 11th October 2011 08:19 AM

Trying my luck today with vr 8 no8. Going to record results starting next week

lomaca 11th October 2011 12:28 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Vortech
Trying my luck today with vr 8 no8. Going to record results starting next week
Just wondering, what did you have against C Puls in the first?
She won and paid over $5 for the win.

Vortech 11th October 2011 12:36 PM

Basing my theory on a system at this stage. Jockey form must be 3.0. +
After a bit more data, will compare results to neurals and don scott prices to see if there is any correlation.

no offence but never heard of C Puls

lomaca 11th October 2011 12:49 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Vortech
Basing my theory on a system at this stage. Jockey form must be 3.0. +

After a bit more data, will compare results to neurals and don scott prices to see if there is any correlation.
Fair enough, but it's nothing like I've been doing
Good luck with it

Quote:
Originally Posted by Vortech
but never heard of C Puls
She is a good SA jock coming to Vic for one race.

Try Try Again 11th October 2011 01:11 PM

Christine Puls comes from the Western district of Victoria and is married to Dean Yendell.

lomaca 11th October 2011 01:17 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Try Try Again
Christine Puls comes from the Western district of Victoria and is married to Dean Yendell.
Better still I knew she was racing a lot in SA and in the western part of Vic, she is not half bad as a jock.

Vortech 11th October 2011 01:23 PM

lomaca your methods are based on a logical angle that can be argued from one punter to the next. Like one bank approving a loan and another not. Its judgemental.


This day and age, I like to emphasise more attention into a system of rules. (credit modelling in the banks). You list your rules for many systems, set up the database and away you go. At the end of the day, long term you won't hit more than 15% POT. The key is to do this with minimum effort. There must be 1000s of systems that can achieve the results long term.

If I can generate a system for the novice punter, based on a good variable you have listed then lets go with it.


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