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-   -   To Don Scott Ratings "Disciples" (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=23238)

bernie 18th January 2012 05:40 PM

Here's one for ya. Unlike some, I will give the system details.


There were 49527 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 388 selections for the System
There were 91 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 23.45%
There were $515.61 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $127.61 or a percentage profit/loss of 32.89%


The Rules used were : barrier >= 5 and distance >= 1300 and lastStart >= 5 and donScottRank = 1

jose 18th January 2012 05:43 PM

Sent reply Ocho.

jose 18th January 2012 07:05 PM

" Here's one for ya. Unlike some, I will give the system details. "

You only have to ask Bernie. I won't put rules of anything up here for the trawlers to get hold of.

Send me an email to the above addy and I'll give you the rules.

jose 18th January 2012 07:16 PM

4 x winners today.

Wyong 2-4 Madam Nash $2.30
Wyong 4-5 The Firehouse
Sand 5-1 Guru Bob
Sand 7-8 Chamandi $2.70
Ascot 3-9 Dark Rock
Ascot 5-9 Negra Santo $7.70
Ascot 8-4 Head For Heights $10.10
Gawler 7-3 Test Pilot
Gawler 8-4 Miners Gem
Launc 3-12 Kylie's Run
Doom 2-4 Hetty

Outlay 11
Return $22.80 @ Unitab prices.

No too shabby at all.

TheSchmile 18th January 2012 07:24 PM

Hi Jose,

I've forwarded you an email if that's ok?

The Schmile

jose 18th January 2012 07:27 PM

No worries.

The Ocho 18th January 2012 08:53 PM

Good result there Jose. :)

Bhagwan 19th January 2012 04:42 AM

This looks interesting.
It also showed +8% POT for the Place 75% SR
5+ runners.

Approx 1-3 bets a day.

Win & Place betting 1x4
28% POT
40%SR

RULES
Dist 1000-1100
Price 2.20-4.30
TAB No. 1-3
Barrier 1-3
Career strs 1+
Ignore Resumers


There were 107 selections for the System
There were 43 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 40.19%
There were $136.45 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $29.45 or a percentage profit/loss of 27.52%

The Rules used were : WinPriceLay >= 2.2 and WinPriceLay <=4.3 and horseNumber >= 1 and horseNumber <=3 and barrier >= 1 and barrier <=3 and distance >= 1000 and distance <=1100 and daysLastStart <= 89

Bhagwan 19th January 2012 04:56 AM

This is a Lay Plan.

Similar rules as previous plan except it 1200m exactly & we are Laying them to lose.
Amazing how there is a massive difference between to 2 plans due to distance difference.
There could be a lot to be said for creating systems over specialised distance ranges.

Lay to fall over
81% SR
30% POT

RULES
Dist 1200 exactly
Price 2.20-4.50
TAB No. 1-3
Barrier 1-3
Career strs 1+
Ignore Resumers


There were 96 selections for the System
There were 78 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 81.25%
You had to pay out $62.75 but brought in $91.2 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $28.45 or a percentage profit/loss of 29.64%

The Rules used were : WinPriceLay >= 2.2 and WinPriceLay <=4.5 and horseNumber >= 1 and horseNumber <=3 and barrier >= 1 and barrier <=3 and distance = 1200 and careerRaces >= 1 and daysLastStart <= 89

Bhagwan 19th January 2012 05:49 AM

Result
Using the 1000-1100
Bet 1x4 W&P Plan
Wed 18th Jan

2 from 2 selections .

Gawler R7
3.30/1.40

Launceston R7
Ran 2nd
-/ 2.60

Betting 10x40 = 50 per race
3.30 x 10 = 34.00
1.40 x 40 = 56.00
2.60 x 40 = 104.00
Ret $194.00

Ret $194
O/L $100
Prof +$94

12.5% increase on bank .

Bank needed 15 x 50.00 = 750.00
You will be collecting approx 75% of the time.
Make big money.


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