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Privateer's Pareto thread had Pre-Post odds of $3.50 to $11.00 as the number one criteria in a system that was based around recurring stats in good fields.

DTM ;)

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke

Some interesting differences in stats. I wonder if this had anything to do with SOT = GOOD(Melb) vrs DEAD(Syd). In both cases however, a ratings based system trumped the pre-post market, bookies openers and BF SP.

FLEMINGTON
.....W2 W4 W1
PP ..25 38 0
OP ..50 63 38
SP ..63 63 38
RS1 50 88 25
RS2 50 75 50
RS3 38 75 13
RS4 38 75 25
RS5 63 75 25
RS6 75 75 63(5 top pick winners from 8 races)

RANDWICK
.....W2 W4 W1
PP ..78 78 44
OP ..67 78 44
SP ..78 78 33
RS1 78 78 67(6 top pick winners from 9 races)
RS2 33 56 33
RS3 44 56 33
RS4 44 67 11
RS5 44 89 22
RS6 33 56 33

Where;
W4 = % of winners from top 4
W2 = % of winners from top 2
W1 = % of winners from top pick

LG

MY assumption is that in both venues the rating services were the same, raising the issue of track speciality. This is a crucial element in ratings. It is one thing to be good at one state. It is extremely hard to be good at more than one state.
SP is consistent with fav stats. There seems to be an arguement to check the results dutching the top four.

Quote:

Originally Posted by beton

There seems to be an arguement to check the results dutching the top four.

FLEMINGTON
...W2 W4 W1 POT
PP 25 38 0 (39)
OP 50 63 38 (26)
SP 63 63 38 (26)
RS1 50 88 25 35
RS2 50 75 50 26
RS3 38 75 13 56
RS4 38 75 25 24
RS5 63 75 25 24
RS6 75 75 63 26

Where POT = % return dutching top 4 via BF SP.

Cheers LG

RANDWICK
......POT
PP (7)
OP (7)
SP (7)
RS1 (7)
RS2 28
RS3 (34)
RS4 66
RS5 53
RS6 (37)

LG

Suitable arguement to monitor. Rather than get one overall, find a consistent rating for each state.