OK after watching a few more videos I am going to have to throw in signoff in my ones which are hard to split.

If I have to order them it is :

Lucia Valentina
Signoff
Protectionist
Admire Rakti

Lucia Valentina or Signoff probably win this depending on runs. Signoff I expect a little closer to the speed and Lucia Valentina may have some traffic to contend with.

If you look at Admire Rakti's form it could be anywhere but the stats probably rule him and protectionist off winning this.

Scarily that leaves me with both SpeedyBens tips and I have to agree they are the two most likely to win based on their age, weight, form and other historical pointers to the likely winner of the cup.

Box the field around them and have them both as standouts. If I am right that is 2*1*F + 2*F*1 + F*2*1 which is $126 for trifecta but this could be broken down a lot better as well by changing F*2*1 to only include real winning chances so lets try this tomorrow :

2*1*F + 2*F*1 +(my 9 other chances)*2*1 = 42+42+18 = $102.

Unless I am mistaken he now qualifies under Speedy's system having made it into the price range. So that's 3 qualifiers in total as this stage.

SPOT ON Rails. I added him in because he qualified on all other factors apart from price. Couldn't see the $26 lasting that long so I locked it in. Obviously got lucky. Keeps coming in on TAB Fixed Win. Was $16 earlier, now $13.

Cheers LG

Good thinking, 99.
The barman is in.

The Barman is 24.0 on BF at 10 pm WA time. That'll do me.

The word Speedy comes to mind ;-)

LG

My M.Cup stand-out trifecta system is

1,3,4,5,11,12,22,24 (to win)
field (to run second
field (to run third).

The outlay providing there are no further scratchings is $4,048 or $405 with a 1% flexi bet.

Good luck, everyone.

Good luck with the longshots Michael.

That's what the girls used to say.

My picks for the Cup are:
Number 11
Mutual Regard

Number 12
Who Shot Thebarman

Best of luck all, because luck in running is the key to winning the Melbourne Cup.
Great to see champion English jockey Ryan Moore in the field, but has Frankie Dettori thrown in the towel?