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r.6 AUVRAY, AMBITIOUS Dam, that would have worked.:(
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Sportz,
If I happen to make a top 4 position can you exclude me from the finals. I will be unavailable and will not be able to put selections in for the final week. Thanks for running the comp again. |
Not sure if I made up enough ground to finish near the placings but it was nice to win for a change. This has been my only winning week.
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Just about to work out scores now. We'll see. Good to see you have a good win.
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Okay, then. Better you tell me now than we have that problem on the day. You finished 4th, so I guess I'll have to include the 5th person on the ladder. |
With UselessBettor pulling out of the comp, that means kellmark gets a spot in the finals.
Leaderboard 42.7 . Dillwar ( Out: $565 / In: $806.00 ) 17.4 . walkermac ( Out: $770 / In: $904.00 ) 8.3 . william ( Out: $1,830 / In: $1,982.70 ) -18.2 . kellmark ( Out: $1,280 / In: $1,046.50 ) ----- 6.9 . UselessBettor ( Out: $480 / In: $513.20 ) -19.5 . kiwi ( Out: $1,195 / In: $962.50 ) -21.0 . Sportz ( Out: $1,020 / In: $805.75 ) -22.5 . Percentum ( Out: $2,070 / In: $1,604.00 ) -42.9 . Lord Greystoke ( Out: $1,025 / In: $585.00 ) |
Congratulations to those who made the semis.
Thanks for another great comp Sportz.:) |
Thanks for another great comp, Sportz. Have to wait to Spring now.
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Sorry chief, I was in remote mode (away from my computer) with a dodgy internet connection via mobile phone. Thanks for the heads up for next time and congrats on another slickly run comp. All the very best in the finals gentlemen! Cheers LG |
Thanks sportz, all the best.
Another suggestion, to consider ! A 2 class competition, those who pick for the Win and those who pick for the Place... Why get front row on Place bets taking advantage of your the percent calcs, The advantage is 3 chances to score. Where with Win bet, you only have one chance to score Cheers |
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Yep, Puntz I think you are right and was why I was betting the place. I was playing the percentages. The chance of a big percentage win is small, but the chance of a loss is also small meaning you never vary far from the breakeven and breakeven can get you into the finals. |
Yep UB, is what we do, exploit things, lol
Good stuff though, always learning, cheers |
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.. or profit when it comes to live betting." Multiple validation point selection method with criteria less obvious and in some cases completely invisible to the naked eye of the everyday punter. Who needs one juicy win when you can settle for 3 small bites out of a very ripe cherry. Hat's off to you UB. Cheers LG |
I used to not allow any place only betting at all. But when you think about it, what we're trying to do is just make a profit or as close to it as possible. If someone is able to do that just by place betting, should you stop them? We'll see for next time. I may revert to a minimum of at least $5win on every single selection.
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No, not at all. The Place only bettor has 1st, 2nd or 3rd Result advantage, the Win bettor has 1st only and yet both may select the same runner. It does not mean one is better than the other from a strategic angle to snag a profit, but who is taking the more risk ? The Win only bettor . |
Here is the draw for the first day of the finals which is this Saturday.
Major semi (winner progresses to grand final on Apr 21, loser gets a second chance next Saturday) Dillwar v walkermac Minor semi (winners progresses to next Saturday, loser is eliminated) william v kellmark Just a minor change to the betting rules used during the preliminary rounds. You can now post anywhere between 5 and 10 tips instead of 3-15 tips. The bet sizes remain the same as we've been using all the way through. The person listed first in each matchup finished higher on the ladder, so they are given the "home ground advantage" of having 25% more to spend. The person listed first is allowed to bet between $125 and $250 while the person listed second gets to bet between $100 and $200. In each case, betting the maximum amount won't actually give you a better chance. Because I will simply be converting your total winnings back to a score out of 125 or 100 as the case may be. The tipster in each matchup who posts second is only allowed to include one of the horses tipped by the person who posted first. Just to clarify this... The person who's listed 2nd doesn't have to wait around and post their tips 2nd. They can get in and post their tips first if they want to. But whoever it is that ends up posting 2nd in each matchup, they can only tip one of the horses that the 1st tipster has picked. In the unlikely event of a tie, the match will be awarded to the tipster listed 2nd. |
Toowoomba
R1 #5 Cuddle Me Tight $20 win Randwick R5 #8 Alward $5 e/w R6 #19 Oohood $10 e/w R7 #8 Furore $10 e/w R8 #1 Redzel $30 win R9 #9 Kementari $30 win Thanks Sportz Good luck walkermac |
Saturday 7th April
Randwick (NSW)
R1-8 ENBIHAAR 20W-10P R2-5 MURAAQEB 20W-10P Morphettville (SA) R6-9 MOGHUL EMPIRE 30W Bendigo (VIC) R4-7 PROPERTY 20W-10P Kembla Grange (NSW) R4-9 TOUCH OF MINK 30W Ascot (WA) R4-1 DAINTY TESS 30W Toowoomba (QLD) R6-1 ZOFONIC DANCER 30W Thanks William |
Morphetville
Race 8 5 Pandemonium $10 EW Race 9 3 Kazoom $10 EW Toowoomba Race 2 5 Quiero $10 EW Race 5 13 Criquette $10 EW Race 7 2 Morendi $10EW Race 8 4 Raido $10 EW Randwick Race 7 2 Vin De Dance $10 EW Bendigo Race 1 4 Multitude $10 EW Race 5 12 Haski $10 EW Race 7 6 Kiwia $10 EW |
Not feeling confident at all. ....so things will probably go well!
Good luck Dillwar. We're head-to-head in Randwick R7 - could be a decider. WIN $20 Kembla Grange R8 H1 Temprado Randwick R8 H1 Redzel Randwick R10 H1 Luvaluva WIN $5/PLACE $15 Rockhampton R1 H2 Helluva Hoffa Randwick R7 H1 Ace High Kembla Grange R2 H3 Addicted |
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Incredible start from William. That's going to be awfully hard to toss. Dare I say impossible? |
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That's why it's always best to put the name of the horse instead of just the number.
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Will work out the scores soon. On just a quick look, it appears like wins to william and walkermac, but I'll work it out soon to make sure.
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Today's results....
Major semi Dillwar 0 v walkermac 172 (walkermac progresses to grand final on Apr 21, Dillwar gets a second chance next Saturday) Minor semi william 503 v kellmark 109 (william progresses to next Saturday, kellmark is unfortunately eliminated) |
william killed it today. What a score. Bad luck to Dillwar, your first bad week, but you have another shot next week.
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Thanks Sportz. Well done walkermac, sorry I didn't put up any sort of fight at all. Great score william. I'll need to bounce back quickly to have any chance this week. |
This Saturday...
Prelim final (winner progresses to grand final on Apr 21, loser is eliminated) Dillwar v william As with last week, 5-10 tips and Dillwar can bet between $125 and $250 while william gets to bet between $100 and $200. The tipster in each matchup who posts second is only allowed to include one of the horses tipped by the person who posted first. In the unlikely event of a tie, the match will be awarded to william. |
Randwick
R2 #2 Isaurian R3 #6 Pure Elation R5 #1 Viridine R6 #3 Unforgotten R8 #1 Almandin All $10 win $15 place Thanks Sportz Good luck william |
Saturday 14th April
Ascot (WA)
R1-8 TIPS AND SCANDALS 20W 10P R5-7 MISSILE LAUNCH 20W 10P R6-2 FRIAR FOX 30W Sunshine Coast (QLD) R9-4 GUARD OF HONOUR 20W 10P Caulfield (VIC) R5-2 HAN XIN 20W 10P Morphettville (SA) R4-3 HANDSOME THIEF 20W 10P Randwick (NSW) R3-3 KHULAASA 10 EW All the best Dillwar. kellmark thanks for the contest last week. William |
Good luck guys. I'll be waiting for the winner in the grand final next week.... *maniacal laughter* ;)
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Just glancing at the tips, I think dillwar has got there. But I'll work out the scores shortly.
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Result....
dillwar 136 def william 52 So dillwar makes it through to the grand final next week... GRAND FINAL - SATURDAY APR 21 DILLWAR v WALKERMAC |
Bad luck william, congrats for getting so close to the end.
Looking forward to the rematch walkermac, hope to at least score something next week!! And remember, he who laughs maniacally last, laughs maniacally best!!! 😂 |
dillwar
Congratulations dillwar on your win today.
All the best to you and walkermac in the Grand Final. Sportz.Thanks for the proficient way you manage the competition. Regards William |
Bad luck, william. well done throughout the comp.
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GRAND FINAL - DILLWAR v WALKERMAC
Rules for the grand final... 1) 5-10 tips each 2) $100-$200 each (will be converted to a score out of 100 for both tipsters) 3) Person tipping 2nd can't include any more than 1 of 1st tipster's picks. 4) In the unlikely event of it ending in a tie, winner will be Dillwar (higher position on the ladder) |
Morphettville
R4 #8 Moghul Empire $20 win Caulfield R5 #1 Nature Strip $25 win R6 #1 Cliffs Edge $30 win Randwick R4 #3 Holy Snow $10 win R7 #10 Trapeze Artist $15 win Doomben R6 #2 Whypeeo $20 win R9 #2 Mr Marbellouz $25 win Thanks Sportz Good luck walkermac |
Are you there, walkermac???
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Yep, here I am. Good luck Dillwar.
WIN $5/PLACE $15 Morphettville R6 H8 Snitty Kitty Doomben R4 H7 Sharpamal WIN $20 Ascot R5 H3 Jingtang Caulfield R2 H3 Widgee Turf WIN $40 Doomben R9 H2 Mr Marbellouz |
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