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-   Horse Race Betting Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=10)
-   -   Default Neurals (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=26127)

michaelg 18th March 2013 10:49 AM
Today's selections are:

Armidale
4/1
5/2

Bathurst
3/1
4/3
6/3
7/1

W'bool
5/1
7/5


According to the law of averages a bad day is overdue.

SpeedyBen 18th March 2013 02:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Today's selections are:

According to the law of averages a bad day is overdue.
I wouldn't bet on that Michael.
The neural numbers have been remarkably accurate for a while now.
Good luck with it.

Rinconpaul 18th March 2013 03:25 PM
It's a worry?
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedyBen
I wouldn't bet on that Michael.
The neural numbers have been remarkably accurate for a while now.
Good luck with it.
It's surely a worry though for the backers, when you think about it!
Your using criteria that's supposed to select the horse, with the best chance of winning based on all algorithms, to LAY?
Maybe the trifecta and 1st 4 backers should be selecting the bottom of the pile neurals for value?
Cheers RP

michaelg 18th March 2013 04:56 PM
Thanks, gents.

From today's 8 selections there were 7 smiles for a profit of $22.66. After 6 days it's today cracked the $200 profit mark from $33 liability bets.

SpeedyBen 18th March 2013 08:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
It's surely a worry though for the backers, when you think about it!
Your using criteria that's supposed to select the horse, with the best chance of winning based on all algorithms, to LAY?
Maybe the trifecta and 1st 4 backers should be selecting the bottom of the pile neurals for value?
Cheers RP
RP
The method that you suggested of going further down the list has made $300 profit in 6 days laying to a $33 liability. ( Laying range .. 2.00 to 14.9 )

SpeedyBen 19th March 2013 12:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
It's surely a worry though for the backers, when you think about it!
Your using criteria that's supposed to select the horse, with the best chance of winning based on all algorithms, to LAY?
Maybe the trifecta and 1st 4 backers should be selecting the bottom of the pile neurals for value?
Cheers RP
The other interesting thing is that the lays over 6 days have averaged 6.66 on BF so the market has got it wrong also. THeir winning strike rate has been a dismal 13%.
It will be interesting to see how it unfolds.

Rinconpaul 19th March 2013 04:25 AM
shhhh....!!!
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedyBen
RP
The method that you suggested of going further down the list has made $300 profit in 6 days laying to a $33 liability. ( Laying range .. 2.00 to 14.9 )
To borrow the words of a union boss, who at the ICAC enquiry into coal licences, is said to have made almost a 9000 per cent profit, after an original outlay of $165,698 resulted in an almost $15 million windfall by late 2011:

"When you read this you will understand why I can't wipe the smile off my face, merry ************ Christmas."

Reading this forum must have been what it was like in Ballarat & Bendigo back in the 1870's, just walk along till you find another gold nugget.
Have a great day, RP

Rinconpaul 19th March 2013 06:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Thanks, gents.

From today's 8 selections there were 7 smiles for a profit of $22.66. After 6 days it's today cracked the $200 profit mark from $33 liability bets.

MG, I Archie scored yesterdays results and the probability is 0.89 of 1 loss per 8 selections. So, with the sought of odds you are getting for your selections, around 5:1, you will be able to show a profit long term.
Well done, RP

michaelg 19th March 2013 06:51 AM
Thanks, RP.

However I still have strong reservations, especially when the selections that have more than 170 points in races of 9-plus runners (I haven't checked) but I expect them to be performing well.

SpeedyBen 19th March 2013 08:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
To borrow the words of a union boss, who at the ICAC enquiry into coal licences, is said to have made almost a 9000 per cent profit, after an original outlay of $165,698 resulted in an almost $15 million windfall by late 2011:

"When you read this you will understand why I can't wipe the smile off my face, merry ************ Christmas."

Reading this forum must have been what it was like in Ballarat & Bendigo back in the 1870's, just walk along till you find another gold nugget.
Have a great day, RP
Like it. Don't worry, RP, I believe the man who said that you could write the words of a winning system in front of the Randwick gates and no one would be following it after its first bad run. I won't mention it, whatever "it" is, ever again.


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