Won!

DONALD SUN
R5 no. 4 Ski For Kings
R5 no. 7 Bigtime Charlie
R7 no. 7 Ellay Confidential
R7 no. 10 Acquibaa
R8 no. 6 Roman Spirit

KALGOORLIE SUN
R3 no. 2 Wild Frankie
R6 no. 6 Takeover Queen

MORNINGTON SUN
R8 no. 8 Divine Proportion

MURWILLUMBAH SUN
R4 no. 8 Street Parade
R8 no. 1 Amore

WELLINGTON SUN
R4 no. 15 Waterbindoor

A few scratched, a few placed but just 1 winner :o

A couple at the Sapphire Coast that should race well today first-up - Phantom Tenor r2 & Hidden Oasis r5

1st 5 PHANTOM TENOR 7.20 2.70

ECHUCA R8 N8 BRAHMS LEGACY

WANGARATTA 1st
this trio of first uppers could easily make up the first3

#4 MAJESTICAL #6 PRAGUE #11 JIMODA

R4 Narrandera - Monday, June 18, 2007
 

Although Chilli Cool is yet to be placed first-up has gone ok previously & does look very well graded today

QR5 Sparkling Wish should run well first-up
The top-weight Allroar looks the main danger

WED July 24
 

Eagle Farm R1 3 Ritzy Gal
Eagle Farm R2 15 Lights Off
Eagle Farm R7 5 Turfiste

All $4x$8

marana majic r7 adelaide today should do ok first-up

nice ew odds flaming inferno last at forbes. first-up record ok.

Morphettville today
R7 Niconero

Randwick today
R5 Sliding Cube

...just got there! also had Mimi [place bet thread] F4 paid ok

CRANBOURNE R9 today
 

Viognier unlucky first-up last prep
Good ew odds in this

A couple of interesting first-uppers R1 Belmont tomorrow - Reassess & Sharev.
Handy form earlier this year at Ascot. 6,9,10 & 11 others for your multiples.

good call modem almost a dead-heat

Yeah, actually thought Reassess had hung on
In the end anchored them in the tri
$200+ for $20

yeah reassess had it won everywhere but on the post...but all credit due...good run by sharev to win the race!

opener melbourne a few 1st-uppers might just get the tri boxing nos. 2,4,5,11

result 11,2,9

Hamilton 5/11
 

R2 (2) Newgrange
R5 (2) Hurri Love

19/11
 

TATURA 6th #5 JETERA #10 HIGH ON GOLD

shooshed should do ok today first-up at wagga...

...won

backing first-up a bit dicey imo..,,although do consider them sometimes if they have good trial form leading up to the race as well as a strong first-up record...

i used to keep stats on this..... not all races, just the ones my system bet on. I did this to see if i could improve it by removing any stat that was negative. i no longer have the stats as i made judgement years ago on my findings.

1st up strike rate was much better then 2nd up with 3rd up the most succesful.
Also interesting horses having their 5th+ start after a spell was only average

Part of my conclusion was that the market knows how horses handle each outing. i.e. a good first up horse was shown in the market where as a horse needing the run was larger odds. Now thats might sound obvious but horses rarely turn their precedented stats around in this area. I check every horse for this particualr stat, every race......it rarely lets you down as a guide.

yeah 3rd start [onwards] after a spell works for me ;)

MON Dec 17
 

Narromine R1 4 Mr Poet
Sale R1 16 Skybee
Sale R4 2 Encroacher

All $4x$8

wyong wed r4 aunt maude

Mr Poet won
Skybee ran 2nd
Encroacher ran 3rd

Today punters should consider these first-up:

MR2 7
MR5 6
MR8 7
SR3 5
SR7 8

MR2 7 – 2nd
MR5 6 - dnp
MR8 7 - dnp
SR3 5 – 1st
SR7 8 – 1st

2/1
 

Wyong 7th #6 SPANKYS LADDER
Bunbury 6th #2 LORDS RANSOM
Eagle Farm 2nd #1 MASTER HUGH
Eagle Farm 3rd #1 BENS THE BOSS

ASCOT R6 Baltic Sea
sound first-up record in the west

R5 Sale today Bronzetta should do well first-up.
Others for the novelties:
High Intensity, Camp Dawn, Spot The Line & Lord Of Lauriston

R7 Hawkesbury today both Illuminates & Kulminator have done well first-up in the past.

based on previous performances this lot should go close first-up today

PM R1 Whatamoment R7 Ten Ci Ci R8 Heavenly Glow & Eiremaize
SEY R8 Feedback

WELLINGTON R4
 

a hard race on paper but first-upper poetic genius should run well
also boxing 5,9,10,12,13 first2 novelties & chucking in 4&7 3rd leg tri