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-   -   Random tips (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=11964)

Stix 20th December 2005 12:26 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1
For those wanting an overall update on how these random tips are going.

Best Bets Totals
BB Races : 58
BB Wins : 22
BB Return : $77.30
BB Profit/Loss : +$19.30 (33% POT)
BB Races for Place : 57
BB Placings : 34
BB Place Return : $64.10
BB Place Profit : $7.10 (12% POT)

All Racings
Races : 119
Winners : 38
Win SR: 31%
Win Return : $166.40
Win Profit : +$47.40 ( 39% POT)
Place races : 118
Placings : 67
Place SR : 56%
Place Return : $127.40
Place Profit : $9.40 (8% POT)

It appears just following every tip I place is a touch more profitable than Best bets as they usually hit some nice long winners like todays $11.80 winner.

Good Luck.
Wesmip1

Some fantastic results there fella. Hope the run continues (touch wood).

Good Luck.... ;)

Percentum 20th December 2005 10:56 PM

Great figures Wes. It is the long-priced winners that make the difference. Backing shorties, no matter how well-credentialled they appear to be and how impressive the strike rates are, still results in a long term loss. Your strike rate is very good. I think having a reasonable strike rate is important from a psychological point of view. Long dry spells are demoralising - not saying anything that nobody doesn't know here though.

wesmip1 21st December 2005 08:40 AM

Thanks for the post Percentum,

I haven't checked yesterdays results as I was playing poker.
I also have not laid out my tips today very well and will update it later to be in the usual format. Here are the horses (BB means Best Bet). I did the form a couple of days ago so I haven't taken into account scratchings.

Last Dash BB
Foxaround BB
Let Go Thommo
Two Sons
Irish Mate
Dream Quest
Course He's Canny
Daneland BB
Sarefa BB
Hell It's Hot BB

Another one I blackbooked which is running around today is "Kosta Diamond". It flashed home last race from last in the field to just miss out.This tip is not part of my usual tips. Another one I am watching which is racing today is "Good Luck". I don't think it will win today but it could be a threat for the minor placings.

Good Luck.

wesmip1 21st December 2005 11:00 AM

Tuesday Results....

Best Bets :

Nowra Race 2 - Altomic BB 2nd $1.30
Townsville Race 4 - Snip 'n' Sea BB LOST
Wangarrata Race 6 - Bis Vincere BB 3rd $1.50
Wangarrata Race 7 - Keysie Girl BB SCRATCHED

Others to watch:
Nowra Race 3 - Star Signs LOST

There were no winners yesterday so lets hope today throws a few.

Good Luck.

wesmip1 21st December 2005 11:10 AM

Most of these are going to be short odds today....

Best Bets:
Ascot Race 1 - Last Dash SCRATCHED
Ascot Race 2 - Foxaround
Ipswich Race 7 - Daneland
Strathablyn Race 5 - Sarefa
Wyong Race 4 - Hell It's Hot

Others to Watch:
Ascot Race 9 - Let Go Thommo
Bendigo Race 3 - Two Sons SCRATCHED
Hobart Race 2 - Irish Mate
Hobart Race 4 - Dream Quest
Ipswich Race 6 - Course He's Canny SCRATCHED

My blackbook Bet:
Hobart Race 2-Kosta Diamond

Remember I have only just started blackbooking horses and these might be poor quality tips. I would be happy to take Irish Mate or Kosta Diamond at long odds in the race but I think Irish Mate probably has it over Kosta Diamond based on form.

Good Luck.

Sportz 21st December 2005 11:26 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1
Wyong Race 4 - Hell It's Hot


A very tropical, err I mean topical tip at the moment.

TheAvenger 21st December 2005 11:46 AM

I could use some heat here. Snow on the ground this morning. I only get Strathalbyn and Ipswich though. Tropical sounds good.

Glenn

mad 21st December 2005 04:45 PM

Good day today wes, onya mate.

wesmip1 21st December 2005 07:52 PM

thanks mad,

For those who like to see the results I have put them below :

Best bets made a POT of 35%, My balckbook won returning POT of 300% and all races combined returned a POT of 60%.

Best Bets:
Ascot Race 1 - Last Dash SCRATCHED
Ascot Race 2 - Foxaround LOST
Ipswich Race 7 - Daneland WIN $2.20 / $1.40
Strathablyn Race 5 - Sarefa 3rd NTD
Wyong Race 4 - Hell It's Hot WIN $3.20 / $1.40

Others to Watch:
Ascot Race 9 - Let Go Thommo SCRATCHED
Bendigo Race 3 - Two Sons SCRATCHED
Hobart Race 2 - Irish Mate LOST
Hobart Race 4 - Dream Quest WIN $1.80 / $1.20
Ipswich Race 6 - Course He's Canny SCRATCHED

My blackbook Bet:
Hobart Race 2-Kosta Diamond - WIN $4.00 / $1.60

I was happy to see my balckbook bet get up. There won't be many that I put up as I only have 19 horses in the blackbook and I rate them as per their last race and the competiton they are facing next race. The other blackbook horse I had racing today was Good Luck. I didn't think it had a chance of winning but thought it might make a placing (see post a few posts back) and it came third.

Anyway lets hope we have some wins tommorrow again.

Good Luck

wesmip1 21st December 2005 08:15 PM

Overall Results
 
Here are the overall results again as they move back through the thread pretty quickly.

Best Bets Totals
BB Races : 73
BB Wins : 26
BB Win Strike Rate : 35%
BB Return : $89.80
BB Profit/Loss : +$16.80 (23% POT)
BB Races for Place : 72
BB Placings : 42
BB Plce Strike Rate : 58%
BB Place Return : $77.10
BB Place Profit : $5.10 (7% POT)

All Racings
Races : 145
Winners : 47
Win SR: 32%
Win Return : $194.90
Win Profit : +$49.90 ( 34% POT)
Place races : 144
Placings : 81
Place SR : 56%
Place Return : $150.00
Place Profit : $6.00 (4% POT)

I hope you found some winners today....

It should be remembered this is level staking. There is no money management in the results. If money management was used there is a better chance of having a far greater POT.

Good Luck.


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