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-   -   Lay Outsider System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=23710)

michaelg 14th April 2012 11:30 AM

Today's selections are:

Ascot
5/3

Flemington
6/7
8/9

Gold Coast
2/3
7/11
8/8

Hamilton
5/11
7/9

Morphetville
7/5
8/12

Newcastle
4/10

Toowoomba
4/4

lomaca 14th April 2012 03:43 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Today's selections are:

Ascot
5/3
Hi Michael, Using the Neurals
I wonder if you take into account the race distance/Race track combination?


As I mentioned I'm running a programme continuously putting in different combinations of factors and find that some distances on certain tracks are simply unprofitable.
I only record results where there were at least a 100 races qualifying.

It mystifies me why this is so? One would think that a rating is a rating is a rating? Should work regardless of distance or racetrack?

Strange.

michaelg 14th April 2012 05:40 PM

lomaca, I think the neurals are based on statistics, however I've seen horses having their first start get more CF, CP, TIM and DIS points than other horses that have raced.

It is really puzzling...

However it seems that their top selections overall are not too bad. One of my lay selections today won paying $30 on the TAB. If I can remember correctly some time ago I layed the top selection in every race on a particular day, it was a disasterous day.

michaelg 19th April 2012 11:44 AM

My lay Outsiders method is still going strong. However, I lost my records because of a computer glitch and had to restart from last Saturday. All I can recall is that since beginning the method on 1 April (easy to remember the date) there have been no accidents. I'm quite sure there have been more than 150 selections;

I've been looking at a second Lay method (neural based) since last Sunday and there have also been no accidents.

I'll list today's selections and see what happens:

Geraldton
1/7
3/8

Morphetville
1/1
2/1
3/5
4/1
5/9
7/11

Rocky
1/8
4/7
5/12
6/8

Werribee
1/3
2/1
3/6
4/9
5/8
6/6
7/10
8/11

Wyong
3/7
6/8
7/11

Merriguy 19th April 2012 11:48 AM

Is there no SP on B/F today????

TheSchmile 19th April 2012 12:18 PM

Hi Merriguy,

It appears that there is.

Check your settings when you click on a particular race and make sure the box just above the race fields on the left-hand side marked 'Betfair starting price' is ticked.

The Schmile

Merriguy 19th April 2012 12:26 PM

Thanks Schmile...there now; but I'll swear it wasn't there a half hour ago!! Will have to get those cataracts done urgently.

TheSchmile 19th April 2012 12:34 PM

Could've been a 'Ghost in the machine' :D

The Schmile


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