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schonegg 4th January 2010 05:51 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
I concentrate on Darrens top 2, (which are actually the Radiotab selections on Unitab as well) 25% winners overall.
But b4 anyone jumps on the bandwagon I can tell you that he's had a lean time just recently!

Think you're right Party. A website tracking media tipsters has him with strike rate of 20% and POT -22% (since 6 July and not tipping every race).

schonegg 4th January 2010 05:55 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by MyHatMyCoat
Top training effort! Lords Ransom holding off his stablemate, Ma Chienne.

Yeh Hat, Durrant has had a magic carnival. Young bloke too, great future.

Ma Chienne was enormous in defeat.

Rogan Josh 5th January 2010 09:17 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by MyHatMyCoat
Top training effort! Lords Ransom holding off his stablemate, Ma Chienne.

Eastern states on the agenda for either or both?

partypooper 5th January 2010 12:35 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by schonegg
Think you're right Party. A website tracking media tipsters has him with strike rate of 20% and POT -22% (since 6 July and not tipping every race).


Problem is Schonegg (is that shone GG, or schon egg??) that they can make the figuressay anything eg: the 20% S/R could be overall i.e. 4 selections per race or it could be only the top sel. I personally take the top 2.

Also my figures go back to 2003, WA meetings only, and as I said hes been a bit lean recently.

Also the LOT is probably at single tote, whereas BEST TOTE/SP would probably improve that as much as 10%, and bet fair probably close to break even.

Personally I improve the figures again by always betting @ Top Fluc when any selection is quoted @ $4 or less (pre post WA TAB-FORM)

PS can you post that link to the tracking mob please?

schonegg 5th January 2010 05:49 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
PS can you post that link to the tracking mob please?

http://thegreattipoff.com/

Best current tipster is Shane Anderson from Sport927, of the worst are Matt Stewart(ranked 51), Alan Thomas(ranked 58).

schonegg 5th January 2010 06:03 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rogan Josh
Eastern states on the agenda for either or both?

They probably should try again with Lords Ransom. Some of the Provincial Cups or a Listed in town could be targets next spring in Melbourne.

Ma Chienne really blossomed, and was up since August. Next prep could see her best, still fairly lightly raced for a 5 year old. Be very interesting what path they choose for her. Best distance could be around 2000m.

MyHatMyCoat 6th January 2010 07:39 PM

Em Gee Brown
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by jake
..huge chance today..party..

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
Got it with a big one Jake! Top Fluc

Backed up again today guys, were you on? Now winner 5 of last 6 starts!

partypooper 6th January 2010 11:53 PM

My Hat..... nah, missed it I'm afraid I had it down as "too good to be true"................ WRONG again! got the last winner though @top fluc for even stevens.

jake 8th January 2010 12:34 AM

smaller bet than usual..hat..was a little worried the extra 100m..on another subject..what happened albany today..abandoned after 1 race?..track rating was good3..

schonegg 9th January 2010 01:38 AM

Small fields but a good card at Ascot Saturday
 
R2) Xaardavid is backable at 3.3 and the claim helps. Bizet(probable leader) a danger.

R3) Mekong Miss to lead from King Kool Kat. MM has been well backed but 1.9 looking too skinny now. Spirited One freshened up and in weakest field its been in for a while would win this at best. Brava Fortune back to shorter distance and drawn well is worth throwing in multiples.

R4) Glen Erin Lad at 5.25 is ok and should be thereabouts, so should Follow the Road. The favorite Almighty Runner might not lead like last time but is very promising so can't knock it.

R5) Lay Stratazoa at 6.5, can't have it. The hot favorite Ma Ma Machine was outstanding last week, and the only niggling concern is all wins have been over 1000m.

R6) An ordinary stayers race, AirForce at 4.2 could be the one. Probably won't lead this time(Esroh should) and will try to replicate its win over the c/d 2 starts ago.

R7) It seems Golden Heart will race closer than last time(settled last and whooshed home) so from barrier 8 will need just a dash of luck to get cover. Should win. Delta Bay for multiples.


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