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-   -   new system ideas (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=17410)

Bhagwan 29th April 2008 11:28 AM

Maybe, following on from your suggestion ,I beleive this should work, say...

. Bet the first 4 horses going down the list that have not been placed at any of its last 3 runs, include x as a run so as to keep things simple.

.Must have at least 2+ career starts.

.10 runners exactly.


My original post was to just bet the 2 outside barriers that are $4.50-99.00 in the pre-post market.
10 runners exactly.
Regardless of starts or form.

Cheers

Stix 29th April 2008 12:22 PM

Sorry this is actually for ALL states



Quote:
Originally Posted by Stix
Bhagwan

Looking at Sydney races ONLY:

Runners 10
Barrier 10
Saddle Cloth <11
3 yo
<$4.10

Since 1/1/00
Selections 110
Wins 44 (S/R 40.00%) Places 74 (67.27%)
POT 19% LOT 2.15%

Since 1/1/05
Selections 48
Wins 23 (S/R 47.92%) Places 33 (68.75%)
POT 41.46% LOT 3.04%

....and if you look at "Must of placed last start" as another filter:

Runners 10
Barrier 10
Saddle Cloth <11
3 yo
<$4.10
Last Start <4

Since 1/1/00
Selections 77
Wins 34 (S/R 44.16%) Places 54 (70.34%)
POT 31% POT 0.44%

Since 1/1/05- 31/12/07
Selections 34
Wins 19 (S/R 56.88%) Places 25 (73.53%)
POT 62.35% POT 0.71%

.............. you don't get many bets though

Stix 29th April 2008 12:29 PM

And typically QLD is the worst for this method...... in fact usually the worst state is for any method (in my experience)

Mr Quaddie 29th April 2008 03:25 PM

Race 4 Murray Bridge on Wednesday has exactly 10 runners.
Race 2 and 6 Ipswich
Race 4 and 5 Bunbury

Bhagwan 29th April 2008 10:59 PM

Hi Quaddi,
One has to take into account any scratchings on the day so as there is exactly 10 runners in a race .
So the process can only be done once scratchings are known.

There could be more races to consider once that is known.

Cheers.

Silver_and_sand 2nd May 2008 09:50 PM

If anyone's interested, here's some selections for Saturday. The rules are:

must be outside barrier
must not be the lowest TAB #
must not be favourite
must not have the highest API in the race
must not be racing for less prizemoney than it's last start

BR1 #15 Fissile
BR2 #5 Bungalien
BR3 #12 aaaaa Cross
BR4 #15 Rock On Bye
BR5 #8 Mr Hornblower
BR6 #18 Barclays
BR7 #9 Showify
BR8 #17 Rabbit Nagina

SR1 #4 Kylie
SR3 #6 Vardon Flyer
SR5 #4 Savana Royale
SR6 #3 Our Smoking Joe
SR7 #4 Lazer Sharp
SR8 #8 Murtajill
SR9 #13 Grey Stream

MR1 #8 Wunderland
MR2 #7 Imashadow
MR3 #7 Sweet Svengali
MR4 #7 Charted
MR6 #10 Serene Prince
MR7 #6 Windawoppa

AR5 #10 Aribaa
AR7 #9 Sellers
AR8 #5 Actin Snakey

There's quite a lot of longshots listed here, so I'd recommend place bets only.

Good luck.

Mr Quaddie 2nd May 2008 11:29 PM

Anyone selections for Perth?

Silver_and_sand 2nd May 2008 11:55 PM

Sorry mate. I avoid Perth racing like the plague. It just seems like the favs always get up there, and I just can't bring myself to back a fav.

odericko 3rd May 2008 01:31 AM

are you completly mad thats the best market in the country to make a buck from

Silver_and_sand 3rd May 2008 08:24 AM

To each his own. Care to share your insights on how to make a buck in WA, ****************?


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