Eagle Farm Saturday
 

Race 1.
I was super keen on Scenic Wells here..just not sure about all this rain ..if its it dead or better i'll be on Scenic whos been working to the line nicely of late and gets to a distance that suits..
I'm unsure about Dont Tell Clang who i think is a super horse..my guess is she has feet probs and thats the reason why she seemed alittle funny last start...last time in the wet she blitzed them after racing wide the whole way,,
..i'll be on S/W if the conditions suit..
Race 2
This is a race where you need to be at the track and viewing the horses in the flesh...Diamonds am i will have the inside and trialled ok...probably the safest way to go,,
Race 3.
Alot of speed in this race...I think Nova Star can take the sit off them and again be to strong for them..Celestane and Emit time the dangers..
Stirling to be running on,,
Race 4,
Succeeding was ridden upside down last start,,,didnt suit..will be ridden back this time and will be flying late..
Radar the danger ..just not sure because of the conditions but he'll have the nice run..
Race 5.
Now this is a hardrace ..i'm forgiving fond kiss's last start..just didnt have the best run and the rider lost the whip..i thought Desktop magic could snag a place aswell...racing in good form and the time was good ..
Both have bad barriers so will need luck,,
Race 6.
Classic Carla has most of these covered...I think Appleby and Double Portion the dangers ahead of the southerners Zacielo and Beau..
box the 5 ..easy ..
I've been very impressed with Appelby of late..last run went around them where as Classic Carla took the inside run..
Not sure whos riding him but should be good e/w value..
Race 7.
I'd be all over Sir Breaky but for the wet track,,,same with Show biz.
Imperilism fitter for the good run first up..gets the good run...and Gumnuts ridden alittle quieter this time will be in it for along way..
will be looking at Gumnuts and Imperilsm.
Race 8.
Generalisimo in these conditions will run well ...looks good against this lot..

Sorry guys ..fairly short summary..off to the casino tonight for some poker .. :)

Nova Star and Succeeding my best i think...hard to be confident as its now raining outside fairly heavy..good luck guys..

hoping the sun comes out tomorow ..

G'day Mav,

Shame the rain came from a racing perspective, a couple of the better chances don't like the wet. Nevertheless, its still a good day with some good betting races.

Race 1 - Thought Very Canny should just about win this with the sting out. Picablu would have been my pick but the rain has scared me off him a bit. The speed doesn't look overly strong, so i think Very Canny can take a forwardish position and get home over the top of them. Picablu will be right on pace, and if he handles the conditions, will prove tough to stop. Don't Tell Clang is a very nice mare and will definitely improve tomorrow with the wet ground and the extra distance.

Race 2 - My success rate in 2yo races is atrocious, so no reason to believe that my record in 2yo races on the wet ground will be any better. My 3 from the dart board are Rembrandts Ransom, Charmana Star and Fooled. NEXT!

Race 3 - Quality 3yo race here. As mav said they will go very hard here with Celestalane and Ben Hur engaged. For that reason, i too like Nova Star. Was a strong win last time and has had a good break between runs. With the 3kgs off for Palmer, i think she'll go close. Emit Time has the alley and the 3kgs off aswell, and will be running on strongly. He may just need an extra 200m or so. I'm not prepared to sack him completely though. Celestalane held on well 2 back against Nova Star and won in a canter last time at the Coast. While the weights don't really suit him, he'll give backers a good sight.

Race 4 - Radar is going to open pretty short tomorrow i think which is why i'm steering clear of him (being an unknown on the wet and all). Buck Season doesn't mind the wet going and can be on pace too, which may be of assistance here. Hasn't been going well of late, but i'm just gambling on him improving in this class on the rain affected ground. Sea Drive is a nice horse and can put in some good runs when he wants to. Is not without a show tomorrow. Milady Clang can go alright too, last run was OK - she wasn't given much chance to make up ground.

Race 5 - Thought My Son Day would win this on good going. The wet has dulled my opinion a touch, but i still think he's a little bit better than most of these. Coming out of those tough 3yo races into this 0MW race will be of benefit i imagine and Byrne is riding as well as he ever has. Testify ran into a superstar last time, and theres no Man Of Illusion here so he's not without a chance from the 1 with the claim. Amber Lodge has a shocking alley but has good wet form and was a good run first up behind Coincidental - will take benefit from that run.

Race 6 - Don't really care here to be honest. Have never rated the stayers races in Brisbane and have never had any success in them. For the record, my selections are Double Portion, Appleby and Fires of Ireland. Have left out the main fancies because i want a bigger price :) (no reflection on whether i think they can win or not)

Race 7 - This is the race that the rain has destroyed. Sir Brekky hates the wet, as does Show Biz Kid by the looks of it. Imperialism just ran out of condition last time behind Triple Pe. I can see him being positioned perfectly behind the speed runners tomorrow, and i think he'll go close. Gumnuts was an uncharacterisitic flop last time (don't know the reason...) but he's better than that and has handled the wet before. Black Suit has continued to surprise me throughout his runs in town so i can't see any reason why he won't keep running well, and go close tomorrow.

Race 8 - Not the greatest one to finish on, again. Thought there was one here at good odds. Craiglea Bob. Has performed on slow tracks before and was seem getting to the line really well last time in superior company. The outside alley is a concern, but he'll go back and with the good speed likely here, he's worth a shot i think. Generalissimo has been in great form lately, and with the 1 alley and Byrne, has to be a huge show. Pride of Paris should improve off the first up run too, could bob-up at long odds.

As is probably evident, my picks tomorrow have been done assuming an affected track. If it ends up being on the better side of dead (or even good), then they all go out the window :)

That being said, my best tomorrow are Nova Star and My Son Day with a good value hope to Craiglea Bob...

Good luck all

Sven

R6. only covering 2 races here.
'Classic Carla has most of these covered...I think Appleby and Double Portion the dangers ahead of the southerners Zacielo and Beau.' Applyby won't even place.

R6. Classic Karla [won on it last week] will get done by this weight [a good lay]. Double Portion was beaten to death last week and Beau will slaughter both. Watch on Zacieco [needs good track]. Will walk over the top of all of them if it's half right [erratic]. Jockey though is big concern. Beau for mine.

R7.Imperialism has the speed and right weight. Sir. Breakfast perhaps a bit too much weight.Enthusiasm the danger to both. 1/3/4/11 box for the tri. 1/4 exacta.

Cheers.

Heavy rain?

Well that has gone and stuffed it.

Scott Seamer.

Off to Eagle Farm today.
Will keep an eye on the drum from you all today and hope we snag a winner or 2.

3 bets for me.
Bris R5 Testify. Boy caught wide from ordinary alley last time, if the rail is the place to be he should just about win. Each way odds would be a bonus.

Bris R6 Zaacielo, there is not many of these that could be competitive in Melb round carnival time. The state of the the track may be a bit of a concern though, might go a bit easy here.


Syd R4 Seek the truth. (Yes yes,I know this is a Bris thread ) as a roving banker with the field for a full.

All the best and good punting.

Does anyone give one of my all time favs Kootoomootoo a chance in the last?
No doubt ill back him, but is he still up to this class?

Scenic Wells was incredible value. Couldn't believe it. And a nice easy trifecta. Good start to the day. :)

Looked up his extended form. Needs a good track. Buckley's chance in the wet in any race.

Crash,

I think it'll probably be a good track by that point, or so close to good that it makes no difference.

I have one bet in brissie today and that is Black Suit really like him today been running well lately without alot of luck.

Syd. rated 'slow' at the moment. It can't possible be 'good' in 4hrs. unless it's blowing a gale and it's 35 degrees. Can it mate[?].

Hi guys a nice start to the day today with Scenic Wells..
Nova Star had its chance..finished off well though..

with Succeeding scratched i like Aiden James for a bit of value....

Feeling a bit hungover today..no sleep at all last night ..played that Texas Holdem for the fist time and ended up $300 up (Plus Beers) not a bad nights work for a learner,,,,

going to be selective today ...espeicially after the good start..

Good Luck all :)

silly ..didnt take radar because he was so short...but the Trifecta was huge !!!
another fantastic ride by Jimmy ...again..

Ummm, I was talking about Brisbane. That is after all where Kootoomootoo is running. The track hasn't been upgraded, but from the results, it looks like the track has been playing pretty well.

How all you guys going today, bugga me i am having a shocker.

Hi Mad..i started like trooper but hit a rough patch ,,,,just got Mavournin at good odds at G/c thank god !
still nothing to write home about but i still have a few to go,,
fingers crossed :)

mad,

Bad luck mate. Hope things improve. I'm going well.

Heading to Perth, been good to me of late. Fingers crossed. Hope you guys clean 'em up.

Sorry about that sportz. Bris. was dead and I only back 'good' tracks, Melb/Adelaide. I just listened to the 7th. in Bris. though And Imperialism would have easily won, but badly blocked in the very late stages. [one of my picks here before the rain put me off].

My 'Crash's tips' on this page scored in Melb. [and the comp] Charmed Lady [IAS] $14.30 and my straight 2/11 [not boxed] exacta $96.21 which I had 20 units on for $20:-) ].
My other straight win was Ralley in Adelaide $8.99. Warned all [my thread] to forget any track that wasn't good so I'm a happy man and hope a few got on board as I rarely [never actually] put up a tip thread [been a bit bored].

Might even take the Handbrake out for fish and chips and a rum and coke in the park down by the lake tonight.

Geez, situation must be bad if you have to move to another state just to back a winner!!! :D

hey mad
 

mad,,,think i might have a slab on the general in brisse..cheers..gazman..

Hi Sven,

Thanks to you, Mav, and the others for the tips. Was riding Buck Season home --- but it wasn't to be. Only had $5.00 on him; but it was showing $172.10 on Austote. Should have had him for the place. Oh well it was an exciting ride --- and thanks to you all I came out well ahead on the others. :)

Crash,

Charmed Lady paid $17.20 (less max 5% commission) on Austote. I don't think that many on the forum realise how good the returns are from them. Bit of a 'pain' setting things up --- but worth it.

Merriguy,

Apparently, they've been pretty much taken over by IAS now.

I have that software Merriguy. You're right, quite often the returns are better than those available elsewhere. However the pools are often small and a big bet will destroy the return available. Definitely worth considering though.

I tell ya Sportz, if i have another day similar to todays performance, i will seriously consider it!

You have got to be kidding !!! What about my exacta? [Please don't tell me if the news is better than IAS $96.21] !!!

How do I go about all this setting up? [I'm saving for a new boat].

They only cater for straight up win betting. No place, no multiples, exotics etc.

Go to austote.com and click on signup logo up the top. I notice they paid $11.05 for Scenic Wells today.....

Thanks for that Mad. Most of my serious bets are win only. Sounds like just what the doc. ordered.

You're welcome mate, thank Merriguy really. I must admit i have been a member for quite some time however usually don't think of using them. Will have to remedy that now after looking at some of the dividends they pay. At least check out their market to see.

Thanks Merriguy,

Looks like your the culprit according to Mad. Can't believe you got onto that handsomely paying lot. Will certainly be looking into it [them]. I'm basically a Win only man. Just a few diversions into exacta and Tri. which I can have covered through other accounts. Thanks a million.

Crash.

Just caught up with the responses --- was out last night. The easiest way I know to compare is to go to the Virtual Form Guide. They show the Real Time Odds for each of the totes and Austote for any races they, Austote, are covering (don't cover everything by any means).

Cheers mate.

Thanks guys for al your tips follow the lot of them and finished in front.
crash didnt the 11 finish 3rd or was i drunk and threw away a winning ticket (possibly by that time) wish buck season had have finished 2nd as just missd tri and quinella but hey $26.70 a place well done all.
Cheers

Not sure about Perth but it appears Mav has gone to Hong Kong!

No, I was drunk !!! My exacta was a straight up. [Charmed/field].

Hi Guys ..

A frustrating day at the Farm ...
Race 1.
Huge result..massive odds i thought ...Picablu always a risk at the distance...easy trifecta . ..always happy about snagging the first of the day..
more than pays for the rest of the day at the Farm..
Race 2.
very Impressive the first 2...i knew there was a few running on from the back but Diamonds did all the work up front at a good temp and nearly hung on..very good run I thought....great ride was difference with the winner..Jimmys just flying at the moment..
No bet for me in this race...really needed to be there at the track for this one..
Race 3.
Nova had its chance in this one..just seemed to labor in the straight before knuckling down to it late..Emit was always going to be tough and looked good..
Loss :(
Race 4.
Silly Silly boy...cant beleive i jumped off Radar for Aiden James...i just didnt think there was any value but Radar ended up jumping at backable odds..
very shyty with myself here..
Loss :(
Race 5.
Nothing much here,,,had a little on Desktop (unlucky) and Fond Kiss (Hopeless) ..
loss but not damage done
Race 6.
Appleby was way unders i thought..expecting e/w odds ..had a big go at the tri and 1st4 but had Fires of Ireland on my 3rd and 4th line...grrrr
loss but no damage
Race 7.
Imperilism was super unlucky...wins with any sort of luck...very unhappy here.
..alot of support for Gumnuts and was unlucky aswell..
will follow these 2..
Loss :(
Race 8.
Track to good for the General...
no bet...

All in all a shocker for me today...my ratings were around the mark with Emit and Double Portion and Radar the dangers ..but that didnt help me much..
Lucky to get the good divie with Scenic wells and a good result with the trifecta..i'll take 25% with that strikerate anyday..

Other states..
Sydney
Hungry Mile.....close up 4th ..at nice odds..
Melbourne
Scarlet Scene,Lord Bramar and Whitier Miss (flew home close up also) Loss
Adelaide
Miss Star Dane (Flew home close up) sound familiar ??
Gold Coast
Mavournin...win huge huge result !!one of my best for awhile ,,very happy :)
Sydney Goerge (close up 2nd !!! grrrr)

well another big divie to get me out of trouble ...thanks to the namesake Mav ..but a very frustrating day with to many close up results..i've been getting them all week,,

oh well a profit is a profit so i'll take the money and run...glad i took it fairly easy yesterday as there was some interesting results around the place..

Day off today and as i look at the results ..i'm very happy i did ..

hope you guys are keeping your head above water ..
hard work of late..

well done Crash !! and well done Sven on the cup..i had your pick in the for 3rd and 4th (FOI) ...spewing i didnt have him for 2nd..had the everything else...always the case..hope you had the 1st 4 ..

Maverick,

'Imperialism was super unlucky...wins with any sort of luck...very unhappy here'

Me too. It was my only Brisbane bet. What a block he got in the run to home. Devastated. Would have been all over them and made me heaps:-)