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wesmip1 30th November 2005 06:46 PM

Random tips
 
A couple of tips for tommorrow:

Bunbury Race 7 Happy Dis
Rockhampton Race 5 Edgeroi Eve

Good Luck

wesmip1 1st December 2005 02:54 PM

Great - Rockhampton abandoned and Happy Dis scratched.

Tubby 1st December 2005 08:36 PM

I hope that isn't an omen.

wesmip1 2nd December 2005 09:07 AM

more random tips
 
Here are todays random tips :

Hamilton Race 5: Elles Angel
Hamilton Race 6: Palawan Pearl
Ipswich Race 3: Babinda Half
Ispwich Race 8: Jungle Echo
Ispwich Race 9: Feelin Dandy

wesmip1 2nd December 2005 07:56 PM

Results
 
Results :

Hamilton Race 5: Elles Angel LOST
Hamilton Race 6: Palawan Pearl LOST
Ipswich Race 3: Babinda Half WON $2.10/NPP
Ispwich Race 8: Jungle Echo WON $8.10/$2.20
Ispwich Race 9: Feelin Dandy WON $3.10/$1.70

Overall
Races : 5
Wins : 3
S/R : 60%
Return : $13.30
Profit/Loss : +$8.30

Good Luck.

jorgo 2nd December 2005 08:18 PM

GEEZ!! wish i got on them!!! Jungle Echo and Feelin dandy were both great runs... i didnt get round to seeing the babinda half though... Keep up the good work

wesmip1 3rd December 2005 08:22 PM

I just realised I hadn't posted the tips in here for today.

They were posted in the Post-Spring compeition and I have copied them below.

PR1 Blind Power - LOST
PR8 Master Minx - LOST
BR2 Sweet Crownies - WON $3.30 / $1.70
NR7 Oakfield Lady - WON $4.30 / $1.70
ER7 Mels Glory - LOST

Overall :
Races : 10
Wins : 5
S/R : 50%
Return : $20.90
Profit/Loss : +$10.90

wesmip1 3rd December 2005 08:26 PM

Now so I don't forget here are tommorrows tips :

Launceston Race 9 - Lake Douglas
Pinjarra Race 5 - Wungong Song
Traralgon Race 3 - Aqua Velva
Traralogon Race 5 - Norella
Traralogon Race 7 - Hellium

Good Luck Punting

Sportz 3rd December 2005 08:44 PM

Doing mighty fine so far.

wesmip1 4th December 2005 05:59 PM

Sunday Results
 
Ok results for today were :

Launceston Race 9 - Lake Douglas WON $9.40 / $2.60
Pinjarra Race 5 - Wungong Song LOST
Traralgon Race 3 - Aqua Velva WON $2.50 / $1.60
Traralogon Race 5 - Norella 2nd $1.50
Traralogon Race 7 - Hellium 3rd $1.40

Overall :
Races : 15
Wins : 7
S/R : 47%
Return : $32.80
Profit/Loss : +$17.80

So far so good. I had another six qualifiers but only posted my top 5 picks. I was pretty happy as they had the following results as well :

Murray Bridge Race 7 - Sure Fancy WON $7.90 / $2.70
Murrary Bridge Race 8 - Currency King 3rd $1.80
Swan Hill Race 1 - Misanz WON $2.80/ $1.70
Traralgon Race 4 - Chessum Road WON $7.70/ $3.10
Canberra Race 2 - Island Swing 2nd $1.90
Sunshine Coast Race 8 - Mister Clancy 2nd $2.30

I might just post all the qualifiers next time as there were two very nice priced winners in there.

Good Luck Punting.

Sportz 4th December 2005 06:27 PM

Good work. Very impressive. :D

How ya doin' it?

Stix 4th December 2005 06:55 PM

Nice results Wesmip1.

All the best fella.....

wesmip1 4th December 2005 07:29 PM

sportz, stix,

Thanks for the comments.

Sportz, wish I could tell you how I was doing it .... pure luck I think. I am just spending about 5-10 mins per race doing the form. I then go through the top rated horses and "somehow" decide which ones I think have a good chance.

The "somehow" changes each day depending on what looks like an easier race, or where I might get some good odds.

It usually takes me an hour to do a meeting as I leave out races which have a lot of unraced horses. These races are too hard to rate.

I think the secret is I am looking at all the races/horses in the meeting/race and just picking the races I think are worthwhile for a bet (Chance of good odds or clear cut favourite).

I think this is where the science leaves the form analysis and a bit of "art" is involved as my interpretation of chance of good odds or a clear cut winner will be different from everyone else's analysis.

As I said so far so good.

Sportz 4th December 2005 09:24 PM

Good work. Keep it up. :)

Like you, I think one of the most important things is being able to quickly work out which races are suitable for betting and which aren't. I feel I'm getting pretty good at that.

wesmip1 4th December 2005 09:53 PM

Mondays tips.
 
Here are a few for tommorrow:

Dubbo Race 2 - Espuela
Dubbo Race 5 - Andtold
Kyneton Race 6 - Prospectors Joy

Good Luck

wesmip1 6th December 2005 07:55 AM

Results for yesterday:

Dubbo Race 2 - Espuela - 2nd 1.80
Dubbo Race 5 - Andtold - 3rd 1.60
Kyneton Race 6 - Prospectors Joy - LOST

Well no winners yesterday but Espula came close. Prospectors Joy did nothing.

Overall :
Races : 18
Wins : 7
S/R : 47%
Return : $32.80
Profit/Loss : +$14.80

wesmip1 6th December 2005 08:04 AM

Some more Random Tips
 
Tips for 5th Decemeber 2005 :

Geelong Race 5 - Statice
Geelong Race 6 - Two Suns
Mackay Race 2 - Strictly Smart
Mackay Race 4 - Explosive Gal
Mt Barker Race 1 - Mr Binks
Mt Barker Race 2 - Mon Titan Bay
Muswellbrook Race 5 - Lovely Legs
Muswellbrook Race 6 - Saranac

My top 3 picks from above are Strictly Smart, Explosive Girl and Saranac.

Good Luck today hopefully we get some winners

Stix 6th December 2005 09:11 AM

Slaying them......
 
Well Done Wesmip1....... absolutely Slaying them :D


Good Luck Today

wesmip1 6th December 2005 06:01 PM

Results for 6th Decemeber 2005
 
Results for today :

Geelong Race 5 - Statice - 2nd $2.90
Geelong Race 6 - Two Suns - WIN $3.20 / $1.50
Mackay Race 2 - Strictly Smart - WIN $2.00 / $2.00
Mackay Race 4 - Explosive Gal - WIN $2.00 / $1.40
Mt Barker Race 1 - Mr Binks - LOST
Mt Barker Race 2 - Mon Titan Bay - LOST
Muswellbrook Race 5 - Lovely Legs - LOST
Muswellbrook Race 6 - Saranac - SCRATCHED

I am only counting best bets below in the overall results as that is how I have been collating the results so far. These included Explosive Gal and Strictly Smart.

Overall
Races : 20
Wins : 9
S/R : 45%
Return : $36.80
Profit/Loss : +$16.80

There were only short priced winners today. Still out of the 7 races which ran there was still a profit of $0.20 for wins and $0.80 for placings.

Good Luck.

wesmip1 6th December 2005 08:41 PM

Wednesday 6th Dec 2005
 
Tips for tommorrow

Randwick Race 1 - Hersperia
Randwick Race 2 - With a Chance
Werribee Race 2 - Tristo
Werribee Race 3 - Mahr
Werribee Race 7 - Bold Kel

Best bets are Herperia, With a Chance, Tristo and Mahr.

wesmip1 6th December 2005 09:21 PM

Just posting some results for those interested.

Out of the Random Tips which have been posted:

All Racings

Races : 31
Winners : 13
Win SR: 41%
Win Return : $58.40
Win Profit : $27.40 (88% POT)

Place races : 30
Placings : 21
Place SR : 70%
Place Return : $39.10
Place Profit : $9.10 (30% POT)

Best Bets

BB Races : 20
BB Wins : 9
BB S/R : 45%
BB Return : $36.80
BB Profit/Loss : +$16.80 (84% POT)

BB Races for Place : 19
BB Placings : 12
BB Place SR : 63%
BB Place Return : $25.10
BB Place Profit : $6.10 (32% POT)

The number of races between wins and placings are different as there was a race with only 4 horses thus NPP.

There doesn't seem to be much different between Best Bets and overall picks but I think over time Best Bets might end up coming out slightly in front.

wesmip1 7th December 2005 02:36 PM

Results for today :

Randwick Race 1 - Hersperia - LOST Came LAST
Randwick Race 2 - With a Chance - WIN $2.50 / $1.70
Werribee Race 2 - Tristo - LOST 4th
Werribee Race 3 - Mahr - LOST 4th
Werribee Race 7 - Bold Kel - SCRATCHED

Not a great day today. But that happens. In fact I think this is the first losing day since I started posting.

I thought Hersperia would have run better since it was its second run in from a spell, but it was a disspoaintment. Tristo left his run too late and was at the back of the field for most of the race and Mahr just didn't perform, he took too long for the jockey to motivate to run on and by that stage the race was over.

With a chance ran a nice race and was well positioned throughout.

Overall
Races : 24
Wins : 10
S/R : 41%
Return : $39.30
Profit/Loss : +$15.30

wesmip1 7th December 2005 03:56 PM

One more for today

Randwick Race 5 - Sarasota

Good Luck.

Stix 7th December 2005 04:01 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1

Not a great day today. But that happens. In fact I think this is the first losing day since I started posting.


Wesmip1

It does...... but you are ticking along nicely - touch wood - it continues

Good Luck Fella

wesmip1 7th December 2005 08:40 PM

Lets hope for some nice winners today
 
Ok time to improve after yesterdays poor effort.

Best Bets are :
Bendigo Race 5 - Esceegee
Bendigo Race 6 - Rose of Mooncoin
Bendigo Race 8 - Dolly Do Right
Ipswich Race 5 - Stylish Qualo
Wyong Race 3 - Orcym

Other bets are :

Bendigo Race 3 - Catch the Storm
Bunbury Race 6 - Peppi's Pride
Ipswich Race 4 - Course hes Canny
Ipswich Race 6 - Marchinette
NOwra Race 2 - Either Or
Nowra Race 7 - Dharmic


Good Luck

wesmip1 8th December 2005 06:50 PM

Results
 
Ok results for today

Best Bets are :
Bendigo Race 5 - Esceegee WIN $1.60 / $1.20
Bendigo Race 6 - Rose of Mooncoin 2nd $2.20
Bendigo Race 8 - Dolly Do Right LOST
Ipswich Race 5 - Stylish Qualo WIN $1.90 / $1.50
Wyong Race 3 - Orcym 2nd $1.50

Other bets are :

Bendigo Race 3 - Catch the Storm LOST
Bunbury Race 6 - Peppi's Pride WIN $5.50 /$2.00
Ipswich Race 4 - Course hes Canny LOST
NOwra Race 2 - Either Or 2nd 1.60
Nowra Race 7 - Dharmic LOST
Ipswich Race 6 - Marchinette SCRATCHED

Another poor day with only 3 winners. If one more of those 2nds got up it could have been a great day as Rose of Mooncoin was paying $7.40, Orcym was paying $3.80 and Either or was paying $3.20 for the win. As it was the shortest priced winners got up except for Peppis pride who paid well.

Places paid well for the best bets as usual and was up 28% for the day.

Overall
Races : 29
Wins : 12
S/R : 41%
Return : $42.80
Profit/Loss : +$13.80

wesmip1 8th December 2005 07:00 PM

Just to keep this thread up to date here are the overall results for BB and all.

All Racings
Races : 45
Winners : 17
Win SR: 37%
Win Return : $69.90
Win Profit : $24.90 (55% POT)
Place races : 44
Placings : 28
Place SR : 63%
Place Return : $50.80
Place Profit : $6.80 (15% POT)

Best Bets
BB Races : 29
BB Wins : 12
BB S/R : 41%
BB Return : $42.80
BB Profit/Loss : +$13.80 (47% POT)
BB Races for Place : 28
BB Placings : 17
BB Place SR : 60%
BB Place Return : $33.20
BB Place Profit : $5.20 (18% POT)

Percentum 8th December 2005 07:15 PM

Going well Wes. Your profit for the place is excellent. I've never come up with anything long term that makes profit on the place. The short prices and an inevitable poor run have always beaten me. Very hard to catch up once you get behind on place bets. Keep it up.

wesmip1 8th December 2005 07:15 PM

Well could I possibly have three bad days in a row with best bets .. will we see.

Best Bets are :

Darwin Race 4 - Kappa BB
Darwin Race 5 - Ranks BB
Pakenham Race 5 - Dream Lass BB

Other horses to watch:

Mooney Valley Race 4 - Brilliant Lad
Mooney Valley Race 6 - EllenBank
Mooney Valley Race 8 - Kiltanon
Mt Gambier Race 6 - River Guide
Mt Gambier Race 7 - Royal Battle
Pakenham Race 6 - Dawn Stroll
Randwick Race 4 - Five Bob
Randwick Race 7 -Arts Degree
Rockhampton Race 2 - Edgeroi Eve
Rockhampton Race 5 - Lea Lisa
Rockhampton Race9 - Pittapaddy

Good Luck.

wesmip1 10th December 2005 09:44 AM

Results
 
Results from yesterday.

What a frustrating day with 3 seconds for the best bets.

Best Bets were :
Darwin Race 4 - Kappa 2nd $1.40
Darwin Race 5 - Ranks 2nd $1.90
Pakenham Race 5 - Dream Lass 2nd $1.50

Other horses to watch:
Mooney Valley Race 4 - Brilliant Lad 2nd 2.30
Mooney Valley Race 6 - EllenBank 3rd $2.10
Mooney Valley Race 8 - Kiltanon LOST
Mt Gambier Race 6 - River Guide LOST
Mt Gambier Race 7 - Royal Battle LOST
Pakenham Race 6 - Dawn Stroll LOST
Randwick Race 4 - Five Bob LOST
Randwick Race 7 -Arts Degree 2nd 1.90
Rockhampton Race 2 - Edgeroi Eve 3rd NTD
Rockhampton Race 5 - Lea Lisa WIN $4.60 / 1.80
Rockhampton Race9 - Pittapaddy LOST

Good Luck.

wesmip1 10th December 2005 06:52 PM

I keep forgetting to add these in here on a Saturday.

Anyway the BB's today were:

Kembla Grange Race 2 - Master Strategy WIN $1.60 / $1.30
Rosehill Race 7 - Princess Gemma 3rd $2.00
Toowoomba Race 4 Craiglea Cowboy LOST
Ascot Race 2 - My Leo LOST

I never saw any of the races so can't comment any of the performances.

Best Bets
BB Races : 36
BB Wins : 13
BB S/R : 36%
BB Return : $44.40
BB Profit/Loss : +$8.40 (23% POT)
BB Races for Place : 35
BB Placings : 22
BB Place SR : 62%
BB Place Return : $41.30
BB Place Profit : $6.30 (18% POT)

wesmip1 11th December 2005 08:36 AM

Sunday tips
 
Ok tips for today

Best Bets

Ascot Race 4 Caties Own
Gosford Race 3 Half Eight
Hobart Race 5 Dream Quest

Others to watch

Ascot Race 1 Etcetera Etcetera
Ascot Race 6 Jarnot
Cowra Race 5 Strengthinnumbers
Hobart Race 6 Our Bonnie Lad
Hobart Rce 8 King Flyer
Sunshine Coast Race 6 Snick
Sunshine Coast Race 7 Main Drive
Sunshine Coast Race 8 Partying
Tatura Race 6 - Drizzle
Tatura Race 9 Madame Royale

Good Luck

wesmip1 11th December 2005 06:38 PM

Results - A Good Day
 
Well finally after a few days of poor returns and a never ending stream of second placers we have had a bumper day.

Results were :

Best Bets

Ascot Race 4 Caties Own WIN $4.10 / $1.80
Gosford Race 3 Half Eight WIN $6.90 / $2.50
Hobart Race 5 Dream Quest LOST

Others to watch

Ascot Race 1 Etcetera Etcetera 2nd $1.50
Ascot Race 6 Jarnot LOST
Cowra Race 5 Strengthinnumbers WIN $5.60 / $2.00
Hobart Race 6 Our Bonnie Lad 2nd 1.70
Hobart Race 8 King Flyer LOST
Sunshine Coast Race 6 Snick WIN $5.40 / $2.80
Sunshine Coast Race 7 Main Drive 2nd 1.90
Sunshine Coast Race 8 Partying WIN $4.50 / $1.90
Tatura Race 6 - Drizzle LOST
Tatura Race 9 Madame Royale WIN $5.90 / $1.80

Todays results had 6 winners and 3 seconds from 13 races. POT today for BB was 266% and on all races was 149%.

Hopefully some people are checking out these results and getting some winners.

I have to say I am happy with how this is going.
Here are the overall results:

Best Bets
BB Races : 39
BB Wins : 15
BB S/R : 38%
BB Return : $55.40
BB Profit/Loss : +$16.40 (42% POT)
BB Races for Place : 38
BB Placings : 24
BB Place SR : 63%
BB Place Return : $45.60
BB Place Profit : $7.60 (20% POT)

All Racings
Races : 76
Winners : 25
Win SR: 32%
Win Return : $108.50
Win Profit : $32.50 ( 42% POT)
Place races : 75
Placings : 46
Place SR : 61%
Place Return : $84.90
Place Profit : $9.90 (13% POT)


Good Luck

wesmip1 12th December 2005 06:26 AM

Tips for Today
 
Monday is always hard to find some tips. Here are a few :

Best bet is:
Murwillumbah Race 6 -Overseas

Others to watch are :
Stawell Race 7 - Methodical Boy
Stawell Race 9 - Lowonale

Good Luck.

Sportz 12th December 2005 07:49 AM

Well done yesterday. Good work.

D105Black 12th December 2005 09:36 AM

I'm keeping an eye on your picks, Wesmip. Sometimes you are up and other times you are down, but yesterday was terrific. A strike rate like that for the BB is very mouth-watering.

My only regrets was that yesterday being a Sunday was my day off from punting...to the Sunday Service with family...

But regrets aside, always am waiting for your postings.

wesmip1 12th December 2005 11:13 AM

Thanks
 
Sportzand D105Black,

Thanks for the posts. So far it has been encouraging. The tips I have been placing are getting up for a nice strike rate and nice return. Hopefully it continues.

Seems Sunday is the best day.
It has had 24 tips for 11 winners. The return was $62.70 which means a profit of $38.70

Thanks for the encouragement.

wesmip1 12th December 2005 04:48 PM

Results for Monday
 
Best bet is:
Murwillumbah Race 6 -Overseas 3rd $4.70

Others to watch are :
Stawell Race 7 - Methodical Boy LOST (Came 4th)
Stawell Race 9 - Lowonale LOST

I had a couple of long shots in todays races and it was good to see my BB at least got up for 3rd at good odds. Methodical boy left his run too long and I never heard or saw the Lowonale race.

Best Bets
BB Races : 40
BB Wins : 15
BB S/R : 38%
BB Return : $55.40
BB Profit/Loss : +$15.40 (38% POT)
BB Races for Place : 39
BB Placings : 25
BB Place SR : 64%
BB Place Return : $50.30
BB Place Profit : $11.30 (29% POT)

Good Luck.

wesmip1 12th December 2005 07:09 PM

Added pre-post prices today
 
For no particular reason at all I have added the prepost prices for the tips today. I don't use prepost prices in piucking my tips but it is nice to know once you picked them how much you are going to win :)

Tommorrows bets include :

Best bets:
Albany Race 4 - Plea Bargain PP $4.60
Albany Race 6 - Shy Wild PP $2.80
Townsville Race 3 - Prince of Steel PP $1.80

Other horses to follow:
Kilmore Race 6 - Tippys Truce PP $3.80

Good Luck

wesmip1 13th December 2005 08:36 PM

Results - A profit again
 
Results for today were ok with a profit from our only winner.

Best bets:
Albany Race 4 - Plea Bargain SCRATCHED
Albany Race 6 - Shy Wild LOST
Townsville Race 3 - Prince of Steel WON $3.10 / $1.40

Other horses to follow:
Kilmore Race 6 - Tippys Truce LOST

Best Bets Totals
BB Races : 42
BB Wins : 16
BB S/R : 38%
BB Return : $58.50
BB Profit/Loss : +$16.50 (39% POT)
BB Races for Place : 41
BB Placings : 26
BB Place SR : 63%
BB Place Return : $51.70
BB Place Profit : $10.70 (26% POT)


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