Lightning Stakes
 

5- LIGHTNING STAKES 1000 M
Of $502500 Of $500000 and $2500 trophy. 1st $300000 and trophy of $2500, 2nd $90000, 3rd $45000, 4th $22500, 5th $12500, 6th $10000, 7th $10000, 8th $10000. Starter Subsidy: $150 for non-prize earning runners. Standard Weight for Age. (GROUP 1). No allowances for apprentices. Field Limit: 16+3 EM
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No Horse Trainer Rating
1 CAPE OF GOOD HOPE (GB) David Oughton (115)
2 DANERICH Robbie Laing (93)
3 GLAMOUR PUSS (NZ) Danny O'Brien (114)
4 GOD'S OWN Bart Cummings (107)
5 JET SPUR John O'Shea (104)
6 MEDIA Bob Thomsen (101)
7 MURRAY DOWNS Peter G Moody (99)
8 NIPS Clarry Conners (100.5)
9 PERLIN (NZ) Graeme Rogerson (112)
10 PROPRIETOR Paul Perry (101)
11 QUEEN OF THE HILL Lee Freedman (99)
12 REWAAYA (NZ) David Hayes (96)
13 SNITZEL Gerald Ryan (104)
14 STRATUM Paul Perry (106)
15 TAKEOVER TARGET Joe Janiak (108)
16 UNDOUBTEDLY Mark Kavanagh (97)


I like:
CAPE OF GOOD HOPE
GLAMOUR PUSS
REWAAYA
TAKEOVER TARGET

Thoughts?

Media is a nice type, should perform well this prep.

What are your thoughts for the whole meeting?

Well, it's only at the nominations stage. Can't be sure they'll all accept. If they do, it's some sort of race!!!

Throw out cape of great hype, i like the rest :p

without knowing rewayaa's record down the straight, i am stumped as to how you can like this horse ahead of Queen of the Hill. Everyone knows the reason Queen is not undefeated down the straight is due to some poor steering and not being able to stay on.

I am only comparing these 2 due to same age, sex and weight. Whilst i think QOTH is a good chance i do not rate it on top either.

Waig for te fnal field and some prices wll find someting e/w and back that not willing to take anythig short in ths field as far as QOTH goes regardless of the straight track experience I think I would go e/w on Rewaaya over it to.

This is how Col Tidy has them at this stage:

6.00 Glamour Puss
7.00 Queen Of The Hill
7.00 Rewaaya
7.00 Takeover Target
9.00 Jet Spur
11.00 God's Own
13.00 Media
13.00 Snitzel
13.00 Undoubtedly
15.00 Cape Of Good Hope
15.00 Stratum
21.00 Murray Downs
21.00 Proprietor
26.00 Perlin
51.00 Nips

I think I would take the 7s about Takeover Target before any of the others on equal or lower odds than him. QOTH and Rewaaya are woeful odds if that ends up anywhere near the market come staurday.

This is what Danny Nikolic said about God's Own this morning:

"He gave me a good feel and he had a good blow."

:eek:

This is about as good as the Postage Stamp remark Sportz.

Do these guys actually think about what comes out of there mouths sometimes they are truly awful, Then again maybe I just have a disgusting mind to.

LMAO, that was a good one. Perhaps we're in the wrong business here fellas, then again perhaps not. Beggars can't be choosers i suppose, eh Danny boy?

What about Greg Norman after he won the British Open
"I'd like to thank my parents especially my MOTHER AND FATHER "

LOL

Well, here's one for you. The winner of the last at Wagga today was called SHAG INDEED, and it's Unitab rating for the race was 69. :D

or the olympics commentator who was calling the marathon, saying "And here's 18 year old kenyan, who turned 19 just last week"

What are your tips for the WHOLE meeting on Saturday? Some interesting races.

i like the look apache cat, pinezero, candy vale and kindjhal at the moment, but that is a very quick look

the barrier trial was against morphetville maidens

It was a VERY impressive barrier trial, BUT Dwayne Dunn (like many other people) thinks that Rewaaya has a very bright future and she will be competing in bigger prizemoney races than Undoubtedly, so that's why he's gone that way.

Is anyone superstitious?

So far throughout her career Rewaaya has won 3 races.
Everytime the race was number 3 on the days program!

Thats alot of 3's.

Saturday 4th February 2006


Flemington:

MR1 Number 2 Solar Mighty 9:15am

MR2 Number 8 King's Champ 9:52am

MR3 Number 2 Crevette 10:32am

MR4 Number 1 Kounthekash 11:12am

MR5 Number 5 Fanfares 11:52am

MR6 Number 1 Minson 12:30pm

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MR7 G1 $502,500 AUD 2006 Lightning Stakes 1000m 1:10pm

Win: Number 8 Snitzel

Best Value Place: Number 9 Jet Spur

Number 10 Media**

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MR8 Number 2 Candy Vale 1:50pm

MR9 Number 3 Mock 2:30pm

Best Bet: MR5 Number 5 Fanfares

Double: MR6 Number 1 Minson

**Horses I usually follow.

Good Luck & Good Punting.

My Tip
 

I have taken $8.00 for Jet Spur with sports bet,I feel that he is the forgotten horse in the race.He has won fresh and has also won down the straight,also has a big race jock in Glen Boss who just loves Melbourne.

Syd today R5 N1 More than Lucky and Syd R7N10 Byaraja ew

Newcastle R4n5 Fashfield & n6 Josand will run well.

Bris R7N5 All Bar One.

LIGHTNING STAKES
 

CAPE OF GOOD HOPE should be just a little too classy.
Main dangers STRATUM and TAKEOVER TARGET.
SNITZEL also a hope.

I cannot seperate most of these horses very tough race with so many questions.

I really like Rewaaya and Media infact I cannot split them so I am probably going to just back them both atleast it should cover me if there is a bias towards the inside or outside anyway. Cape of Good Hope and Takeover Target are both exceptional horses but the 1000m could be a bit nippy for them and I amnot sure that Cape of Good hope is the same horse that was out here last year I think that was his chance to win the Lightning last year.

I have doubts that Proprietor really has any chance but good luck to connections, Stratum I think is a good horse but I amnot sure whether he is quite upto this his 2 runs straight though were both very good obviously the one behind Glamour Puss looks excellent. God's Own very very good horse but this is to short for him 1200m would have given him a chance.

I amnot a fan of Undoubtedly and have not considered it personally Snitzel is a hard horse for me to back usually terrible odds and at WFA he meets Media badly for losing to her 1st up last campaign. To all the fans of Queen of the Hill and Jet Spur I am sorry but I don't like either of them they may go out and quinella the race but it would be without my support that is for sure.

Trifecta

1st: Rewaaya, Media, Takeover Target
2nd: Rewaaya, Media, Takeover Target, Snitzel, Cape of Good Hope

I have loaded up on Takeover Target at $8. But the ****ty thing is that scratchings are refunded and deductions apply.

Just wondering how much do you think my odds will be slashed with glamour puss being scratched? Could cost me 100's.

Proprietor over Rewaaya in a boilover :)

Sven

ended up gettin $6.88 instead of $8 for all those interested!

Well Done Real Deal he always had the class to win I was just worried about the distance.