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Punting Place
Time to publicly trial my place system where selections are based on a top 4 position as rated by myself (using a basic computer rating system still in development stage), a place strike rate > 33.3% and how suited a candidate’s racing style is with my predicted speed map. The amount wagered for a place is dependent in general terms on likely starting price (the shorter the more wagered) and my confidence in the selection being placed.
So away we go...enjoy, brendan :) |
Session 1
Flemington Sat 4 Feb
R5 Horse 6 SAFARI SUNBEAM $20 Place R6 Horse 3 ZIGOTTO $10 Place R7 Horse 1 CAPE OF GOOD HOPE $20 Place Total Outlay = $50 Total Outlay To-Date = $50 |
You're welcome
Those into place betting feel free to post some selections if you wish but keeping tabs of your progress is up to you :)
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I'll be in this. I will usually choose 5 races per day for my place bets. I'll bet $10 on each selection for the place, so it'll be $50 all up. I'll be using the WA TAB dividends for my calculations as I live in Western Australia. I will probably keep my selections to the one meeting usually as I don't have much time on my hands these days. Some selections may not have much value at all.
Here goes... Friday 3rd February 2006 Racing WA Esperance: $10 - CR1 Number 1 Authenticate 2:58pm $10 - CR2 Number 2 King Zinger 3:33pm $10 - CR4 Number 1 Tamoshi 4:43pm $10 - CR5 Number 2 Sir Mondane 5:18pm $10 - CR6 Number 4 Garrison 5:52pm Today's Outlay: $50 Total Outlay: $50 Winnings: Margin: Good Luck & Good Punting! |
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Margin: $1 I survived with two good placings in the last two events. It saved me, looked very disastrous at the beginning. Saturday 4th February 2006 Ascot & Flemington: $10 - MR2 Number 8 King's Champ 9:52am $10 - MR4 Number 1 Kounthekash 11:12am $10 - PR2 Number 3 Number 3 Bold Ransom 1:25pm $10 - PR3 Number 3 Number 3 Silver Seam 2:05pm $10 - PR7 Number 2 Number 2 Re Enforcing 4:42pm Bank: $51 Today's Outlay: $50 Total Outlay: $100 |
I’m in for a bit of interest :)
Randwick Today Race 1 (2) Beau Covet Race 2 (3) Warm Ride Race 3 (6) Hassle Race 5 (8) Tin Pan Race 6 (10) Pasikatera All $10 place Total outlay $50 |
$10 - MR2 Number 8 King's Champ 9:52am UNPLACED
$10 - MR4 Number 1 Kounthekash 11:12am PLACE $1.50 $10 - PR2 Number 3 Number 3 Bold Ransom 1:25pm UNPLACED $10 - PR3 Number 3 Number 3 Silver Seam 2:05pm UNPLACED $10 - PR7 Number 2 Number 2 Re Enforcing 4:42pm PLACE $1.40 Pre-Betting Bank Account: $1.00 New Bank Account: $0.00 Today's Outlay: $50.00 Total Outlay: $100.00 Todays Income: $29.00 Total Income: $80.00 Profit/Loss: - $20.00 |
Results Randwick Sat - Unitab
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Race 1 (2) Beau Covet 3rd NTD Race 2 (3) Warm Ride 3rd NTD Race 3 (6) Hassle 1st $4.80 place Race 5 (8) Tin Pan 2nd $1.90 place Race 6 (10) Pasikatera 2nd $2.70 place Total outlay $50 Total return $94 POT 88% Profit / Loss to-date +$44 |
Tuesday 7th February 2006:
$10 - PT1 Number 2 High Ique NO RACE - A Reinsman knocked out. $10 - PT3 Number 9 Eurodollar $10 - PT7 Number 8 Hanovarian $10 - PT8 Number 5 Armed Raider $20 - CD3 Number 1 Casino Drum Outlay: $50 Total Outlay: $150 |
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PT1 Number 2 High Ique NO RACE - A Reinsman knocked out. PT3 Number 9 Eurodollar UNPLACED PT7 Number 8 Hanovarian UNPLACED PT8 Number 5 Armed Raider FIRST $1.80 = $18 CD3 Number 1 Casino Drum THIRD $1.30 = $26 Today's Return: $44 Today's Profit/Loss: - $6 Total Return: $124 Total Profit/Loss: - $26 |
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Hi Ade, with PT1 abandoned wouldn’t that mean you made a profit and not a loss tonight? |
Oops! my mistake :rolleyes: I see you put $20 on the last selection :o
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Wednesday, 8th February 2006
$10 - MR5 Number 9 Footy 1:00pm $10 - CR2 Number 6 Tribret 2:15pm $10 - CD4 Number 9 Vir Juene 3:30pm $10 - PD2 Number 7 Uno Smiley 7:40pm $10 - PD6 Number 1 Delish 8:40pm Today's Outlay: $50 Total Outlay: $200 I have to try and make up the lost $26.00 |
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MR5 Number 9 Footy 1:00pm UNPLACED CR2 Number 6 Tribret 2:15pm UNPLACED CR4 Number 9 Vir Juene 3:30pm UNPLACED PD2 Number 7 Uno Smiley 7:40pm UNPLACED PD6 Number 1 Delish 8:40pm FIRST $1.40 = $14 Today's Income: $14.00 Today's Profit/Loss: - $36.00 Total Income: $138.00 Total Profile/Loss: - $62.00 |
Account: - $62
Thursday, 9th February 2006 $20 - BR3 Number 4 Honeybelle 12:11pm $10 - CR5 Number 14 D'Yquem 4:07pm $20 - CR6 Number 4 Summer Wave 4:42pm Today's Outlay: $50 Total Outlay: $250 Must make inroads into the $62 debt. |
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Ade I'm just gunna wipe your tips until you stike a profit.... :D |
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$20 - BR3 Number 4 Honeybelle 12:11pm UNPLACED $10 - CR5 Number 14 D'Yquem 4:07pm UNPLACED $20 - CR6 Number 4 Summer Wave 4:42pm FIRST $1.70 = $34.00 Today's Income: $34.00 Today's Profit/Loss: - $16 Total Income: $172 Total Profit/Loss: - $78 |
Results - Session 1
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SAFARI SUNBEAM 4TH ZIGOTTO 3RD $3.10 place ($31) CAPE OF GOOD HOPE 3RD $4.40 place ($88) Total Outlay = $50 Total Return = $119 Total Outlay To-Date = $50 Total Return To-Date = $119 |
Account: - $78
Friday 10th February 2006 $20 - BR4 Number 7 Devil Inside 1:05pm $10 - BR7 Number 4 Feline Artistry 3:05pm $20 - MRX7 Number 1 Poet's Voice 7:05pm Today's Outlay: $50 Total Outlay: $300 Today is make or break. |
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Today's Income: $47.00 Today's Profit/Loss: - $3.00 Total Income: $219 Total Profilt/Loss: - $81 |
Account: - $81
Saturday 11th February 2006 $10 - SR5 Number 7 Purple Dane 12:10pm $10 - MR5 Number 6 Strikeline 12:30pm $10 - BR6 Number 6 Minassi 1:41pm $10 - AR8 Number 1 Tora Tora Tora 2:40pm $10 - PR6 Number 7 Money Exchange 4:02pm Today's Outlay: $50 Total Outlay: $350 Did better yesterday but still ended up with a daily debt. I think we'll do much better today. |
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$10 - MR5 Number 6 Strikeline 12:30pm UNPLACED $10 - BR6 Number 6 Minassi 1:41pm UNPLACED $10 - AR8 Number 1 Tora Tora Tora 2:40pm UNPLACED $10 - PR6 Number 7 Money Exchange 4:02pm UNPLACED Today's Income: $13 Total Income: $232 Today's Profit/Loss: - $37 Total Profit/Loss: - $118 |
Can you place punters clarify something for me please? If a place bet is put on when there is a field of 8 or more, but late scratchings reduce the field to seven, does the bet stand & only pay for 1st & 2nd? (the right answer will win me a pot!!)
bomber |
No. All three places are paid as long as it was an 'official' late scratching. Unitab indicates 'late scratching' on its race list. Some of the others do not.
Cheers |
Account: - $81
Sunday 12th February 2006 $50 - CR5 Number 1 Entrega 4:20pm Today's Outlay: $50 Total Outlay: $400 This horse is a good thing, beautifully weighted and won two in a row prior. Get on I'd say. Race paying 1 & 2 only, but I am very certain it'll finish in the top 2. |
Thanks Merriguy.
What constitutes an 'unofficial late scratching'? What happens if a horse(s) is withdrawn at the barrier? Regards - Bomber |
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$50 - CR5 Number 1 Entrega 4:20pm FIRST $1.30 = $65 Today's Income: $65 Today's Profit/Loss: $15 Total Income: $297 Total Profit/Loss: - $103 |
Thursday 16th February 2006
Account: - $103 $50 - CR5 Number 1 Jay Four Ex 3:32pm Today's Outlay: $50 Total Outlay: $450 |
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$50 - CR5 Number 1 Jay Four Ex 3:32pm FIRST $1.30 = $65 Today's Income: $65 Today's Profit/Loss: $15 Total Income: $362 Total Profit/Loss: - $88 |
Bomber,
Sorry about the delay in responding. As I understand things, any horse withdrawn for any reason after a certain time (before the first race??) is considered a late scratching. Perhaps some more knowledgeable person can help. Would be interested to know too. |
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I believe it's 8.00 am on race day |
Thanks, Stix.
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Randwick Today
Race 5 (8) For Valour Race 6 (1) Mnemosyne Race 7 (2) Seidnazar Race 8 (4) Crimson Reign All $10 place Total outlay $40 Profit / Loss to-date +$44 |
Session 2
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Moonee Valley Sat 18 Feb R5 Horse 2 PLANS $10 Place R6 Horse 2 DOUBTING $10 Place R7 Horse 3 GLAMOUR PUSS $10 Place Total Outlay = $30 Total Outlay To-Date = $80 |
Opening Balance: - $88.00
Saturday 18th February 2006 Esperance: $50.00 - CR1 Number 3 Turnbuckle 2:12pm Today's Outlay: $50.00 Total Outlay: $500.00 Good Luck & Good Punting! |
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$50.00 - CR1 Number 3 Turnbuckle 2:12pm FIRST $1.10 = $55.00 Today's Income: $55.00 Today's Profit/Loss: $5.00 Total Income: $417.00 Total Profit/Loss: - $83.00 Closing Balance: - $83.00 |
Opening Balance: - $83.00
Sunday 19th February 2006 $30 - CR2 Number 1 Champagne Lad 12:42pm $10 - CT2 Number 2 Theeyes Tellnolies 2:02pm $10 - CT3 Number 3 Satinka 4:29pm Today's Outlay: $50 Total Outlay: $550 Good Luck & Good Punting! |
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$30 - CR2 Number 1 Champagne Lad 12:42pm $1.80 = $54.00 $10 - CT3 Number 2 Theeyes Tellnolies 2:02pm $1.20 = $12.00 $10 - CT7 Number 3 Satinka 4:29pm UNPLACED $0.00 Today's Income: $66.00 Today's Profit/Loss: $16.00 Total Income: $483.00 Total Profit/Loss: - $67.00 Closing Balance: - $67.00 |
Monday, 20 February 2006
Kempsey R6 No 5. Youthful Spring
Kempsey R7 No 9. Makin Love Dubbo R3 No 3. Carry The Dance Dubbo R6 No 4. Huge Number Dubbo R7 No 4. Give It A Hundred Dubbo R8 No 5. Lakeside Drive All $10 place Total today $60 |
seems to be a theme running through your tips EDDIE 72
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