Australia Stks Thoughts
A very tough race again this week
Obvioulsy if Paratroopers resumes well then it will be hard to beat. Showed so much promise last prep and looks to be a star of the future. Only query is that he hasn't won at the track or distance, from 1 and 2 tries respectively. Barrier is fine as he will probably come across and lead, or sit just outside All Bar One. I'm also particularly keen on Jet Spur - i thought it was a great run in the lightning when no one was coming home. Boss on board again which can only help. Won twice at distance, but hasn't run at track but i don't this will be an issue - has potential speed, and could get to the front early Rewaaya is another possible star, and didn't have much room when a good 4th in the Lightning. Showed it was a potential superstar over this track and distance last prep when demolishing them in her first few starts. Should get a nice run from barrier and looks very good Virage De Fortune is another to keep an eye on - pushed Up and Comer California Dane ot the wire last start in the Carlyon first up. Loves the Valley and the 1200 and is well weighted against these. Barrier is a slight problem, but should be up with the leaders so should go close It seems a few people have jumped off the Glamour Puss bandwagon, but there is no denying she is a classy sprinter. Seems to have bounced back well from mild illness sufferedbefore the lightning. Group 1 winner over this distance ( one of 8 wins over the 1200) and has also won at the track ,and twice first up I think it comes down to these 5, but an upset from others like Stratum or Chetwynd South would only be a minor surprise. Oh and lastly, Zenno Goshu is a proven Australian Group 1 performer, who is yet to fail in this country. Super consistent and unbeaten over track and distance :D :D |
Nice write up chuck. I think you've covered pretty much everything i was considering. Now if i could just seperate one or two of these runners i'd be much happier.
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hey ppl,
atm im think of putting 4 in for my quaddie. selections are looking to be Glamour puss Reewaya Paratroopers Virage de fortune any quaddie feedback would be good, i will b posting my quaddie thoughts on my quaddie post a lil later or earlier tomorrow... cheers BORDI... |
quaddie will be damn near impossible tomorrow, these might go okay, though i'm not that confident
4: 1,2,3,6 5: 1,3 6: 2,3,4 7: 3,6,7,10,11 |
My only query over Glamour Puss would be her Manikato performance (8th), 1st up over this distance at this track. Particularly now i learn that her scratching in the lightning was due to illness. I'm a glamour puss fan but this one has got me wondering.
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As well as the ones you have mentioned I'm a fan of perfectly ready. beaten a neck by spark of life this trk/dst this grade in the spring. Can do something similar here. I have paratroopers on top from perfectly ready, virage de fortune and respect rewaaya.
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Guys i think i have seriously put my foot in it.
Talking trash with a few mates last night and one of the boys just kept ramming paratroopers down my throat all night. I personally do not think it can run a drum due to the speed battle that is going to happen tomorrow. So i shot my mouth off and offered him 8's with a 50 minimum bet. He took it in an instant. Personally i think virage and rewayaa are the top 2 in the race but all this paratroopers talk is starting to get me worried, would be a bad day to lose 350 on a side bet!! |
He'll be there or there abouts but i think you just made $50. If he had a few runs under his belt and was blowing away fields like he is capable of doing then i'd be worried. In fact the more people talk up his chances the happier i'd be to take him on.
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I might be crazy but the 2 horses I like are Perfectly Ready and Rewaaya no surprise about Rewaaya I guess but not to many seem to be giving Perfectly Ready much chance where I honestly feel it is a serious knock out chance in the race. I like even more the $18 being offered on him at the moment especially when his best runs have been when fresh.
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Glamour puss
Virage de fortune Reewaya Paratroopers |
This is a very open race. Straight handicapping on this race I would favor those proven at the track because it is MV [especially]. It's that sort of track. Virage de Fortune and Perfectly Ready. Most others beside Glamour puss [3 runs for 1 win] have had one run at the track only but usually a win which isn't enough to prove anything concrete. Hard and harder.
Course and distance: All bar one, Virage de fortune, Glamour puss and Rewaaya, but Glamour puss has lost 2 out of 3 here [not so suited?]. It's going to come down to who gets the best runs at this level and who rides particularly well at this track and who gets the right breaks. Then there are the surprise packets who have never run at the track but might be just very suited to it, or not [Jetspur and Undue]. Jetspur has been a bit erratic but is possibly the best horse in the race. Undue just keeps winning, very consistently. Bring out the darts I think, besides a couple in this race anything could win it. Not really a good [win] betting race. Jetspur or Rawaaya for a fun bet from me, though Dunn [Rawaaya] is probably a better rider here than Boss who's style is more suited to a big track as is Nickolic [Statum]. Virage will be way unders. A good exotics race.. |
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