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-   -   Wiz Punt System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=17468)

darkydog2002 9th April 2008 11:20 AM

Wiz Punt System
 
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darkydog2002 14th April 2008 02:39 PM

Reaper.

Stick to the Sportsman.

The middle page liftout will give you everything you need "at a glance "
Just take the Sportsmans handicappers at their word.They have done the work for us.

DO NOT add any further rules as you are likely to "cruel" the method and effect the high strike rate and profitability.

I see where CRASH has kindly answered your questions.Thank you CRASH.

I am the author of this plan .Any problems contact me at hotmail.

Cheers.
darky.

Ron50 15th April 2008 06:55 PM

Good to see you are still alive Darky...Ho! Ho!


Ron

darkydog2002 16th April 2008 12:56 PM

Hi Ya Ron 50.

When are you coming up my way.?
"Madam Lash " is coming up for the Nimbin Mardi Grass this year so a wild old time will be had by all.Gees those spurs hurt but hi ho silver.
Many have promised me a good Flogging over the years but its not the same as riding bare back.Ho Ho.

Cheers.
darky.

reaper1313 26th April 2008 06:35 AM

thanks darky. haven't had a crack yet. been getting tab/bet fair accounts set up last couple weeks. so how's the system been runnin anyway? got any results to post? thanks for your help mate

darkydog2002 26th April 2008 10:49 AM

Hi reaper.

To date 41 % Win strike rate and 48.5 % on turnover..

Cheers.
darky.

Mr Quaddie 26th April 2008 03:18 PM

How are you going today mate?

When considering weight rises, do you count from the given weight or the carried weight?

darkydog2002 28th April 2008 10:02 AM

Hi Mr.Quaddie.

The Official Handicappers weight.

Monthly update for the method is.5/4/2008 - 26/4/2008

Win % 37.5 Place % 70.8 % POT 35.86 %

These are the WORST possible figures from the SP Nsw TAB ( and will use these figures as their possibly the lowest you could go,and I think thats fair to all)

Much greater profit of course can be made from BETFAIR /BOOKMAKER

Cheers.
darky.

Mr Quaddie 28th April 2008 08:34 PM

Sounds like it is going great. Good luck with it all. Keep us in touch.

darkydog2002 29th April 2008 11:51 AM

Mr Quaddie.

Thank you for your kind comments.

I particularly like this one.

Been doing some research on another one with very promising results although the method only averages around 2 bets per week on Saturday.

I am hesitant to post that one as it probably wouldn,t have enough bets to interest anyone but I can say at this point the strike rate and profit is staggering ( albeit a short result base so far due the low rate of bets.)

Cheers.
darky.

thorns 29th April 2008 12:42 PM

hey darky,

seeing this system reminded of another one you shared with me once, your supersystem. Are you still using this one? Still going strong?

Nigel 29th April 2008 01:49 PM

Darky old chap, I'm sure there are many who would welcome to learn of your system ideas no matter how few bets there are.


Cheers,
Nigel

enjay 29th April 2008 10:26 PM

WIZ PUNT
 
Hello Darky Dog.
You have posted these figures.

Monthly update for the method is.5/4/2008 - 26/4/2008
Win % 37.5 Place % 70.8 % POT 35.86 %

I monitor this publication as well and I cannot see where your figures are correct. ??? Are you Sat only or Wed and/or other days Sportsman is published ??? Metro/all states ??
For the sake of all looking at your results, why don't you post the selections prior to running.

Enjay

Flaming edited out. Please ask questions without flaming in future.
Moderator.

Bhagwan 30th April 2008 12:23 AM

I cant see why Pundits like Darky has to have another unpaid job.
People can do there own research .
The idea is to put stuff up for consideration, do ones own research before betting real money .
Then drop it if its not their speed, rightly or wrongly.

It's not as if we are applying for a bank loan here, where people have to be spoon fed information before a due dilligence check is placed over them.

If this was applied to every idea, no matter how wild , no one would post anything, for fear of the due dilligence police, start trying to belittle them publicly.

Seeing that no money is involved, take what one wishes from some of the ideas that may prove valuable, into ones own punting ideas & make them your own.

At the end of the day, very few punters ever run with the exact rules to a system anyway. Punters instinctivley feel they can make it stronger if I just change this...

Cheers.

odericko 30th April 2008 08:38 AM

actually darkys given us quite a goodun here.. i use virtual form as they give last 4 runs ..have had some really interesting results..thanks darky

thorns 30th April 2008 09:14 AM

Was just looking at the racing and sport website, and noticed they do speedmaps for all the races.
has anybody had any experience with these? And how accurate are they?

darkydog2002 30th April 2008 11:20 AM

Hi everyone.

Thank you for your kind comments.

Thorns.
Yes. I am still doing the Super system ( has some great results)

I dont mind sharing system ideas with others though I do like to have runs on the board before I share the complete rules .The 2nd method has too few runs on the board at the moment to have the utmost confidence in it.
But I do believe it could be my best yet..

One thing I like to do with my methods is to keep them as simple as possible as I found a Complicated plethora of rules only lead back to a short priced horse ( the worst aspect of commercial systems )

i.e One old commercial system had averages of 18 - 34 bets per year at prices averaging $2.10 and a win % of 16 - 20 %.In my humble opinion no more form of punting torture could have been developed.
Being somewhat masochistic I recently monitored that one for 3 months with a 0 win %.

If my 2nd method works over my trial period I will certainly post it here for those interested.

Cheers and thanks once again for your kind and positive comments.
darky.

Big Louie 1st May 2008 03:01 PM

Darky's Super System
 
Hi Darky,

Good to see you're still going strong.

Your Super System sounds interesting. What's the chance of posting the selection criteria??

Hope you don't mind me asking

Cheers
Big Louie

odericko 1st May 2008 04:48 PM

had great success today backing those <6 and l had 100% sucess laying those >7s what a little pearler , lets hope the wheels dont fall off

reaper1313 2nd May 2008 11:52 AM

Darky, is all the criteria for whiz punt only found in the sportsman? been looking at winning post, but blowed if i can find it...

LEADER OR RACES ON PACE (H )?

SENIOR RIDER TO 1.5 KG APPRENTICE?

also, does more weight, or less weight than last start indicate a drop in class?

thanks mate

darkydog2002 3rd May 2008 10:39 AM

Reaper.

ONLY in the SPORTSMAN. Though WIZARD online has the same info From everyrace.com

My suggestion. Use the SPORTSMAN exclusively.

Both Sportsman and Wizard are the "Rolls Royce" of form papers.

Re Class Drops .Normally drop in class = up in weight.

Cheers.
darky.

Big Louie 5th May 2008 11:01 PM

WIZ PUNT SYSTEM
 
Reaper,

In reply to your questions:

LEADER OR RACES ON PACE (H )?
In the Sportsman Chartfrom section, you will see a column labelled 'Speed'. 'L' = Leader, 'H' = Races on pace

SENIOR RIDER TO 1.5 KG APPRENTICE?
You'll find this in all form guides. Senior rider = non-apprentice. 1.5Kg Apprentice = an apprentice with a maximum claim of 1.5kg (this happens when an apprentice wins so many races and loses part of the maximum 3kg they started their apprenticeship with). The from guide will have the jockey's name and apprentice's claim in brackets. Look at Moonee Valley Race 4 Sat 3/5, Nicholas Hall 2kg (still has some of his claim but lost some due to good riding perfromances), S Murphy 0kg (has lost all of his claim coz he's won so many races), L McGill 3kg (still has complete claim)

Hope that helps
Cheers
Big Louie

Big Louie 5th May 2008 11:05 PM

WIZ PUNT SYSTEM
 
Reaper,

Forgot to answer your other question:

also, does more weight, or less weight than last start indicate a drop in class?

Sportsman Chartform, column called 'Class'
S = Same class as previous race
U = going up in race class
D = going down in race class

Cheers

darkydog2002 6th May 2008 11:55 AM

Big Louie,

Thanks for that bit of info for Reaper.

Hesitant to release the rules on the SUPER SYSTEM on a open forum as its such a consistent money spinner.

I can say though that it can be used DAILY at any track.

Cheers.
darky.

Big Louie 6th May 2008 12:18 PM

SUPER SYSTEM
 
Hi Darky,

I understand, no probs.

...but if you change your mind lkbiglouie at gmail dot com ;-)

darkydog2002 6th May 2008 12:31 PM

Selection just paid $3.20 SP NSW TAB Big louie.

Cheers.
darky.

ps .Drop me a line anytime.

Big Louie 6th May 2008 12:36 PM

Darky,

you said "drop me a line sometime" - please advise how I do that?

Thanks
BigLouie

darkydog2002 6th May 2008 12:40 PM

My non de plume @hotmail.

You might find something interesting in your mail too.

Cheers.
darky.

reaper1313 9th May 2008 10:22 AM

thanks heaps darky and louie. makes perfect sense now. yes found sportsman much easier with their chartform. just worked out runners for tomorrow. looking forward to backing them

darkydog2002 9th May 2008 02:17 PM

Our Pleasure Reaper.

Good luck for us tomorrow eh.

Cheers.
darky.

Mr Quaddie 17th May 2008 11:56 AM

How is it going these days? My selections isnt too flash.

darkydog2002 19th May 2008 02:17 PM

Mr Quaddie.

Excellent day Saturday 17/5/2008

Will keep updating per monthly and consecutively for awhile ( again using the WORST figures from SP NSW TAB.)

Cheers.
darky.

Try Try Again 19th May 2008 03:18 PM

Well done Darky hope the success continues.


Just a few questions.

1. Are you betting only on Saturday meetings?
2. Do you bet on the 4 main meetings (Syd, Melb, Ade, Bris) or do you include Perth?
3. Do all the city meetings perform as well as each other?
Again well done and keep up the good work.

Try Try Again

darkydog2002 20th May 2008 11:35 AM

Try try Again

I only do Saturday and yes include Perth for this method.

All perform admirably .

Had many happy letters from users.

Glad you like it.

Cheers.
darky.

Mr Quaddie 20th May 2008 08:27 PM

Could you please tell me the up-to-date and current rules for this system. Love to get an accurate picture so I know which horses to back each weekend.

Do you think this system will work midweek too?

Thanks for this system. I always enjoy watching and support people's thoughts and systems on here. Keep up the great work always.

darkydog2002 21st May 2008 11:30 AM

Mr Quaddie.

The rules are unchanged.

I feel that adding any further rules will knock out the higher priced winners.

I am not fond of a great plethora of rules as too many rules ineveitibly lead back to short priced favs ( the bane of Commercial systems).

Never tried it on Midweek meetings.But if the rules fit I cant see why not.

Cheers.
darky.

feather 21st May 2008 01:34 PM

Hi Darky,

havant been around for a bit, but enjoying this little system 7 days..

darkydog2002 22nd May 2008 10:56 AM

Hi feather.
I,m still at the punt and the dancing.
Good to hear from you.

Cheers.
darky.

Try Try Again 22nd May 2008 11:39 AM

Hi Darky,

Just trying to get my head around all the rules - must be the cold weather (Melb).

1. Do you include WFA races?
2. Does it matter if the horse has a spell between its past 3 starts (adding upto max of 9)?
3. How long have you been following this system? I have had a look back to start of 2007 (Melbourne only unfortunately) and it looks very promising!

Thanks Try Try Again

Try Try Again 22nd May 2008 04:12 PM

As I mentioned in the previous posting I have looked at the results for Melbourne only, starting from the first Saturday meeting in 2007.

For people who are interested there were 51 selections for 13 winners (25.5% S/R) and 31 places, including winners (60.8% S/R) upto 17th May 2008.

Betting $20 on each selection ($10 win and $10 place), using SuperTab prices
Win bank $171.00 (POT % = 33.5%) and Place bank $121.00 (POT% = 23.7%)
However if you used Best of 3 totes or SP (if better)
Win bank $206.00 (POT% = 40.4%) and Place bank $164.00 (POT% = 32.2%)

I noticed that if you included the apprentice allowance to include jockeys that claimed 2kg there was a further 9 bets for 4 winners and one 3rd. You could argue that with the strong apprentice groups Melbourne has had for many years that including these 2kg apprentices would be worth considering. I do not know how other States would stand up.

There were now 60 selections for 17 winners (28.3% S/R) and 36 places, including winners (60.0% S/R).

Betting $20 on each selection ($10 win and $10 place), using SuperTab prices
Win bank $284.00 (POT % = 47.3%) and Place bank $134.00 (POT% = 22.3%)
However if you used Best of 3 totes or SP (if better)
Win bank $338.00 (POT% = 56.3%) and Place bank $181.00 (POT% = 30.2%

Congratulations should go to Darky for putting up such a worthwhile system - let's all hope it continues to prosper!

Try Try Again


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