My Tip Thread
 

Rating Explination

Rating (1) = Lowest confidence, Rating (4) = Highest confidence
Betting, minimum odds acceptable per rating / confidence level.
(1) - minimum 7/2 or 4.50
(2) - minimum 2/1 or 3.00
(3) - minimum 7/5 or 2.40
(4) - minimum 9/10 or 1.90

Saturday bets for Australia

11:10 Coonamble R1 No4 Ivor Halo (1)
11:40 Flemington R1 No1 Come Hither (3)
11:44 Coonamble R2 No4 Waljai (2)
11:44 Coonamble R2 No7 Dalconi (1)
12:15 Flemington R2 No2 Game Serena (1)
12:18 Coonamble R3 No2 A Beaut Pick (1)
12:45 Newcastle R1 No3 Cierto Segura (1)
12:50 Flemington R3 No3 Ladies In Luck (1)
12:54 Coonamble R4 No6 Course (2)
13:25 Newcastle R2 No3 Imahere (2)
13:30 Flemington R4 No7 Guild (2)
13:34 Coonamble R5 No5 Fabuloso (2)
14:10 Flemington R5 No5 Wookah (1)
14:14 Coonamble R6 No1 Supason (1)
14:42 Newcastle R4 No2 Waikiki Beach (1)
14:46 Flemington R6 No9 Seventh Rock (1) - superbly bred type by Rock Of Gibraltar out of the G1 winning Rubiton mare Ruby Clipper who also won three other times in Group company, won the time honoured Gold Medalion at Scottsville in South Africa over 6f in a very quick 1m7.7s, the same race as won by National Currency who tested Silent Witness at its peak when 2nd to it in the international sprint, very smart type now with Hayes and has a blistering turn of foot, should get a good trip tracking in better than midfield, will be the one they have to chase down in deep stretch, big overs, awesome value.
14:46 Flemington R6 No11 Wilander (1) - comes into this having its 6th career start and 1st up from a spell after beating older horses in G2 company last start at Caulfield over 1000m, found plenty hitting the line very hard over 1000m to just get the better of Lucky Secret close home, showed abundant speed at first 2 starts including a 2.3l wire to wire G3 score over Exceedingly Good, has big scope for further improvement and likely to be suited by its ability to adapt to a fast early pace, can stalk or lead with equal effect, very well bred by Exceed And Excel out of the top class Scandanavia.
14:50 Coonamble R7 No5 Mr Resilient (1)
15:22 Newcastle R5 No8 Slippery Madam (1)
15:26 Flemington R7 No1 Gallica (2) - very well bred by Redoute's Choice out of the Kingmambo mare Swing Queen, resumes from a spell here over the 1400m trip and drops sharply in class on its last start win over 1600m in Group 1 3yo fillies company (Thousand Guineas), start prior won the G2 Edward Manifold, keeps improving hitting a new peak each start, doesnt need to be at peak to beat these, likely for a good trip on pace tracking an even pace, in this up to its ears.
15:28 Coonamble R8 No3 Seriana (1)
16:01 Newcastle R6 No4 Maunder (2)
16:05 Flemington R8 No12 Mastercraft (1)
16:05 Flemington R8 No4 Cohort (1)
16:40 Newcastle R7 No3 Healy Creek (1)
17:20 Newcastle R8 No13 Elastane (1)
17:20 Newcastle R8 No16 Sobo (1)

USA Bets For Friday

13:15 Gulfstream R1 No9 Wild Lisa (2) - lightly raced improver who comes into this off a career mark of 8-2-0-0 and on the back of winning last start at Calder over 1 mile, held rail in a mild speed battle through the early and middle stages before skipping clear into the stretch and extending its magin to 1.5l on the wire, put a further 8l back to 3rd who came out and won next start franking the form out of the rac,e likely to get it soft on the front end with little seen speed engaged, well bred compared to foes by Wilds Again out of a Rare Performer mare, at peak fitness and in this up to its ears.
13:44 Gulfstream R2 No4 Divine Master (1) - comes into this 1st up from a spell on the back of winning 4 of last 6 at end of last prep including a 3.5l score over 1m on the good turf at Monmouth in Optional Claiming $50K company, stalked a clear leader in 2nd that day and kicked away with a superior turn of foot in early stretch extending the margin all the way to the line, only one other seen leader here will provide a perfect trip tracking or coleading at an even tempo, will prove hard to run down, minor query about value prepost but looks the best of these.
14:12 Gulfstream R3 No14 Jungle Raj (1)
14:12 Gulfstream R3 No5 Classy Orientation (1)
14:42 Gulfstream R4 No1 Fortune Rose (1) - a fair few seen chances in this field of 8 but it is Fortune Rose who is drawn the rail and gets the chance to go straight to the front and dictate proceedings, having 3rd career start here and resumes from a spell, on debut at Woodbine over 1m1/16th dictated a slightly below par tempo getting 5l clear entering the stretch, battled on strong one paced down the lane extending the margin to 10l on the line in Mdn$73K company, well bred by Bertrando out of a Argentinian bred Salt Marsh mare, other major query runners can be found on various angles but this ticks a lot of boxes and warrants support at the decent each way price prepost.
15:12 Gulfstream R5 No2 Armonk (1)
15:12 Gulfstream R5 No7 Russian Rosie (1)
15:42 Gulfstream R6 No3 C.S. Silk (1) - the pace will be very fast here suiting one that can either handle high pressure or track leaders and show a sharp turn of foot, leant towards this one who is 1st up from a spell over the 7f trip facing G2 company, broke maiden at 2nd start when tracked leaders over 6f and kicked on to win by 6l in $41KMdn company, totally franked that next start winning over 1m after a 2 month break scoring in G3 company at Arlington by 6l, dictated from the front that day at a hectic tempo well above par, next start dropped out after leading in the BC Juv Fillies division, last start died on its run close home when 2nd btn 2.5l in G3 company, has produced 3 bullet works out of 4 in prep for return, ticks a lot of boxes, well bred by hot young sire Medaglia D'Oro out of a Settlement Day mare.
16:12 Gulfstream R7 No5 Kickapoo (1)
16:12 Gulfstream R7 No1 Fitzaslew (1)
16:43 Gulfstream R8 No1 Break Water Edison (2) - comes into this resuming from a spell, go on 2nd up effort last prep when btn 1.2l over 6.5f in G2 company with a further big gap of 5.7l back to 3rd adding depth and merit to the form around the first two home that day, only btn 4.7l 4th in G1 company next start then scored at last start in G3 company by 1.7l, likely to get a good trip tracking the speed from better than midfield, suited to the 7f trip, produced a bullet work doing its last peice over 3 panels on 28 Jan, well bred by Lemon Drop Kid out of a Storm Creek mare, $525K 2yo purchase at Ocala in 2008, ticks a lot of boxes for this, well placed.
Santa Anita R1 PP5 Cold Ruler (3) - lightly raced improver who comes into this having its 3rd career start on the back of last start finishing 3rd btn 2.5l by African Grey over the same track and distance it faces here, winner franked the form making it 2 on end next start suggesting the $32K Mdn Clm tag carried that day was strong for the class, subject to considerable improvement for fitness and race experience, likely to get a soft trip on the front end and kick hard into deep stretch under the pace scenario making it hard to run down, very well bred by Empire Maker out of the Sadlers Wells mare Frost Flower who was unraced but from a very good family, very hard to beat here.
Santa Anita R2 PP3 Exquisite (1) - open affair with form refs coming from everywhere, leant towards the NZ shipper Exquisite who comes into this 1m turf $56K Allowance off a 2 month lay off, 2 back broke through in $49K allowance company by as neck after pulling fiercely midrace when leading at a well below par tempo, found plenty under pressure, likely to be better acclimatized and improve further again here, deceivingly well bred for turf by Golan out of a Kaapstad mare, Golan is hot in NZ currently and Kaapstad has won sire titles there previously and consistently is a top3/4 NZ sire who best can win at G1 level in Australia on the turf, should get a good trip on pace either coleading at a slow tempo or tracking a slow tempo -1l to -2l, happy to be on in an open affair.
Santa Anita R3 Pp5 Band Of Thunder (2) - consistently thereabouts against stronger last few and switches off the turf here back to a more suitable surface, go on effort 6 back at Fairplex Park tracked leader through on the rail to get 1l cldear in early stretch over 6.5f before cloearing out to score by 2l in Optional Claiming $40K company, clearly up to the required class to win here and holding form well with a career mark of 29-9-6-5 and $200k in stakes, suited by a similar trip here tracking leadings at an even pace, well bred type by Point Given out of the Dixieland Band mare Golden Band, minor query yet to win at Santa Anita in 5 attempts.
Santa Anita R4 PP3 Wild Apart (1)
Santa Anita R5 PP2 Suit Yourself (1) - 4th up from a spell here and at peak fitness now on the back of last start closing with big pars in deep stretch coming from off the pace over 6.5f to score going away by 1.2l on the wire, overall pace was slowish that day adding good depth and merit to the win against the pace bias, 2 preps ago was only 3l and 4l off winning in $62K claming company, this a big drop from that level still despite rise in class on last start win, decently bred by Storm Cat line stallion Tribal Rule out of a Man From Eldorado mare, likely to get behind a fastish pace here which suits its off the pace style, ticks enough bozes to suggest it can make the next step here.
Santa Anita R6 PP4 Scibelli (1)
Santa Anita R6 No5 Sterkel (1)
Santa Anita R7 No1 Rail Trip (1) - lightly raced improver who comes into this having 3rd career start on the back of winning both so far by 3.5l each time over 6.5f, last time out in $38K Allowance company, asked to extend to the 1m/1/16th route trip here and suited under the pace scenario, drawn the rail to find the front under a slowish pace, 3rd home last start has since come out and won again next start franking the form of this ones 2nd win, also well bred by hot young son of AP Indy, Jump Start out of a Carson City mare.

Great effort and I agree about Seventh Rock. Hope you have a winning day!

Re-Seventh Rock: They just don't get it these overseas owners: 'leave the jockey at home and engage a local!'

Bit harsh there. Never looked likely of winning. Marcus, the bloke who rode it, ran 2nd in the next race.

USA Saturday night (approx start 3am Sunday Aus time)

Gulfstream R1 No4 Well Positioned (3)
Gulfstream R2 No5 High Ceiling (1)
Gulfstream R2 No10 Exchanging Kisses (1)
Gulfstream R3 No4 Just A Coincidence (1)
Gulfstream R3 No9 Mighty Score (1)
Gulfstream R4 No12 Choosing (1)
Gulfstream R4 No8 Yippety Yip (1)
Gulfstream R5 No2 Next Adventure (2)
Gulfstream R6 No8 aaa Of Spades (1)
Gulfstream R6 No3 Storm'n Warrior (1)
Gulfstream R7 No2 Danger To Society (2)
Gulfstream R7 No5 El Crespo (1)
Gulfstream R8 No3 Andiron (1)
Gulfstream R8 No2 Big Flirt (1)
Gulfstream R9 Tricky, no picks
Gulfstream R10 No7 Kiss The Ring (1)
Gulfstream R10 No15 Sarah's Sally (1)
Santa Anita R1 No5 Devil Cat M D (3)
Santa Anita R2 No5 White Lace Jimmy (1)
Santa Anita R3 No9 Ernie Owl (1)
Santa Anita R4 No4 Dextera
Santa Anita R4 No11 The Legal Blonde (1)
Santa Anita R5 No5 Street Car (1)
Santa Anita R6 No9 Mr Gruff (2)
Santa Anita R7 No4 Indian Blessing (4)
Santa Anita R8 No10 Society Hostess (1)
Santa Anita R9 No7 Forster Hall (2)
Aqueduct R1 No3 Professional Woman (1)
Aqueduct R2 No10 Man Of The Unknown (1)
Aqueduct R3 No5 Deb's Roof (2)
Aqueduct R4 No7 Dreams In Red (1)
Aqueduct R4 No8 Southern Oaks (1)

13:00 Ballarat R1 No4 Miraculous Miss (1)
13:35 Ballarat R2 No7 Bishop Of Derry (1) -
13:53 Canterbury R1 No9 Coco Kerringle (1) - lightly raced improver by Exceed and Excel out of the Dolphin Street mare Dol, comes into this having its 2nd career start on the back of fatlering after setting a hot pace on debut in the Strawberry Hill Magic Million Prelude at Randwick, winner of 3 very impressive trial efforts outside of that debut run, has abundant early speed, every chance of going wire to wire especially with blinkers removed, got way too fired up setting a suicidal pace last time out.
13:53 Canterbury R1 Trifecta - Boxed 1,4,5,6,8,9
14:10 Ballarat R3 No11 Spirit Bay (1) - has been knocking on the door for sometime now and likely to go around a decent price here with merit around form refs well hidden, 3 back just missed against similar then finished 1.7l 4th at Caulfield to Our Lona, form refs back through the btn brigade suggest run full of merit for what it faces here, overly well bred by Invincible Spirit out of the River Rough mare White Water Bay, drawn well for a good trip likely closer to an the speed, Newitt booked.
14:10 Ballarat R3 No3 Elusive Burst (1) - 1st start by hot young sire Elusive City out of a Flying Spur mare, well drawn with good hoop Ivan Culliver booked for the astute Robbie Griffiths yard, has claims and likely at a good price.
14:10 Ballarat R3 Trifecta - 1st 3,4,11,12 / 2nd & 3rd 1,2,3,4,8,11,12
14:28 Canterbury R2 No9 Sobo (1)
14:28 Canterbury R2 Trifecta - Boxed 7,8,9,10
14:45 Ballarat R4 No7 Definitive (1) - makes a sharp drop in grade here for its 2nd up assault for the astute Moody yard, 3rd up last prep finished 1.8l 3rd to The Tiger over 1500m on this track, big margins further back and the subsequent strong form of the other 2 place getters suggest Definitive is up to breaking maiden grade against the lot it faces here, well bred by Redoute's Choice out of the Citidancer mare Mascara Magic, 3/4 brother to smart 2yo of this season Shadow Assassin who was an unlucky 4th in the Magic Millions 2yo classic and start prior won the Magic Millions prelude on Boxing day in Sydney.
14:45 Ballarat R4 Quinella - 7 with 2,8,11,14
15:03 Canterbury R3 No4 Dance On Waves (2) - lightly raced improver having 2nd career start and 1st up from a spell here, comes into this ready to fire on the back of winning a trial over the Group class Love And Kisses by 0.8l, only career start so far was 2nd to the potential topliner Palacia De Cristral btn 2.5l, that day tracked a slow tempo and lost its position on the turn before making big headway once the penny dropped in the stretch, obviously well above average and breeding suggests same by Anabaa out of Ancient Lights, Nikolic booked for the astute Gerald Ryan camp and drawn a good gate to get a nice trip tracking the speed.
15:03 Canterbury R3 Quinella - 4 with 5,6,10
15:20 Ballarat R5 No4 Crown Ruby (1) - toughish kind of affair with form references coming from everywhere, leant towards Crown Ruby on top, now 4th up at peak fitness and effort 2 back when 3rd btn 2.7l at Caulfield over 1100m by Dane On Air suggest it is up to winning in this company, maor queries around Running Riot and Code Black but this one seems to have the edge on exposed form, likely for a good trip tracking the speed from midfield.
15:20 Ballarat R5 Quinella - 3,4,9
15:40 Canterbury R4 No3 Starry Light (1)
16:00 Ballarat R6 No10 Oceans Seven (1)
16:00 Ballarat R6 No15 Invincible Diva (1)
16:00 Ballarat R6 Trifecta - 1st 10,15,16 / 2nd & 3rd 10,11,12,15,16,20
16:40 Ballarat R7 No4 Rich Fellow (1)
16:40 Ballarat R7 No12 Promiscuous Girl (1)
16:40 Ballarat R7 Quinella - 1,4,12
17:20 Ballarat R8 No9 You Or Me (2) - lightly raced improver who comes into this 2nd up from a spell and subject to improvement on 1st up effort when came from well off the pace over 1300m to hit the front along the inside 150m out and extend the margin in deep stretch hitting the line strongly, well bred by More Than Ready out of the Marauding mare Zena Warrior, 1st foal, well drawn from the 3 alley with competent hoop Dwayne Dunn booked for astute placer of horses Rick Hore-Lacy, ticks a lot of boxes, best bet on the card.
17:20 Ballarat R8 Quinella - 9 with 3,8,13

England's tour of The West Indies hots up in a few days time when the 1st test starts in a 4 match series. Statistically this series is a very much lopsided affair in favour of a more experienced and battle hardened English side. One of the biggest advantages England carries into this match is the batting strength of their keeper (M Prior) and the total of 5 seen allrounders in the squad. They have plenty of options to turn too if things start to go haywire at any stage during the series whilst the West Indies are low on experience and clearly an inferior side despite playing at home. The major pros and cons for each team is as follows
West Indies Pros & Cons
Disadvantages
* No batsmen average over 50 and only 3 hover around or over 40
* 1 bowler averages below 35
* Will struggle to score 400 in an innings of a test
* Will struggle to bowl sides out twice.
Advantages
* Playing at home
England Pros & Cons
Disadvantages
* Playing away from home
Advantages
* 6 batsmen average over 40
* 1 batsmen averages over 50
* 5 bowlers in starting 11 capable of taking wickets consistently
* Will bowl sides out, especially weak batting sides like WI
* 5 allrounders in the squad, plenty of options and added depth to batting and bowling
* Wicketkeeper who is a high class batsmen capable of making big scores, adds further depth to batting
The pros and cons when looked at the averages for each player in each team suggest a English series win and a fairly comfortable one at that.
It is hard to see the West Indies winning a test and England should be capable of consistently bowling the West Indies out twice. We think the series with these major factors taken into consideration will end up a 3-0 win to England or less likely a 4-0 win to England. One of those two results is likely to be the end result.
England at 1.63 straight out look a good bet as series winner.
The 1st test also looks a good bet for England to win as they are currently 2.25 to win the 1st game of the series.

04/02/2009 These are full series bets relating to entire test series
WI v Eng = Test Series Correct Score = England 3-0 @ 7.50 = 2%
WI v Eng = Test Series Correct Score = England 4-0 @ 12.00 = 1%
WI v Eng = Test Series Winner = England @ 1.62 = 15%
WI v Eng = Most Test Series Wickets - England = R Sidebottom @ 5.75 = 1%
WI v Eng = Most Test Series Runs - West Indies = S Chanderpaul @ 2.38 = 3%
04/02/2009 These are 1st test bets relating to 1st test only
WI v Eng = 1st Test Winner = England @ 2.20 = 6%
WI v Eng = 1st Test Highest WI Bat = S Chanderpaul @ 3.50 = 2%
WI v Eng = 1st Test High Opening Partnership 1st Inns = England @ 1.70 = 3%
WI v Eng = 1st Test Head To Head Bat - A Strauss v A Cook = A Strauss @ 1.85 = 1%
WI v Eng = 1st Test Head To Head Bat - S Chanderpaul v C Gayle = S Chanderpaul @ 1.80 = 3%
WI v Eng = 1st Test Head To Head Bowling - J Taylor v F Edwards = F Edwards @ 1.90 = 1%
WI v Eng = 1st Test Head To Head Bowling - R Sidebottom v S Broad = R Sidebottom @ 1.85 = 4%
WI v Eng = 1st Test First Man Out - D Smith v C Gayle = D Smith @ 1.85 = 2%

04/02/2009

2009 ATP SA Tennis Open

10:00PM Guillermo Garcia Lopez v Leonardo Mayer = Mayer @ 2.25 = 2%
10:00PM Izak Van Der Merwe v Benjamin Becker = Becker @ 1.53 = 3%
10:00PM Sebastien De Chaunac v Marcel Granollers = Granollers @ 1.38 = 2%


2009 ATP PBZ Zagreb Indoors

9:30PM Lovro Zovko v Victor Hanescu = Hanescu @ 1.16 = 5%
2:50AM Florent Serra v Marin Cilic = Cilic @ 1.15 = 3%

Astounding tipping effort in this thread. How have the results been going ?

crash, some bad some good, not going to claim the world with them, but if you have a good read you will pick up a few gems

Bets for all Seymour races on Thursday, exotic plays included in some races.

12:30 Seymour R1 No7 Jungle Heat (2)
12:30 Seymour R1 Quinella - 7 with 9,10,15
13:00 Seymour R2 No2 Bishop Of Derry (1)
13:00 Seymour R2 No5 Excellent Dancer (1)
13:00 Seymour R2 Trifecta - 1st 2,5,8 / 2nd & 3rd 2,5,8,11,12
13:35 Seymour R3 No13 Overexposed (1)
13:35 Seymour R3 No14 Salad Days (1)
14:10 Seymour R4 No13 Resettle (1)
14:45 Seymour R5 No4 Dramastic (1)
14:45 Seymour R5 No10 Milliwillimae (1)
15:20 Seymour R6 No5 Percussive (2)
15:20 Seymour R6 Quinella - 5 with 4,11
15:57 Seymour R7 No14 Lil' Cesna (1)
15:57 Seymour R7 No12 Chinner Street (1)
15:57 Seymour R7 Trifecta - 1st 5,11,12,14 / 2nd & 3rd 5,8,10,11,12,14,17
16:37 Seymour R8 No10 Exedra (1)
16:37 Seymour R8 No7 Dream And Excel (1)
16:37 Seymour R8 Trifecta - 1st 7,8,10 / 2nd & 3rd 6,7,8,9,10,13
17:17 Seymour R9 No3 Lottery King (1)
17:17 Seymour R9 No14 Planet Watcher (1)
17:17 Seymour R9 Quinella - 3,5,1

real difficult day at seymour with heaps of large fields, backing two horses in plenty of the races but value should hold up.

seymour r9 quinella is 3,5,14 not 3,5,1 as shown below

had time to do writeups for all races covered on friday

may do some more later

13.08 Canberra Race 1 No.1 Cabarita Point: 2yo gelding by Dane Shadow out of Listed winning Turf Ruler mare Aroma who has produced stakes winner Pleasant Air having first career start here today. Given 1 barrier trial leading into first up effort today running 2nd btn 1/2lns WAGG 1000m barrier trial with another 3lns back to 3rd. Well bred by hot first season sire Dane Shadow and with good barrier trial form should see it forward enough here to fire first up. Dangers No.5 Sheoak Avenue, No.8 Well Rounded, No.6 Angel Of Hope. Rating (1)


13.42 Canberra Race 2 No.3 Bacchanal Woman: 5yo mare by Encosta De Lago out of a Zabeel mare 7th up this spell and having only 18th career start here today. Been racing well in Metro Sydney company last 4 starts and drops back in cls here today. Go on solid effort 4 back when winning RAND 1600m 30k race by a ln then followed that up next start with good 3rd btn a ln RHIL 1800m 70k race. Dropped back in distance next start to win RHIL 1500m 70k race by a nk over Beowolf RHIL 1500m 70k race then was unlucky to make it 2 in a row when just missed RHIL 1400m 70k race btn a nk. Really racing well at present and drop back in cls here today should see it return to winners circle. Dangers No.2 Kiss My Fuji, No.1 New Edge, No.4 Lucetius. Rating (2)


14.18 Canberra Race 3 No.2 River Ronald: 5yo gelding by Red Ransom out of a Danzatore mare 5th up from a spell and having 20th career start here today. Racing well this time in and go on solid effort 3 back when just missed CANB 1400m 15k race btn a nk when settled back worse than midfield before sprinting well in straight to just miss. Stepped up to 1600m next start and just got up on line to win CANB 1600m 13k race over Quichang when settled last before sprinting well in straight to get up in final bounds. Got to far back last start behind slow pace and still sound effort to finish 5th btn 2 1/2lns CANB 1600m 13k race. 5th up here today should see it nice and fit now and small field here should see it take closer position here. Dangers No.3 Numerosa, No.4 Holdem, No.6 Spring Storm. Rating (1)


14.53 Canberra Race 4 No.2 2 Wing Forward: 4yo gelding by Orphen out of a Jugah mare having 7th run this prep and only 11th career start here today. Drops back in class here today after solid effort last start when racing in town RHIL 1300m 70k race finishing 8th btn only 1 1/2lns when went forward from wide gate to pressure leader before just failing to run out the 1300m. Also go on solid 3 back when winning CANB 1200m 15k race by just under a ln to Goldridge and Forty Days when settled just behind spd before gaining split and running on strongly for good win. Given month freshen up here before dropping back to 1000m and drawn well in gate 3 to get good run in lead or trailing. Dangers No.4 Cuerdale, No.6 Reorientate, No.7 Etoile Fille. Rating (2)


15.28 Canberra Race 5 No.13 Flic Marcel: Very open betting race here, Flic Marcel a 3yo filly by King's Best out of a Palace Music mare first up from a spell and having only 2nd career start here for the Astute B Joseph stable. Only given the one run last prep for sound 4th btn 6lns behind Panderelle and Riebeek when settled midfield before being eased 4 wide into the straight and battled home steadily. Spelled straight after that run and returns here today and open to natural improvement here being only 2nd career start and with race experience now should be more mature.

No.3 Lowry Art: Should be enough value here to back 2 runners. No.3 Lowry Art a 4yo horse by Elusive Quality out of Listed winning Roy's Jester mare having 2nd career start. Given one barrier trial leading into first up run running 4th btn 2lns GUND 1000m barrier trial then lost rider at first career start when competing in TUMT 1200m 4k mdn and given another barrier trial after that. Subject to natural improvement here at 2nd career start and being well bred. Dangers No.6 Expect A Dance, No.4 Orange Gold Rating (1)


16.10 Canberra Race 6 No.11 Bulimba: 3yo filly by Danehill Dancer out of a Star Of Luskin mare Carry The Star 2nd up from a spell and having only 4th career start here today. Drops back in cls here today after sound effort last start when running 6th btn 4 1/2lns CANT 1250m 27k race behind Miss Essembee when properly just short race fitness after going forward to sit handy on lead before just fading in straight. 2nd up here today should see it fitter for first up effort and with good draw of gate 5 here today should be able to get good trip trailing spd. No.2 Secrets Sleeping, No.7 Lone Wolf, No.3 Shockwaves. Rating (2)


16.48 Canberra Race 7 No.5 Meyerbeer: 4yo horse by Ghataas having 10th career start here today. Go on solid efforts at last 2 starts including when running 2nd btn just under a ln by Spring Storm QYBN 1460m 9k race when settled midfield before coming widest into the straight and ran on strongly to finish 2nd, then followed that up next start with good 4th btn 2lns GUOL 1400m 9k race behind Flaxmill Road. Drawn wide here today a slight concern but does like race midfield and should be able to slot in one off the fence. Dangers No.1 Making Gold, No.8 Olde Fashioned, No.7 Cool Valentino. Rating (2)


17.30 Canberra Race 8 No.2 Trescorpioni: 4yo gelding by Stravinsky out of a Alleged mare 2nd up from a spell and having 5th career start here today. Forget first up effort this prep when jumped awkwardly missing the start before working forward to sit outside lead before tuff run told in final stages. Go on solid efforts from last prep when running 2nd at first career start WAGG 1200m 12k mdn btn just under a ln by Beautiful Day in good form race then followed that up when sent to Brisbane next start to run out comfortable winner DOOM 1200m 13k mdn by 4 1/2lns on a slow track. 2nd up here today should see it fitter for first up effort and with 3kg claiming app on board gets into today’s race 1kg above the minimum. Dangers No.1 Lovesanip, No.10 Freetoair, No.3 Riverwina Prince. Rating (2)

2nd part of friday, look out for mvalley later

13.25 Ipswich Race 1 No.6 Hussonite: 2yo filly by Hussonet out of a Zeditave mare that was a 100k purchase at the 2008 Australian Easter Yearling Sales having first career start here today. Hard race here with majority of field first starters and no barrier trial form to go on but well bred and drawn well in 4 should see solid effort here first up. Dangers No.3 Whisky River, No.8 Startling Pleasure, No.1 Borayme. Rating (1)


14.00 Ipswich Race 2 No.1 Chevaux Vapeur: 4yo gelding by Riviera out of a Jetball mare having 4th career start here today. Go on solid effort at first career start when running 3rd GCST 1200m 10k mdn btn just over a ln when settled just behind the spd before easing 3 wide into straight and hit line strongly doing best work late. Also go on solid effort last start when running 2nd EFM 1500m 13k race when again settled just behind the spd and was held up entering straight before cutting back to inside and ran on strongly to just miss. Steps up to 1700m here today which should suit as has been finishing races of well and slight concern in drawn wide here today but not a lot of pace here should see it cross field and take up good position on pace. Dangers No.6 Umhalanga Rocks, No.4 Hard Luck, No.7 Ausbred Icon. Rating (2)


14.35 Ipswich Race 3 No.2 Anachelle: Very opn betting race here and should turn out to be good form race. No.2 Anachelle a 4yo mare by Anabaa out of a Turtle Island (Fairy King) mare 2nd up from a spell and having only 5th career start here form L Birchley. Returned this prep with good win CDRA 1000m 10k race by a hd over The Crusader when was slowly away before working forward to take up position just behind the spd and chimed in at 200m mark before fight hard to win in driving finish. Also go on good efforts at last 2 start when 3rd CDRA 1200m 10k race btn 1 1/2lns by On the Fridge and when 5th btn 5lns in good from race for this DOOM 1110m 13k race behind Acquired. Drawn well in gate 2 here to get good run up on spd and with 2kg claiming app on board again here today gets into today’s race only 1 kg above the minimum. Dangers No.7 Duntroon Dragon, No.5 Comatose, No.3 Sirena Ligera. Rating (1)


15.10 Ipswich Race 4 No.8 Little Pumpkin: 3yo filly by More Than Ready out of a Zabeel mare 2nd up from a spell and having 3rd career start here today. Go on solid effort last start when running 3rd GCST 1200m 10k mdn btn 5 1/2lns by Gag Order in good form race. Finished just behind Jersey Joe that day with Jersy Joe winning impressively at its next start and with next start winners Secret Talent and Duntroon Dragon finishing well behind it. 2nd up here today should see it strip fitter for first up effort and only 3rd career start here still open to more natural improvement. Dangers No.1 Alyssa Jean, No.10 Prohibition Lass, No.5 Rubin Jane. Rating (1)


15.47 Ipswich Race 5 No.9 Enamoured: 3yo colt by Zeditave out of a Generous mare First up from a spell and having first start for new trainer Alan Bailey. Previously raced in VIC for the David Hayes stable and go on solid effort at last career start when running 2nd to Rock Home Late SALE 1206m 13k mdn btn a nse when lead all the way before just being out gunned in final stages. resumes here today after winning GCST 1000m barrier trial by 1/2ln with 6lns back to third should see it forward enough here to fire first up. Dangers No.12 Winged Ivory, No.1 El Khartum, No.4 Kerry Road. Rating (2)


16.30 Ipswich Race 6 No.3 Innovator: 4yo gelding by Dehere out of a imported Prospectors Gamble mare having 18th career start for the Robert Heathcoote stable. Racing very well at present and go on solid efforts at last 3 starts. 3 back ran out good winner this TRK,CLS,DIS IPSW 2150m 12k race by a ln over Thunder Beach with Body Double finishing 3lns behind. Followed that up next start by running 2nd to I'm So Stunning btn 1/2ln EFM 1800m 13k race before running 2nd to Use To Be A Dancer EFM 1835m 13k race again btn 1/2ln. Steps back up to 2150m here today which should suit as has been hitting line strongly at last 3 starts. Slight concern in drawn wide here today but does like to drop out and run on so should be able to fins postion 1 of rail midfield. Dangers No.5 Body Double, No.9 Crocodile Lass, No.7 Song Tee. Rating (2)


17.10 Ipswich Race 7 No.3 Hahnemann: 4yo gelding by Noverre out of a Personal Hope mare 4th up from a spell and having 7th career start here today. Go on solid effort when first up this prep when winning GCST 1200m 10k mdn by 1/2ln over Sir Rossa with good gaps back through the field. Followed that up last start by running 4th 1/2ln IPSW 1200m 10k race behind Patch's Express. 4th up here today should see it fit now.

Dangers No.1 Aurelio, No.8 Havanaise. Rating (1)


17.50 Ipswich Race 8 No.3 Larry's Boy: 4yo horse by More Than Ready out of a Canny Lad mar 3rd up from a spell and having only 11th carer start. Racing well this time in and go on solid effort when resumed this prep winning CDRA 1000m 10k race by nearly 2lns over Citiwyse leading all the way then followed that up next start with solid 2nd btn a ln CDRA 1200m 10k race when crossed from wide gate to set tempo before just being collared in shadows of the post. 3rd up here today should see it nice and fit now and with good draw of gate 5 here today should see good run up on pace with out to much work. Dangers No.2 Dubbus, No.4 Telesto Warrior, No.9 Mossbemad. Rating (1)

06/02/2009

Not betting on the outright match result, only special markets for this game
Aus v NZ = 2nd ODI Highest Opening Partnership = Australia @ 1.77 = 2%
Aus v NZ = 2nd ODI 1st Man Out - B McCullum v M Guptill = B McCullum @ 1.80 = 2%
Aus v NZ = 2nd ODI Head To Head Bat - B McCullum v M Guptill = M Guptill @ 2.00 = 2%
Aus v NZ = 2nd ODI Head To Head Bat - M Clarke v M Hussey = M Hussey @ 1.95 = 2%
Aus v NZ = 2nd ODI Head To Head Bowl - K Mills v T Southee = K Mills @ 1.80 = 4%
Aus v NZ = 2nd ODI Highest Aus Bat = M Hussey @ 5.00 = 2%
Aus v NZ = 2nd ODI Highest Aus Bat = A Voges @ 6.50 = 1%
Aus v NZ = 2nd ODI Highest NZ Bat = R Taylor @ 4.00 = 2%
Aus v NZ = 2nd ODI Highest NZ Bat = M Guptill @ 5.50 = 1%

18:45 Moonee Valley R1 No10 Essaouira (1)
18:45 Moonee Valley R1 No2 Intrigued (1)
19:15 Moonee Valley R2 No2 Blackberry Wine (1)
19:45 Moonee Valley R3 No7 Sorren Tessa (1)
20:15 Moonee Valley R4 No3 Family Bliss (2)
20:45 Moonee Valley R5 No2 Eagle Falls (2)
21:15 Moonee Valley R6 No11 Tis Folly (1)
21:15 Moonee Valley R6 No1 Hardwar (1)
21:45 Moonee Valley R7 No4 Cabazon (2)
21:45 Moonee Valley R7 No6 Monaton (1)
22:15 Moonee Valley R8 No9 Almoneef (2)

12:25 Mornington R1 No7 Alnwick (2)
13:00 Mornington R2 No5 Petrenko (1)
13:35 Mornington R3 No9 Flawless Choice (1)
14:10 Mornington R4 No8 Cecelia (1)
14:10 Mornington R4 No9 Hushrose (1)
16:40 Mornington R8 No1 Papercut (2)

15:55 Randwick R1 No3 Troubleshooter (2)
16:25 Randwick R2 No6 Power To Surprise (2)
16:55 Randwick R3 No3 Seventh Reason (1)
17:25 Randwick R4 No7 Hashasan (1)
17:25 Randwick R4 No5 Zuberi (1)
17:55 Randwick R5 No7 Surfer Rosa (1)
17:55 Randwick R5 No4 Cool Dreamer (1)
18:25 Randwick R6 No7 Madame Pedrille (3)