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Shooting from the Hip
'LAY them down all day (Max lay price $7.00)
Hawkesbury R1 No 9 Grand Impression R2 No 6 Charming Bay R3 No 2 Honourable Lass R4 No 3 Ruud Roy R5 No 4 Cerinthe R6 No 1 Colonel Light R7 No 4 Enarelle R8 No 4 Medius R8 No 5 Rain Strike Lismore R1 No 10 Grand Amy R2 No 11 Fragrant Star R3 No 2 Centennial Star R4 No 6 Legal Giant R5 No 3 Beemeego R6 No 10 Calumet R7 No 3 Onalar R8 No 6 Hajjar Sale R1 No 1 Broken Jaw R2 No 8 On your Mark R3 No 3 Hidden Charges R4 No 1 Why Wouldya R5 No 5 Sky Devil R6 No 9 Phyl's Choice R7 No 10 Raynor Chieyne R8 No 4 Indite Townsville R1 No 11 Lust Lady R2 No 10 Golden Qualo R3 No 3 Blue Bayou R4 No 4 Rogerrab R5 No 2 Pizzicato R6 No 3 Wishfora diamond R7 No 12 Proud Zaha R8 No 5 Alternate Or SHOOT ME IN THE FOOT Regards Shalor |
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will have to leave the restof update until later tonite, have to go out Regards Shalor |
Originally Posted by place2win
'LAY them down all day (Max lay price $7.00) Hawkesbury R1 No 9 Grand Impression 1 unit profit R2 No 6 Charming Bay( not matched) R3 No 2 Honourable Lass (not matched) R4 No 3 Ruud Roy 1 unit Profit R5 No 4 Cerinthe (not matched) R6 No 1 Colonel Light (matched $4.7) Loss 3.7 units R7 No 4 Enarelle (matched $5.2) loss 4.2 units R8 No 4 Medius (not matched) R8 No 5 Rain Strike (not Matched-lucky) Lismore R1 No 10 Grand Amy 1 unit profit R2 No 11 Fragrant Star (not matched) R3 No 2 Centennial Star (Scratched) R4 No 6 Legal Giant 1 unit profit R5 No 3 Beemeego (not matched) R6 No 10 Calumet (not matched) R7 No 3 Onalar (not matched) R8 No 6 Hajjar (matched $2.6) Loss 1.6 units Sale R1 No 1 Broken Jaw 1 unit profit R2 No 8 On your Mark 1 unit profit R3 No 3 Hidden Charges (matched $5.00) Loss 4 units R4 No 1 Why Wouldya (Scratched) R5 No 5 Sky Devil (matched $2.85) Loss 1.85 units R6 No 9 Phyl's Choice Not matched) R7 No 10 Raynor Chieyne (not matched0 R8 No 4 Indite 1 unit profit Townsville R1 No 11 Lust Lady (Not matched) R2 No 10 Golden Qualo (Not matched) R3 No 3 Blue Bayou 1 unit profit R4 No 4 Rogerrab 1 unit profit R5 No 2 Pizzicato 1 unit profit R6 No 3 Wishforadiamond (not matched) R7 No 12 Proud Zaha (not matched) R8 No 5 Alternate 9Not matched) Or SHOOT ME IN THE FOOT Regards Shalor 15 units out 10 units in = 5 units loss mayb e definately a shot in the foot. |
Lay them down all day (Max lay price $7)
Geelong R1 No 5 Zealous R2 No 2 Emmooki street R3 No 2 Diamond Dancer R 4 No 10 Double Bolt R5 No 17 Pretty R6 No 8 Moorunda Miss R7 No 9 Absolutely Maybe R8 No 3 Ship in the Night R9 No 4 Test the Scene R10 No10 Brittle Express Scone R1 No 2 Miss Chantilly R2 No 4 Enivrer R3 No 6 Liferope R4 No 1 Flogsdream R5 No 6 Stashed Away R6 No 4 Amalfi Cat R7 No 5 Domitare R8 No 5 Orpenitcanhappen Or SHOOT ME IN THE FOOT Regards Shalor |
just in case you dont read the tipping thread, dont forget to claim your $50 prize for post of the week.
well done and good luck! |
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Profit 6 Units Loss 7.7Units Overall Loss 1.7 Units (Now I have two sore feet) |
Doomben
R1No3 Attlus R2 No4 Brujita R3 No6 Stolit R4 No5 Charvicky R5No7 Bradfield R6 NoMazucka R7No3 Forestreno R8No19 Joint Chiefs Morphettville R1No2 Cherilyn R2 No4 Spirit of Capri R3 No4 Hidden Energy R4 No2 Wanaka Gold R5 No5 Bold Gigglr R6 No2 Macchia R7 No9 So Ready R8 No 1 Maestro of murano. Randwick R1 No10 Beaveroo R2 No3 Turf Express R3 No4 Dystopia R4 No 11 Looking for Lang R5 No11 Ivory Pegasus R6 No9 Rock Kingdom R7 No5 Voice Coach R8 No 8 Conquering Queen Lay all day (Max$7) Regards Shalor |
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Amended for scratchings |
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Total In 9 units Out 5.08 units Profit 3.92 Units |
Lay them down all day (max $7)
Caulfield R2 No 1 Manila Jewal R3 No 7 Noble Romeo R4 No 8 Valdemoro R5 No 11 Das Machen R6 No 8 Arch Symbol R7 No 4 Keano R8 No 3 Precedence Pt Maquarie R1 No 5 Nuclear Planet R2 No 9 Groover Girl R3 No 11 Gawd R4 No 13 Condi R5 No 9 Sphene R6 No 2 Fair Trial R7 No 12 Magic reigns Sunshine Coast R1 No 15 Nessa Dorma R2 No 2 Headhunter R3 No 15 Recurrent R4 no 1 Cheekysue R5 No 1 Indeseado R6 No 2 Craiglea Warrior R7 No 2 General Birdwood Swan Hill R1 No 4 Tipp Staff R2 No 11 Gladly R3 No 15 Keep Control R4 No 4 Blevic Bat R5 No 6 Happy Honey R7 No 4 Ballistic Ruler R8 No 1 Agents Dream |
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sumation: Caulfield Profit 3 units Pt Mac Profit 1 unit Sun C Profit .85 unit Swan H Profit 1.05 units Total Profit 5.90 units |
Hi, Place2win.
I don't want to bear bad news but assuming Betfair's takeout from your account is 5% per unit, then this would reduce your profit by $0.05 for every dollar (or unit) won. So far so good with your method - hopefully it will continue. |
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Hi, michealg. Thankyou, yes I havn't factored betfair takeout. At present paper trialing the methods to determine the viability. Yesterdays selections returned 11 winners(loosers) (11unitsx5%) would have returned 11-.55 =10.45 this in turn would have reduced the net return 5.90 units to an effective 5.35 units. In future I will include betfair takeout in my sumation. Regards Shalor |
Lay them down all day (max $7)
Albury R1 No 5 Beulah Belle R2 No 6 Panis Agelicus R3 No R3 No 7 Love that chick R4 No 8 Hunter Spirit R5 No 6 Marview R6 No 10 Anya R7 No 2 Verona Blue Bairnsdale R4 No 1 Alpha Tango Sierra R5 No 10 Miss Gypsy Rose R6 No 4 Red Ali R7 No 2 Danger Dash R8 No 2 En Amount R9 No 10 Affinis Add: Orange R2 No 2 Broccolini R3 No 11 Miss Tee en Tee R4 No 7 Miss Frome R5 No 5 Steam Crosser R6 No 3 Another Clang R7 No 6 Follows Me Regards Shalor |
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Albury Profit 2.385units Bairsdale Loss 9.55units Orange Loss 5 units Toal Loss 11.7 units |
Lay them down all day (Max $7)
Pakenham R 1 No 1 Corries Add R2 No 1 Astaphobic R3 No 2 Just a Glance R4 No 7 Supereminet R5 No 2 Sieger Sieger R6 No 7 Bequests R7 No 2 Hold the Lion R8 No 1 Magic Zulu R9 No 1 Becketss Dream Kembla Grange R2 No 3 So Finer R3 No 3 King of Dance R4 No 1 Freudian R5 No 8 Shakes R6 No 6 Without a Doubt R7 No 11 Golden Orient R8 No 2 Ausbred Gold Regards Shalor |
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Lay them down all day (Max $7)
Moonee Valley Race 1 No 6 Agrippa Race 2 No 5 Pass the Parcel Race 3 No 2 Done Jose Race 4 No 4 Leica Ding Race 5 No 4 Blue Oscar Race 6 No 2 Capeover Race 7 No 11 Flying Tessie Race 8 No 10 Sol Brilliante Canterbury Race 1 No 2 Seventh Reason Race 2 No 3 Admirals Honour Race 3 No 9 Zeta Race 4 No 1 Fitness Fanatic Race 5 No 1 Accounting Race 6 No 1 Altitude Race 7 No 1 Back on Top Race 8 No 4 O Danny Boy ADD* Eagle Farm Race 1 No 9 Lunar Belle Race 2 No 10 Paris Label Race 3 No 11 Fifteen Carat Race 4 No 1 Costa Mucho Race 5 No 7 My Counsel Race 6 No 1 An other Takeover Race 7 No 2 Alioop Regards Shalor *amended for Eagle Farm |
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Sumation 7.6+3.8-3.15= 8.25units Profit |
Lay them down all day (Max$7)
Ballarat Race 1 No 2 French Secret Race 2 No 9 Dinny Race 3 No 10 Lady Gaga Race 4 No 6 Undiscovered Race 5 No 5 Red Emperor Race 6 No 13 No Vacancy Race 7 No 2 Eightways Race 8 No 1 Elegance Dragon Wyong Race 1 No 2 Gladiator Race 2 No 2 The Fangfsta Race 3 No 5 Brazen Babe Race 4 No 3 Regimental Hero Race 5 No 4 Peace Academy Race 6 No 2 Zamazeu Race 7 No 1 Cagey Race 8 No 2 I'm Ruthless Add* Ipswich Race 1 No 4 Looks Like Deano Race 2 No 2 Drawn to Dubai Race 3 No 10 Meddler Race 4 No 1 Morsecodian Race 5 No 3 Boulders Race 6 No 4 Margaret Race 7 No 4 Kayowed Race 8 No 1 Hawkeye Pierce *Amended to include Ipswich Regards Shalor |
Place2win,
I'm testing a Lay method but one of the rules is to eliminate last start winners. Without this filter I would have had Ballarat R5 no.5 (Red Emperor) which was also one of your selections - unfortunately it won the race. Have you thought of applying a similar rule, or maybe your records show it's worthwhile not to eliminate them? |
Hi Michaelg,
Just in the early stages with this one, havn't wanted to have too many Filters, don't like 'clogging'. However your suggestion has a lot of merit. Will let you know if I include it. See how it goes for the rest of the month. Regards Shalor |
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Sumation -2.1+2.6-3.72 = Loss 3.22 units |
Lay them down all Day (Max7)
Benalla Race 3 No 4 Kegney Race 4 No 1 Carelton Race 6 No 2 Mystical Grey Race 7 No 6 Sense of Sun Race 10 No 13 Costa in the Glen Bairnsdale Race 3 No 4 Testas Double Race 4 No 4 El Savino Race 7 No 1 Biscay Steel Muswellbrook Race 1 No 1 Try to Please Race 3 No 1 Brocaus Race 4 No 10 Trimming Launceston Race 1 No 5 Uboa Race 2 No 3 Just a Gee Gee Race 4 No 1 Patfull Sunshine Coast Race 2 No 11 No Fear of Heights Race 5 No 1 Alphonse Regards Shalor |
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Sumation +2 - 10.55 = Loss 8.55 units Definately needs some work |
Place2win,
According to the Telegraph all yesterday's accidents except one, were returning from a spell - something to look at? |
Hi Michaelg,
Thanks, same info in the Herald Sun, however I made a 60/40 call on those and really thought I would end up in front. They were just all ready on the day. Regards Shalor |
Lay them down all day (Max $4)***
Ballina Race 2 No 5 Another Journey Race 3 No 5 Milhousen Race 4 No 1 Miss Windy Weepu Race 6 No 13 Tegic Race 7 No 14 Mymysherona Race 8 No 8 Icedane Race 9 No 7 Economist Morphettville Race 2 No 12 Music Cairbre Race 8 No 3 Final Analysis Regards Shalor |
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Lay them down all day (Max $7lay)
Townsville Race 1 No 2 Hennesey Warning*amended Regards Shalor |
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***Added 14.52 |
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Lay them down all day (Max $7lay) Townsville Race 1 No 2 Hennesey Warning*amended Race 3 No 1 Chequin*** 3 No 4 Lachlans Lagoon *** Race 4 No 11 Sequadiere**** Mornington Race 4 No 9 Gold Ripa** Regards Shalor ****Added 15.31 |
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Trying to get my bet on and post within the last 2min of betting Not an easy task **++Added 16.26 |
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the selection within the final 2min of bet time. Blew all profit with the last selection at Mornington Put the selection up in last 4mins and the money came in the last 2mins on Unitab (But Blew On Betfair) interesting!! |
Lay them down all day (any lay price to $10 max)
Gosford Race 1 No 10 Tipsy Lane 1 No 6 Matilda Rose |
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Gosford 2 No 1 Domitare |
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Ouch!! Matched at 9s Loss 8units ADD*** Bendigo Race 3 No 2 Fariz 14.10 ADD** no 9 super swell 14.12 |
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