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-   -   System Test for 2011 (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=20843)

Raven 1st January 2011 11:26 AM

System Test for 2011
 
Here are the selections for two systems I've been working on. The plan is to post all selections for the whole year :P. Ingeniously called system A and system B.

System A
Mlb 2/9 Dusty Star
Syd 7/7 Rythm of Dance

System B
Mlb 3/12 Vals Boy
Mlb 6/5 Miss Octopussy
Syd 5/7 Phenomenal Lass
Brs 5/7 Billie Blue Gum
Adl 5/7 Adoptme Two

Late posting today for obvious reasons. Will endeavour to post selections the night before.

Raven 1st January 2011 01:09 PM

System C
 
For good measure, here is System C:
Syd 7/7 Rythm of Dance


I won't disclose all the rules here as yet, see if it gets in profit for the year. But these are based on my Fitness Ratings, all selections are ranked in top 3.

System A concentrates on male horses only with no more than 10 starts.
System B includes mares as well and concentrates on horses with less than 20 starts, so will provide more action.
System C selections are Top Rated in Fitness Ratings, so the strike rate will be better.

These should make a profit at BOB & Betfair SP.

Raven 2nd January 2011 04:26 PM

Day 1 was a total washout.

Outlay: 7 units
Return: 0

Raven 2nd January 2011 04:46 PM

3/1/11
System A
Mlb 6/9 War Ends

Raven 4th January 2011 06:35 PM

5/1

System A
Syd 5/10 Lamasery

System B
Syd 6/6 Bullant

Currently:
Outlay: 8
Return: 0

Raven 5th January 2011 06:56 PM

On our way at last.

Lamasery won $11 BF SP

Outlay: 10 units
Return: 11 units
Profit: 10%

Raven 7th January 2011 10:02 PM

Selections 8/1/11

System A
Syd R7/9 Fiscal
Syd R8/12 Othello

System B
Mlb R8/17 No Vacancy

System C
Syd R7/9 Fiscal

Total outlay will be 4 units (2 on Fiscal, 1 each the others)

Raven 11th January 2011 07:36 PM

Overall results to date:

Outlay: 13 units
Return 11 units
Loss: 2 units

Selections 12/1/11

System A
Syd R4/18 Usain Prince

System C
Mlb R3/4 Bolton

wesmip1 11th January 2011 08:35 PM

Raven,

Please check your email.

Raven 12th January 2011 09:32 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Raven
Overall results to date:

Outlay: 13 units
Return 11 units
Loss: 2 units

Selections 12/1/11

System A
Syd R4/18 Usain Prince

System C
Mlb R3/4 Bolton

Both selections scratched today. Slow start to the year, expected i guess. In testing, System A clearly shows the better results over a two year period, so from now on I will only concentrate on those selections.

Main rules are:

Metro only
Male horses only
10 starts or less
Ranked top 3 in Fitness Ratings
Not 1st up from spell

Raven 13th January 2011 08:21 PM

14/1/11

System A
MV R6/9 Taipa

Raven 14th January 2011 07:57 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Raven
14/1/11

System A
MV R6/9 Taipa

Another scratching tonight & no selections tomorrow to continue the slow start to the year.

Raven 18th January 2011 07:46 PM

System A

Syd R1/2 A Shade Better
Brs R7/5 My Elixa
Brs R7/9 Schillinsworth

Some action for tomorrow.

Raven 19th January 2011 07:27 PM

My Elixa won $4.50 BF SP

Total System A results for Jan:

Bets: 9
Wins: 2 (22%)
Return BFSP: 14.72 units less 5% commission
Profit: 5.72 units
POT: 63%

As stated Im only following System A rules now. I'm looking at a variation for non-metro racing to add a bit of action, just as long as it can hold its own.

Raven 19th January 2011 08:57 PM

Selections 20/1/11

Seymour R7/6 Taipa

Tomorrow I start testing the non-metro selections

Raven 20th January 2011 08:30 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Raven
Selections 20/1/11

Seymour R7/6 Taipa

Tomorrow I start testing the non-metro selections

No luck today.

Selections 21/1/11

Muswell R7/5 Dustharson

Non Metro Results:

Bets: 1
Wins: 0
Return: 0

Raven 21st January 2011 07:23 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Raven
No luck today.

Selections 21/1/11

Muswell R7/5 Dustharson

Non Metro Results:

Bets: 1
Wins: 0
Return: 0

Dustharson won at $4.70 BFSP

System A Results to date in Jan

Metro:

Bets: 9
Wins: 2 (22%)
Return: 14.72 units
Profit: 5.72 units

Non-Metro:

Bets: 2
Wins: 1 (50%)
Return: 4.46 units
Profit: 2.46 units

Raven 21st January 2011 10:23 PM

Selections System A 22/1/11

Syd R2/4 Mington
Syd R4/7 Othello
Adl R7/6 Brimarvi Magic
Mlb R8/8 Mourinho
Pth R7/13 Smokin Dragon

good action for tommorrow

Raven 22nd January 2011 10:31 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Raven
Selections System A 22/1/11

Syd R2/4 Mington
Syd R4/7 Othello
Adl R7/6 Brimarvi Magic
Mlb R8/8 Mourinho
Pth R7/13 Smokin Dragon

good action for tommorrow

Ordinary result today. Smokin Dragon won at $4.58 to save me from a wipeout.

Results to date:

Metro:

Bets: 14
Wins: 3 (21%)
Return: 19.22 units at BFSP less 5% commission
Profit: 5.22 units (37% POT)

Selections 23/1/11

Ballina R9/16 Cyclone Brad

Raven 25th January 2011 07:09 PM

System A selections 26/1/11

Mlb R5/4 Eclair Mystic
Brs R7/4 D'Jet

Raven 26th January 2011 06:45 PM

Eclair Mystic won at $3.38 BFSP

System A Results to date:

Metro:

Bets: 16
Wins: 4 (25%)
Return: 22.48 units at BFSP less 5% commission
Profit: 6.48 units (40% POT)

Non Metro:

Bets: 3
Wins 1 (33%)
Return: 4.51 units at BFSP less 5% comission
Profit: 1.51 units (50% POT)

Raven 26th January 2011 07:18 PM

Non Metro selections 27/1/11

Launceston R8/4 Prevailing

Raven 27th January 2011 07:34 PM

Non metro Selections 28/1/11

Ballina R4/2 Magic Shuffle

Raven 28th January 2011 11:10 PM

last two selections were very dissapointing at short odds

Non Metro update:

Bets: 5
Wins 1 (20%)
Return: 4.51 units at BFSP less 5% comission
Loss: 0.49 units (-10%)

System A selections 29/1/11

Syd R7/9 Skateboard
Pth R4/7 Speccio

Non Metro 29/1/11

Seymour R6/4 Choral
Gold Coast R5/4 Far Dooley


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