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Has anyone got a clear definition of what class is. The ability of a horse to accelerate when called upon is the best I can come up with. Wouldn't anyone care to comment on how they measure class.
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If Sunline raced in a picnic handicap, why would she win. Class is the simple answer. If she had the proverbial grandstand and bozo the clown on her back she still wins. Any comments. Bozo included.
[ This Message was edited by: manygeese on 2002-12-28 00:42 ] |
Manygeese,
I asked this same question quite a long time ago in someone else's post. For me, class is the consistency factor, that the horse is able to win and win and win etc etc etc. It is measured by past history, as this indicates if it won or not. And one of the best known factors to measure class is the prizemoney it has earned. Just like Tennis players and Golf players and Race Car drivers and even Chess players. |
Thanks Frying Pan
I see API as a good guide but have never been able to find a "non dinky" way of using it. I.E. one Api is 10 and another 9.5. Such is not grounds for saying the 10 beats the 9.5. Or you can limit selections to top four API but then the fifth one might just below the fourth. Then you get your one scoop of the pool horse in a big race and no other wins. This doesn't equal consistency. At the moment I am multiplying overall race time by the time taken for the last 600 metres dividing by race distance/10. This gives a figure of around 200. I call this lengths and subtract the beaten margin and allow five lengths for each 200 metres of race length distance to todays race and also subtract 1 second from dead track times, 2 from slow and 3 from heavy. I only bet on 1100 and 1200 metre races and only use the top four of DAVOS ratings. From this you can see I am trying to bring pace in as a class factor in shorter distance races. I have been using it for a month and 25% strike rate showing a profit. Over the spring carnival is where I started to believe it could be sensible where it got horses like Empress Waltz, Rubitano, Planchet in Melbourne. Also Cosmic Rays and Yogi Editions interstate and a few others. Perhaps jockey is the other class factor I am trying to factor in not sure. Any further thoughts. [ This Message was edited by: manygeese on 2002-12-30 21:38 ] |
Manygeese,
Yes you are right, just looking at the top four api sometimes doesn't find a winner. There are other factors to watch out for as you know. http://www.propun.com.au/forums/vie...ic=2489&forum=7 Brave Chief made the post above about creating class ratings. |
Ta for the link Frying Pan
regards Manygeese |
Without having total belief in the selection methodology that probably no-one is able to follow, this afternoon's selections are Flemington race 3 3 Lock the Key and Flemington R6 8 Sir Chuckle. Sir Chuckle presented the problem of sectional time not being available. Usually use 35s for this. Have a 201 standard for 1200 m and Sir Chuck scrapes in at just over 201 with 35s. Allowing that his sectional was probably better than 35s see what happens. For 1400m there is FL R4 4 Runs on ego and EF R6 H1 Leroys Magic. Am yet to wager over 1200 metres. Just a bit of fun with a calculator.
Best wishes MG |
No horses rated fast enough this afternoon.
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11-Jan -03 CF R1 4 Appian Way CF R2 2 She's My Baby MP R4 1 Crest Of Gold CF R6 5 Sir Chuckle GC R6 4 Wagstaffe RH R6 4 Scottish Pride |
Selections for 18 11 2003 in TYMAS4 (throw your money away system 4.) These are doozies only ridden by a little old lady on Sundays.
CF R2 3 Danzerani EF R3 9 Sliding Downhill RA R5 8 Desert Brave CF R6 1 Titanic Jack best wishes from manygeese |
Actually CF R6 should be no2 step ahead.
Also Tutelage became a winning selection with the late scr in Sydney. On the debit side, Ingres was an unnoticed selection before the scr. This punting, I dunno. Going back out to the shed cheers Mg |
MV R4 7 Azevedo
MV R6 5 Special Grange Pretty good Regards MG |
wow
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try these little beauties 25/01/2003
RH R3 1 Pearly Kings RH R7 5 Burkina Miss EF R7 1 Aggravation RH R8 6 Poetic Papal AS R5 2 Fireband |
Just wait till Monday
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DB R3 10 Cuphill
CF R6 9 SensationalSpot CF R8 4 Golden Fawn DB R8 2 Awesome Night Get on early |
4.20 MP R6 3 Super Elegant
4.30 RH R7 6 Clay Shaker 4.50 FL R8 13 River Dove In just over half an hour the ledger is squared, no worries |
EF R2 9 Prince Clang
RA R4 4 Poetic Papal MP R7 5 Identifiable CF R8 8 Oh So Fine EF R7 6 Butch Weston Due to a securities commission investigation these tips may not be available soon |
RH R4 5 Blue Suttarb
EF R4 7 Canadian Courting MP R6 13 Dama De Noche RH R7 14 My Czech Chick EF R7 1 Katenian so far so good. Not in jail yet |
CF R5 12 Blessum
RA R5 3 Snowland RA R7 8 Fouardee CF R8 2 Choisir Wet tracks nothing |
EF 6 1 Go Errol
CF 8 2 White Mist This may be the end. The jury is out on whether multiplying sectional time by overall is a class indicator. Any thoughts |
FL R6 6 Belle Du Jour
DB R6 2 Forever Amen MP R7 8 For The Good Times DB R8 4 Canadian Courting |
Just wait till Monday. Its about 20 dollars up or 26 if a muck up one day had not of gone and happened. Thinking of leaving Davo for top 4 and going to the ratings on the Cyber horse virtual form guide. There free and would have picked up supers elegant and impressive in past weeks.
On the other hand am a bit sick of the multiplying. |
FL R4 5 Dubai Ice
RA R7 8 Planchet FL R7 1 Suit EF R8 2 Kiss An Angel Remember, the more you put on, the sooner you will be able to afford that trip to the rebuilt Baghdad. Which should be of some Note. |
MV R2 6 Suzy Grey
MV 6 10 Yell DB R4 10 The Ginza DB R7 9 Janadi CA R2 5 Dehero CA 8 3 History Maker This is last week tips. Was busy and would you believe it some good winners. I was not on. Sorry about the bad taste remark as well. Blix should still be in there for mine. |
MP R5 10 Lowendale Road
RH R7 7 Presently MP R7 2 Leta MP R8 11 Taos Pleasure got up early and did the multiplying. watch out for social glow r7 mp. Watch out for trucks when you cross the road |
10 Lowendale Road
replaces scr mp r5 is it |
sorry mis read a few figures
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CF R6 4 Danzerani
CF R8 1 Belle Ball these are the best bets ever |
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