7/8/2011
Cairns Cup
Race 8 1 - 2 - 3 -5 - 9 - 12 (Minimum $7 Care to have a crack Shaun. Cheers darky |
2 Magnum Forty Four 38
5 Old Mates Act 30 9 Preacher Man 24 8 Juveniles 22 3 Cash Attack 20 |
Hope you don't mind me chiming :)
My ratings system came up with very similar: 9 Preacher Man 37 2 Magnum Forty Four 34 3 Cash Attack 33 5 Old Mates Act 31 7 Matiya's Pride 30 8 Juveniles 29 Good luck to all |
Brosco, do you do any type of pricing for your ratings?
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I have tried but they haven't really come out very well. I tried just adding up all the ratings numbers and then converting each individual rating to a percentage of the total to derive the price (working on 100%). Even my 'standouts' were expecting a dividend of $4 or so - so it wasn't very realistic. It is something that I want to pursue, so if you have some ideas I would be happy to hear them. |
I had the same issues but looking at your ratings they are similar values to mine so this might help you, a member of this forum, Thorns suggested this site http://www.racebase.co.nz/market.htm if you can understand the concept i think it will work for you, i am finding the pricing is very good as long as your ratings are sound.
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Hey Darky, i hope my other races are rated as well as these 3 from Seymour i ran a test on but no cash down.
Race 1 Rated Price 11 Xaar Best 2.20 1 Cierpinski 6.23 10 Viminx 6.23 2 Dashing Benbara 8.64 3 Faldo 9.30 Race 2 Rated Price 4 Godspeed 2.87 2 Decircles 3.05 12 Primed For Action 7.31 3 Devilgate Drive 9.55 6 Nine Stories 12.19 Race 3 Rated Price 14 Rock Musician 2.26 10 Hurriyet 4.96 13 Sixteen Pelicans 4.96 12 Jolie Danzer 7.55 4 Grassini 47.66 Check out the results. |
The way I work is if their are 6 Chances I want a minimum $7.
Works well for me. Good luck to all of us. Cheers darky |
Track condition change Shaun - from dead to slow.
I,ll stick with what I,ve put down BUT sure wont be betting this meeting. |
Will have a crack at Muswellbrook Race 6 (dead)
1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5 - 9 -10 - 12 (minimum $9) If theres 3 left I,ll go trifecta /4 I,ll go ist 4. As well as the win of course. |
I have 2 race in Cairns and wet tracks not an issue but here are mine for the other race.
1 Sly Lu 3 Newton's Rings 2 Boomerang 4 Dealers 7 Lucidly |
I took 3 - 5 - 6 - 8 - 9 Won $12
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I took 2- 3 -4 - 5 - 10 -12 - 9 Won $12
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Forget the other post.
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Check out my ratings post on Cairns race 7
I might have to look in to these first 4s |
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Thanks for that Shaun - on first reading it looks exactly what I have been searching for :) |
No luck for me shaun.
I took 1 - 3 - 9 - 12 Cheers darky |
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well done dd:) I would have been happier if we had managed to throw the 11 in there somewhere:) |
I had a bit on the winner and a small trifecta that lost
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I need to learn to stick with the better class races, i would win more and lose less depending on the day i am having but no mater if i am having a good day if i am betting to many races i always lose.
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Well last race for me in Kalgoorlie
6 Kalarena 4 Ain't No Saint 1 Oroya Gold 10 Two Strong Hearts 5 Walnut Creek |
No luck for me in the Cup.
I took 1 - 3 - 9 -12 Be worth combining our ratings on 1st 4,s shaun. |
I will go to the TAB site later and use the calculator to work out the best option just boxing them would not work out the best idea.
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I know that feeling. I like to have an 'interest' in most races even though I know they are bad betting races. Also I use a small progressive recovery staking plan and part of my plan says that when there is only 6 races remaining, stop at any loss - regardless! But do I??? |
Kalgoorlie Race 7
1 - 2 - 3 - 7 Cheers |
Thanks for the kind words Broscoe.
Cheers darky |
same here i like to have some sort of interest in a race, even a few dollars on my top runners but if you don't win it can add up.
I was thinking about this the other day and was going to allocate 1 bet amount to these selections, say for example i am betting 3% of my current bank per race and i have selected 3 races for the say that would be 9% i would then have 3% to bet on other races i choose to be involved in. Sounds strange and it could impact on my profits but no worse than it does now. |
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You don't need to learn that , it seems you already know it. You need to apply it. I also have problems betting for the sake of betting. Mine is caused by me spending a large amount of time studying the Form for a Race and feel compelled to wager regardless of whether a betting opportunity exists or not. |
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