New System
 

I am new to this forum and I am hoping that someone will be able to test this system for me. It is base around Sat Metro meeting in Bris, Syd and Melb. The rules are
No 2 or 3 yr old races
Must have finished 1st- 5th at their last start in a non sat metro race
Must have a winning strike rate of 32% or more
Uni Tab rating of 91 or better
Must have $11.00 of shorter in the betting last start
Must $21.00 or shorter pre post for current race

Many Thanks

Hey stoney :) No Adelaide or Perth, system no work there?

stoney, I can't run this thru any data base for you but I'll give you my thoughts based on my research here.

• No 2 or 3 yr old races

stock standard rule, mainly 'coz they're unpredictable

• Must have finished 1st- 5th at their last start in a non sat metro race

Yup, that should add value, I like it, it's different. The strike rate will be low however.

• 
  Must have a winning strike rate of 32% or more

This is a worry ..... why exactly 32%? sound slike backfitting to suit past results.

• 
  Uni Tab rating of 91 or better

Not qualified to offer an opinion as I haven't studied ratings at all.

• 
  Must have $11.00 of shorter in the betting last start

Fair enough, but it was in a non-metro based race, so it might not indicate too much, but again, it's different and will add value.

• 
  Must $21.00 or shorter pre post for current race

The $21 is going to show a low strike rate. I think 80% ??? of winners are pre-post up to $11.00 ..... not too sure tho'

All in all, I like what you've put up 'coz it's different. I reckon the S/R would be really, really low and the DOWNER would be that if your system selects a horse with ability "the market" won't give you the price you need to go close to winning on level stakes. It's worthy of following and / or tweaking.

This advice is worth exactly what you paid for it ..... DYOR.

Nice comments Barny, :)

Can someone with a database help out Stoney?

The Schmile

Stoney, check out this site, it may not have all the stuff you require but it is quite informative anyhow.

http://testyoursystem.000space.com/TestSystem.php

Cheers.

Hi Barny

Thanks for the comments. Just with the winning strike rate it is 32% or greater ( not 32% exactly )

Jose I will check out that link thanks

Re: last start, it non SATURDAY Metro, or non metro as barny took it?

i.e. it could be Metro,as long as it was not SATURDAY?

my 2 cents worth, LSFP, I would say within 3.5 lengths of winner last start, regardless of finishing position. i.e. a 10 length second, to me is far worse than a 2 length 10th.

I dont know that the last start finishing position rule actualy adds anything to the system.

Its one of those feel good rules, doesnt always mean it helps.

Dale, you could be right but purely on a statistical basis, 80% of all winners ran within 3.5 lengths of the winner last start (or won of course)

Thats a different kettle of fish and a strong statistic, would be good to see the %'s and return on those within that margin who finished in the top 5 last start compared to those who didnt.

One that I've been meaning to investigate, is the number of races won and any Profit with a last start winner in races where,

there was only 1 LSW
" 2 LSW
" 3 LSW

etc etc. i.e. is there a point where it is profitable to back em all?

Sorry, stoney, off on a tangent,but this is what happens with discussion eh?