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Tipster Polls
Morning All
Just wondering if there is a site where historical tipster polls are available? i.e. Hearld Sun Form, Sportsman etc UnitTab selections are easily obtained, but those other printed forms are not something I've ever looked at. Thanks In Advance Stix |
Sorry have found the Hearld Sun on line form guide: http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/s...cing/form-guide
They do provide some historial tips for the major meetings..... |
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Anyone able to assit? Thank you. |
There is a mob called...
The Great Tip Off (Google) They monitor all the Aust tipsters. |
I have found that the Radio TAB has the highest SR amongst its Top 2, compared to any newspaper or subscription service.
Based on 21,000 races. Its SR is ... 1st sel 26% 2nd sel 19% 3rd sel 14% Top 2 selections = 45% SR Most other tipping formats have that percentage SR for their Top 3. So all you have got to do, is bet one of them that you know, is value to ability, for 4 units & bet the other one at 1 unit as a sort of Saver bet.. 4 + 1 There 45% SR The SR is 48% if you target the first 4 races only. Your now laughing like a Hyena. |
As always, Thanks Bhagwan.
I was interested for the fact a friend of mine mentioned a system of using the top polled horse as the selection in a loss chasing scenario.....it scared the crap out of me, so was hoping to find some historical data to convince him otherwise....he won;t listen to me, as he has won a couple time already on it...without a lot of outs (lucky him!).... I did a few dry runs on the scant superform tips - where the rules were: * Must be selected by first >50% of tipsters (so where there are three tipsters, at least 2 must have it on top (3 from 4 on top, 3 from 5 on top, 4 from 6 on top etc) * Bet until a result * each losing bet, double the next 1,2,4,8,16,32 etc ...now you can see how crazy this is.... I personally don't use tipsters, although I do leave alone specials for the day...usually not my price anyway.... Forgot to say...money is not a problem for this bloke.... :o |
Lets see the money problems he has after doing that for 12 months.
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I'm sorry to say, but your good friend will wish he had never heard of staking plans if that's the approach he is using .
All selection plans , no matter how good they are, have runs of outs. I feel your friend will hear non of that. I feel you may have lost him to the other side, called La La Land. You could try & catch him, when he returns back to Earth Here is something similar, following the UniTAB tipsters. It has it's good days. RULES Target Radio TAB Top 2 Target Late Mail Selection. Late mail selection has to match one of the Radio TAB Top 2 Must be 2.60+ Staking plan that can work, if things go our way. 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 ect Bet along the ladder, win or lose, until in profit. Then start again. |
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Always chuckle at these types, as I posted in another thread sometime ago, against my (& others) advice, a mate did similar loss chasing with NRL fav's - did a packet, not that it really mattered to him other than the old pride taking a pinch;)
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I have had reasonable success over the past few years supporting horse only picked by a single tipster in the Herald Sun Tipsters Poll. It could be picked 1st, 2nd or 3rd but must be picked only by one tipster.
I run it through several rules such as must be <=$11.00 in the prepost market, no 2yo, and have a >= 20% win strike rate. There are a couple of others but I don't want to give away the farm just yet! It hits good priced winners as it gets away from what everyone else is doing - backing the "shorties". Comments are welcomed. |
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Never bet against Shelley Hancox(The Age) regards her 'star bet' of the day.
As much as 90%(or more?) of all standout selections from tipsters across the papers will flop on a given day, yet hers will get up! LG |
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oh for it to be so easy, my toe cutting days could get a revival;) |
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Waste of forum space.
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I have just recently been watching the Get On Program on TVN. They mentioned they have a 55% strike on their best bets.
Anyone recorded any stats from these guys? e.g Mick Sharkie and co |
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No stats, but when I have caught the program occasionally they have grabbed a few winners. I had a little on a winner at $7.50 a month or so ago. They seem to steer clear of tipping <$3, which helps....more like my price range. |
You may wish to see if their tips are monitored at The Great Tip Off site.
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GTO website would be alright if you could grab early market odds instead of NSW tote.
The Specials this Weeek (On the Nose) MR 4 - 2 SR 3 - 9 MR 8 - 9 Each Way MR8 - 2 SR7 - 6 SR9 - 3 SR6 - 16 SR8 - 10 |
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Morphetville Viking Star ($10+), Molto Bene ($13+) Caulfield Kolonga ($17+) |
Today's Single Tips:
Flemington R2-3 Tennessee Willis R4-9 High Kingczar R5-3 The Wingman, 10 Supremacy R6-2 Methuselah, 5 Duel Lover, 6 Compelled, 13 About The Journey, 15 Wittenoom Way R7-4 God's Window, 6 Verdasco |
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Could of been a very good day.... |
Single selections from Tipster Poll - April 28
Randwick R1 Fast and Sexy, Xatel Ekwa, Anise R3 Trophies, Rowie R4 Shannara, Foxstar, Fill The Page R5 Albert The Fat, Centennial PArk, Ofcourseican R6 HAwk Island, Precedence R7 Rekindled Interest R8 Latin News Caulfield R1 Red Colossus, Lordoftheparrots R2 The Long Road, Hes A Hotty, R4 Baldez, Infinite Energy R5 Slewsay, Her Diamond Rock, Two Sugars, Stacey Lee, Rheinfels R6 Above, Pitt Street, Gold Sand, Josimar R7 My Girl Tess, Temper Tantrum R8 Kelly Royale, Fashion See how they go.... |
Crap Day today.....
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Hi Stix,
It might help to introduce a rule such as minimum price of fav in the race $3-3.50? It could help strike rate overall. The Schmile |
Hi Stix,
I have found that by only backing selections in races with 12, 13 or 14 starters I achieved my best results. It has been several months since I have back a good priced winner with this method and am currently on a 20 losing streak (only on Melb Metro Saturday meetings). Still running at 86.4% POT even with this losing streak. Lowest priced winner $4.60 and Highest priced winner $21.40. 146 bets with 26 winners and 17.8% S/R since 2/01/10. |
Most of the selections are those thrown in for fourth by the tipsters, so would suggest that may be part of the poor performance.
If I get time on Wednesday, I'll use the following Rules 1. Listed once only to run a place (first, Second or Third) 2. Races with Runners >10 3. No races where PP fav is <$2.5 Why the changes? Rule one - eliminate those just thrown in for value etc Rule two - Try and provide a bit more value (?) with bigger fields Rule three - Again looking for better value betting races (?) |
Hi Stix,
I have ignored the tipsters 4th selection when I consider horse's only tipped once since they are not listed in the Tipster's Poll in the Herald Sun. |
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