27 Oct – Cox Plate (G1) - 2040m
Noms / weights
No. Horse Trainer Weight 1 Afsare (GB) Luca Cumani 59kg 2 Alcopop Jake Stephens 59kg 3 Americain (USA) Alain de Royer Dupre 59kg 4 Blackie (NZ) Peter G Moody 59kg 5 Class Is Class (Ire) Chris Waller 59kg 6 December Draw (Ire) Mark Kavanagh 59kg 7 Efficient (NZ) Robert Hickmott 59kg 8 Extra Zero David Hayes 59kg 9 Glass Harmonium (Ire) Michael Moroney 59kg 10 Glencadam Gold (Ire) Gai Waterhouse 59kg 11 Green Moon (Ire) Robert Hickmott 59kg 12 Happy Trails Paul Beshara 59kg 13 Heart Of Dreams Mick Price 59kg 14 Illo (Ger) Bart Cummings 59kg 15 Julienas (Ire) Gai Waterhouse 59kg 16 Lamasery David Vandyke 59kg 17 Linton John Sadler 59kg 18 Maluckyday (NZ) Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes 59kg 19 Manighar (Fr) Peter G Moody 59kg 20 Mawingo (Ger) Anthony Freedman 59kg 21 Midas Touch (GB) Robert Hickmott 59kg 22 Moudre Ciaron Maher 59kg 23 Mourayan (Ire) Robert Hickmott 59kg 24 Mr Chard Dean Lawson 59kg 25 Mr O’ceirin (NZ) Ciaron Maher 59kg 26 Nextanix Kerry Parker 59kg 27 Niwot Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes 59kg 28 Rangirangdoo (NZ) Chris Waller 59kg 29 Rekindled Interest Jim Conlan 59kg 30 Sanagas (Ger) Bart Cummings 59kg 31 Seville (Ger) Robert Hickmott 59kg 32 Shahwardi (Fr) Alain de Royer Dupre 59kg 33 Shoot Out Chris Waller 59kg 34 Sincero Stephen Farley 59kg 35 Sneak A Peek (Ity) Peter G Moody 59kg 36 Solzhenitsyn (NZ) Robert Heathcote 59kg 37 Tagus John P Thompson 59kg 38 Tokugawa Leon Corstens 59kg 39 Tullamore (NZ) Gai Waterhouse 59kg 40 Unusual Suspect (USA) Michael Kent 59kg 41 Waterford Hill Leon Corstens 59kg 42 Winchester (USA) John Sadler 59kg 43 Ethiopia Pat Carey 57.5kg 44 Moment Of Change Peter G Moody 57.5kg 45 Ocean Park (NZ) Gary Hennessy 57.5kg 46 Polish Knight (NZ) Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes 57.5kg 47 Shanghai Warrior Pat Hyland 57.5kg 48 Strawberry Boy Gai Waterhouse 57.5kg 49 Val Champ (Arg) Anthony Freedman 57.5kg 50 Wild And Proud Gai Waterhouse 57.5kg 51 More Joyous (NZ) Gai Waterhouse 57kg 52 Secret Admirer Grahame Begg 57kg 53 Southern Speed Leon Macdonald & Andrew Gluyas 57kg 54 Yosei Stuart Webb 57kg 55 Aliyana Tilde Kerry Parker 55.5kg 56 Mosheen Robert Smerdon 55.5kg 57 All Too Hard Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes 49.5kg 58 Epaulette Peter Snowden 49.5kg 59 It’s A Dundeel (NZ) Murray Baker 49.5kg 60 Kabayan Gai Waterhouse 49.5kg 61 Ninth Legion Anthony Cummings 49.5kg 62 Pierro Gai Waterhouse 49.5kg 63 Proisir Gai Waterhouse 49.5kg 64 Shamexpress (NZ) Danny O’Brien 49.5kg 65 Underestimation Dean Lawson 49.5kg 66 Affable John P Thompson 47.5kg 67 Commanding Jewel Leon Corstens 47.5kg 68 Nechita John P Thompson 47.5kg |
long range tips anyone?
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3rd Acceptances
No. Horse Trainer Weight
1 Afsare (GB) Luca Cumani 59kg 2 Americain (USA) Alain de Royer Dupre 59kg 3 Glass Harmonium (Ire) Michael Moroney 59kg 4 Glencadam Gold (Ire) Gai Waterhouse 59kg 5 Green Moon (Ire) Robert Hickmott 59kg 6 Happy Trails Paul Beshara 59kg 7 Linton John Sadler 59kg 8 Manighar (Fr) Peter G Moody 59kg 9 Midas Touch (GB) Robert Hickmott 59kg 10 Mourayan (Ire) Robert Hickmott 59kg 11 Rangirangdoo (NZ) Chris Waller 59kg 12 Rekindled Interest Jim Conlan 59kg 13 Seville (Ger) Robert Hickmott 59kg 14 Shahwardi (Fr) Alain de Royer Dupre 59kg 15 Shoot Out Chris Waller 59kg 16 Sincero Stephen Farley 59kg 17 Ethiopia Pat Carey 57.5kg 18 Ocean Park (NZ) Gary Hennessy 57.5kg 19 More Joyous (NZ) Gai Waterhouse 57kg 20 Southern Speed Leon Macdonald & Andrew Gluyas 57kg 21 All Too Hard Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes 49.5kg 22 Epaulette Peter Snowden 49.5kg 23 Pierro Gai Waterhouse 49.5kg 24 Proisir Gai Waterhouse 49.5kg |
8. Manighar and 13. Seville gone for the Spring
1. Swelling in off foreleg. Still aiming at Cox but day to day prop |
Starting to fall like 9-pins
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Epaulette no longer in the market |
Afsare is a no show.
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The starting time for this race has been brought forward 20 minutes to suit Channel Nine's coverage. Nine doesn't want the race coverage to interfere with the airing of Getaway :rolleyes:
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current ew market
Horse Win Place
Pierro 4.00 1.72 Green Moon 5.00 1.96 Ocean Park 5.50 2.09 Proisir 9.50 3.06 More Joyous 10.00 3.18 All Too Hard 11.00 3.42 Rekindled Interest 18.00 5.12 Sincero 21.00 5.84 Southern Speed 26.00 7.06 Ethiopia 26.00 7.06 Shoot Out 31.00 8.27 Happy Trails 31.00 8.27 Glass Harmonium 41.00 10.69 Glencadam Gold 61.00 15.54 Rangirangdoo 61.00 15.54 Americain 61.00 15.54 Linton 81.00 20.39 Mourayan 101.00 25.24 Shahwardi 101.00 25.24 Midas Touch 201.00 49.48 |
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On pretty late anyway |
Acceptances
No Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight
1 Shoot Out Chris Waller Hugh Bowman 4 59kg 2 Sincero Stephen Farley Michael Rodd 12 59kg 3 Glass Harmonium (Ire) Michael Moroney James McDonald 2 59kg 4 Green Moon (Ire) Robert Hickmott Craig Williams 5 59kg 5 Rekindled Interest Jim Conlan Dwayne Dunn 1 59kg 6 Linton John Sadler Steven Arnold 14 59kg 7 Happy Trails Paul Beshara Kerrin McEvoy 8 59kg 8 Ethiopia Pat Carey Rhys McLeod 6 57.5kg 9 Ocean Park (NZ) Gary Hennessy Glen Boss 9 57.5kg 10 More Joyous (NZ) Gai Waterhouse Nash Rawiller 11 57kg 11 Southern Speed Leon Macdonald & Andrew Gluyas Luke Nolen 13 57kg 12 Pierro Gai Waterhouse Corey Brown 7 49.5kg 13 All Too Hard Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes Chris Munce 3 49.5kg 14 Proisir Gai Waterhouse Craig Newitt 10 49.5kg |
I haven't delved deep into form only going off what i have seen here I think Green Moon is the horse to beat he is tough as nails and a good solid tempo he will love. I amnot a big fan of the 3yo's personally their times have not been anything to brag about for as hard as the Gunieas was supposed to have been run they still couldn't crack 1.36 for the mile which is pretty ordinary.
Ocean Park is in great form I do question him a little if this turns into a real slog with speed on a slowly run race would really suit him. I could be going nuts but I think that Shoot Out is a blow out chance he won first up at the mile then was off the track with top weight all the way in the Epsom being as wide as 4 wide for most of the trip his run was much better than it looked on paper especially for the tempo that was on in that race. My Top 5 right now would be 1. Green Moon 2. Shoot Out 3. Ocean Park 4. Rekindled Interest 5. Ethiopia |
Preliminary only but looks like
Ocean Park Pierro All Too Hard Proisir Cheers |
mine are
9//ocean park 14// proisir 10// more joyous [ if not to wet ] 13// all to hard 12// pierro cheers Rick |
3yo's do look well in
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In order for Pick 8
Pierro Proisir Ocean Park Green Moon More Joyous All Too HArd Ethopia Shoot Out Not sure on the order of the top 4 but I am fairly certain More Joyous and All Too hard do not place in the top 4. |
I'm drawn into Proisir. I doubt Pierro and All Too Hard over the trip. Ocean Park, Green Moon, Shoot Out and Ethiopia for the trifecta.
Cheers Privateer |
All starting
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Certainly are If can run a strong 2000m hard to beat |
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Yep 3YOs nicely weighted but are any mature enough to take this race out |
The more I look at the race, the more confused I get. So, lets go for a bit of value, both totes. Proisir, Shoot Out & Sincero.
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Anyone else notice horses in wide barriers winning most of the races today at MV. I wonder if this bodes well or bad for Pierro and Prosior.
I don't think Gai thinks More Joyous can win this race. I don't even have it in the top 4 for this race. |
Based on the way races are runing today my new top 8 are :
Pierro Proisir Green Moon Ocean Park Shoot Out More Joyous All Too Hard Ethopia |
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Gai chose an outside barrier for MJ to avoid any early scrimages. Wonder if she anticipated the outside bias. |
The bias wil have little to do with the outcome of this race the speed it is run at will determine it forget everything else. if they walk the 3yo's and More Joyous's chances improve dramatically if they really turn the pressure on then I doubt any of those 4 will be seen in the finish I could be wrong though.
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Whats your thoughts on the pace then ? Are they going to race hard up front? |
You would expect a truly run race, pace to burn when you analyse normal racing styles
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Would love to know how the Gai Waterhouse trio will be ridden
If 'as per normal' they could worry each other out of contention |
I've been viewing the videos and I have to say I think its a race between 2 horses now.
Ocean Park and Green Moon. My top 8 are now : Green Moon Ocean Park Proisir Pierro Shoot Out More Joyous All Too Hard Ethopia |
9 Ocean Park
4 Green Moon 12 Pierro 13 All Too Hard 14 Proisir 5 Rekindled Interest |
I think the pace will be solid aslong as Glass Harmonium jumps if he doesn't then it could be iffy
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current ew market
No. Horse Win Place
12 Pierro 5.00 1.96 4 Green Moon 5.00 1.96 9 Ocean Park 6.50 2.33 10 More Joyous 7.00 2.45 13 All Too Hard 9.00 2.93 14 Proisir 11.00 3.42 8 Ethiopia 17.00 4.87 1 Shoot Out 17.00 4.87 5 Rekindled Interest 23.00 6.33 2 Sincero 35.00 9.24 11 Southern Speed 35.00 9.24 7 Happy Trails 51.00 13.12 3 Glass Harmonium 81.00 20.39 6 Linton 101.00 25.24 |
My top 8:
4 Green Moon 5.00 1.96 9 Ocean Park 6.50 2.33 10 More Joyous 7.00 2.45 8 Ethiopia 17.00 4.87 11 Southern Speed 35.00 9.24 2 Sincero 35.00 9.24 1 Shoot Out 17.00 4.87 13 All Too Hard 9.00 2.93 |
Result
Finish No. Horse
1 9 Ocean Park (NZ) 2 13 All Too Hard 3 12 Pierro 4 8 Ethiopia 5 1 Shoot Out 6 11 Southern Speed 7 4 Green Moon (Ire) 8 14 Proisir 9 2 Sincero 10 7 Happy Trails 11 10 More Joyous (NZ) 12 6 Linton 13 3 Glass Harmonium (Ire) 14 5 Rekindled Interest |
Glen Boss, one perfect ride, one happy man
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How many Cox Plate wins now? Think he has won before
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That make 3 for Glen Boss I think
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Yea that I know of he has won on Ocean Park, So You Think as a 3yo and Makybe Diva best horse won the race the tempo of the race was definitely affected with Glass Harmonium missing the kick but I annoy sure it would have made a difference anyway I thought there were some very average runs amoungst them.
If I owned a 3yo with any ability I would go to this race now I think the weight advantage now going against what is not a great bunch of older horses just makes it such a huge advantage now. |
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Thanks guys :) |
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Not bad neddys |
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