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Betting system stood the test of time ...
I was intending to provide updated selections and results each week for Melbourne, Brisbane and Sydney Saturday racing for what I believe is an excellent betting system.
As I am currently able to provide the selections only on an irregular basis I passed. Maybe someone would like to provide the selections and results each week? In my opinion horses with high winning strike rates can be excellent bets provided short odds are avoided. They will quite often win at nice double figure odds. They can also add value to trifectas etc. Here are the basic rules. 1. The horse must have a minimum 50% winning strike rate. 2. It must have had at least 10 race starts. 3. Avoid short odds. A minimum price of $5.00 is a good starting point. Judgement needs to be used if taking odds of $4.00. That's it! There are plenty of other factors which can be looked at such as first up, time between races, how the horse fared at its previous start etc. etc. Hope you find this system worthwhile. Neil. |
Pretty similar to some of my systems. I dont restrict it to metro. Without a price minimum returns avge price around 5.5. I run one similar for higher odds that avges around 15. Both return profit at level staking but i use my personal recovery plan to great effect and probably triple the return.
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which is the best site to check Win% and career starts, without having to click on every horse as many of them are?
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https://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/ |
Ocho, cheers for that , I knew I'd seen it other than Chartform, but just could't remember where.
I can see 4 qualifiers today (Metro only) MR7-4 Red Bomber, SR 4-2 Malaguerra, SR4-3 Alberto Magic, SR7-6 Mongolian Khan. with only Red Bomber meeting the price criteria at this stage @$11. there's 2 in the $4 range at the mo. but that might change of course. |
I'm not endorsing, I have no idea, I was just showing some interest, but one Swallow does not make "Spring" we have at least 996 selections to go before we can make a judgement.
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Reduce the price to say 3 and under 10 days from last start, see how you go.
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Here are Saturday's selections:
Caulfield 4/1 Red Bomber Randwick 6/8 Artlee 6/12 My Favourite 7/4 Malaguerra 7/5 Goldstream 7/6 Press Statement |
Selections for Saturday, 30th. April:
Doomben 2/9 Secret Saga 5/1 Astronomos 6/1 Fell Swoop 6/3 Artlee 8/7 Trubia |
[QUOTE=Neil]Selections for Saturday, 30th. April:
Doomben 2/9 Secret Saga - 3rd 5/1 Astronomos - 2nd 6/1 Fell Swoop - 1st 6/3 Artlee - 3rd 8/7 Trubia - 3rd All horses all there in the money and a good All up for the place |
Selections for Saturday, 30th. April:
Doomben 2/9 Secret Saga 3rd. $5.50 5/1 Astronomos $9.50, 2nd. by a nose 6/1 Fell Swoop 1st. $1.55 6/3 Artlee 3rd. $9.00 8/7 Trubia 3rd. $2.70 |
Selections for Saturday, 7th. May:
Flemington 5/1 Admiral 5/7 Supido Rosehill 6/3 Start Wondering |
Results for Saturday, 7th. May:
Flemington 5/1 Admiral 2nd. $12.00 5/7 Supido 1st. $1.55, TF $1.80 A nice quinella Rosehill 6/3 Start Wondering unpl. $2.50 fav. |
Selections for Saturday, 14th. May:
Doomben 3/4 Gotyacovered 3/7 Elegant Composure 4/10 Astronomos 7/2 Fell Swoop 7/8 Malaguerra |
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Thinking not many qualifiers with minimum 50% winning strike rate (at least 10 race starts) & a minimum price of $5.00? Would expect a lot would be shorter odds. |
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shop around for the best odds |
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Absolutely In my case I've modified the main rules slightly with some good results The horse must have a minimum 40% winning strike rate It must have had at least 8 race starts |
(rosehill) tristan de angel & sky boy & falerina, won for me
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(flemington) dreamforce & trap for fools, won for me
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(sunshine coast) hold the line & snitch, won for me
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(ascot) dance music & the velvet king, won for me
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Agree. Also worth categorising win strike rate by track condition. |
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Positive move |
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And among the top 3 speed horses in the race, give it a try ;) |
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Yes. Especially if the other speed horses are not in the market. |
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