The other week i was mucking around with bits of other systems,so i put them together, going back 7 weeks [thats as all the form guides i kept] metro-saturdays
1. won T&D
2. 20% win S/R
3. raced last 28 days
4. placed last 2 starts [ eliminate if won last 2, looking for value]
5. If first up, must have won at least 50%
6. 1100-2000m

so far 30 selections for 8 wins =$54.30
17 placings =$38.20
10/1
mr 8 no.1 $4.60/1.90
no.2 unpl
no bris - ipswich, provincial track

17/1
mr 6 no.5 unpl
mr 7 no.5 unpl

24/1
sr 5 no.3 $4.30/1.50
ar 6 no.1 unpl

31/1
ar 7 no. 1 /1.90pl
br7 no. 6 unpl
no.17 unpl
mr 3 no.6 unpl
mr 8 no.2 unpl
no.3 /2.10pl

7/2
mr 5 no.1 $1.80/1.20
mr 7 no.7 /1.60 pl
sr 3 no.1 unpl
sr 4 no.1 $5.40/2.00
sr 6 no.1 $9.00/2.90
no.3 unpl
br 5 no.2 unpl
br 8 no.2 /1.70pl
ar 3 no.5 /2.30pl
ar 5 no.2 $9.80/3.50
ar 6 no. 7 unpl
ar 7 no.6 unpl
no.9 /2.30pl

14/2
sr 4 no.4 $7.00/2.60

21/2
mr 6 no.6 unpl
no.15 $17.10/5.40
sr 5 no.1 $5.10/1.80
sr 7 no.3 /2.00pl

Not bad. Very sensible rules. A few seem quite familiar!!! :grin:

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-02-24 12:29 ]

I know, just tinkering ,i have other ones but their a bit more involved. what do you think about rating horses, giving them points for t, d conditions , barriers ,s/r and prize money , out of 100

How would you go if you eliminated 1st uppers and restricted the other bets to those who,s last start starting price was 10/1 or lower and perhaps to TAB no,s 1 - 5.
Cheers,
darky.

Goldmember,



I gather that if the runner is first up from a spell, then its last two placings prior to the spell are irrelevent.

Is that correct?

Yes, that's right last 2 starts only apply to recent racing

very interesting darkydog, it's the opposite of that . the first uppers fared better for some reason?
11 selections : 4 wins - $34.90
7 placings- $18.00

last 2 starts
19 selections : 5 wins - $29.20
9 placings- $18.70

sorry, i missed counted 1 winner overall

30 selections - 9 winners

cheers

Horses sp last start 10/1 & under

18 selections - 5 wins =$29.20
only 8 places overall = $17.00

tab no's 1-5,
17 selctions ,same "as above"

Goldmember,

I pulled out The Sportsman on 6/2/04 to see if I could get your exact selections for Sat. 7th of Feb. .
I got most of the winners bar one. Sydney R4h1. I dont know how you picked that. It's win s/r is or was only 13.6%. Therefore no bet?
I also had picks that you didnt have like Syd.R5h4,h9.
Mel. R5h4, Adel.R2h3,h9. and so on.

What am I doing wrong?

I seems like a good system to follow for the next 6-8 months to see how it goes.
I'm not sure if I understand the won T/D section in the sportsman.
I assume your using The Sportsman. The section This Track(underneath a runners name) may have 1 in it and so to with This Dist. ,but where it says This T/D might have a 0 for the same horse. I'm just a tad confused with that aspect of the paper as I havent really used that info. before.

If you could help me out that would be great.

Hi emu, your'e not doing it wrong syd r4 no.1 isn,t,i was using the other rules when i started and then added 20% later,my fault, forgot to delete him, i was doing them manually through a newspaper late at night, [must have nodded off] must have missed a couple. As for SR5,3 left out one rule must have 8 starters after scratchings [sorry]
I don't use the sportsman, but it's the same as any formguide won at track[t] won at distance[d] doesn't mean at this track and distance

cheers

Todays horses,
M3-2 MR MURPHY
M7-5 ST CHRISOPH
S8-4 IMPERATRIX
B7-1 STARTELL
3 PORTCALL

Goldmember

I got your picks and also got Mr6h2, Mr7h7, and Br.r8h4.

What am i doing wrong ?
The only thing I can think of is that these runners that I had had either a spell or let up between its 3rd and 2nd last start and therefore no bet . Is that correct?
If only a short break ie. "freshened" then thats ok.

Also if first up from a spell appart from 50% win s/r, won t & d, 1100m - 2000m should there be no break between 2nd and 3rd last start with these runners ?

Please let me know and I assume you dont bet 2yo, . What about maidens?

Thanks..

Emu, I didn't put it up properly the first time.
won at track
won at distance
placed last 2 starts
[if first up won at least 50%]
eliminate if won last 2[looking for value]
20% win s/rate
raced in last 28 days
1100-2000m
at least 8 starters after scratchings

I hope that will clear things up, br8-4 was 2nd up so didn't qualify, mr6-2 5 starters, mr7-7 scr.
not much luck yesterday, if st chrisoph and startell could of hung on it would of been a good result, but $2.80 & 3.40 a place not to bad .
I don't bet on 2 ylds when there are a few 1st starters, but when nearly all of them have at least 3, 4 or 5 starts then i bet,but its up to you if you wan't to back them.
cheers

[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-02-29 07:17 ]