It has been some-time since I have logged on
for any posting, although I have visited the site regularily. I propose to start a daily selection input that I hope will be fruitfull for all avid forumites.
I am a firm beliver that past-form is where you will find the future winners.But what past-form can be relied upon, there-in lies the crux. I believe the answer lies not in one aspect but a few combinations of certain form lines, and when applied accross the board will result in numerous winners at odds 6/1 - 20/1 plus. This form must be of a quality that is repetitive and at odds that will ensure a profit at the end of agiven period (month).
In an effort to arrive at a solution I have looked at all combinations of past form over monthly periods. At the conclusion the profit derived had to ensure a return to me of $1000 min per month ($500 for me $500 the tax-man can't have, so I will have this too!).
Too this end I would like to share with the forum my daily selections (treat as you will). These selections will keep you on edge,sometime frustrated but rewarded for diligence.
Proposed Bank 2x$10,000 (1x bet 1x res)
Staking = $100 unit Flat stake win only
Race Type= All except jumping events and early 2yr olds.
Venue - All
Days = All
Price = SP 6/1+
Past four months results
FEB Outlay $49300 Return $53250 POT 8% $3950
MAR " $61270 " $90020 POT 47% $28750
APR " $70400 " $77100 POT 9.5% $6700
MAY " $47200 " $68920 POT 40% $19720 (current to 23rd)
Overall POT 25% $59120
Longest loosing streak (daily nil return)
FEB days (3) $4600 days (2) $1300
days (1) $900
MAR Days (1) $1300 (1) $2100 (1) $800
(2) $3200 (1) $2400 (1) $1200
APR Days (1) $1100 (1) $1100 (1) $800
(1) $1800 (1) $800
MAY Days (4) $5100 (1) $300 (1) $500
(1) $900 (1) $700 (1) $1100
Worst Bank Position ( at days end within month) FEB Day 4 $7490 - $2510)
MAY Day 7 $2610 - $7390)
Reserve bank required to prop May for day 8
bets of $4700)adj on day 11 profits of $5820
Admitdtely this is only a short period of review, however I am confident in it's continuing success, albiet we are entering a challenging perion Jun-Aug (wet tracks).
I will post selections thru May and the starting Jun will post results with running balance.
To-days (May 25th) selections
Moe
Race 7 no 11,Silver Seas
12,Buk Buk Luk
13, She's Gun
Race 8 No 5 Brevitas
12 Novocastrian
Race 9 No 11 Alimoo
Race 10 No 10 Bohjass
14 Gold Fantasy
Wagga
Race 4 No 2 The Dantree (1st- $11.90)
7 Micro Petite
11 Chisum
Race 5 No 12 Ryles

Good Luck

Outlay $1200 Return $1190 (loss $10)

_________________
Go Long & Wide

[ This Message was edited by: Go-Long on 2004-05-28 08:28 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Go-Long on 2004-05-28 10:54 ]

So how did you go Go-Long? The 25th seems so long ago.

Hi Paddy,
It does seem like ages since I put my post to air. Results are posted for the 25th.
An in/out day for a small loss.
I will not post selections for the days 26/27th for fear of being accused of manipulation. Suffice to say the results were on par with the 25th.
shortly I will post selections for to-day(fri).

Selections for Friday 28/05/04
-Wodonga-

Race 3 No 13 Fine Way
Race 4 No 2 Danish Princess (unders)
Race 5 No 3 Alice in Toyland
Race 5 no 7 Hulavie
Race 7 No 5 Striking bob
Race 7 No 6 Boy's Berry
Race 7 No 11 Hayley's Image (Scr)

-Mt Gambier-

Race 5 No 7 Vorodomyr (1st-$10.30)
Race 5 No 10 Joanne Grace
Race 8 No 2 At Risk
Race 8 No 7 Bitovatune

-Casino-

Race 4 No 8 Lunalana (Scr)
Race 6 No 5 lasaysalee (Unders)
Race 7 No 12 Henry Gilbert
Race 7 No 13 Port Macquarie
Race 8 No 4 Next (Scr)

-Rockhampton-

Race 2 No 12 Red Goer
Race 3 No 4 Eradicator
Race 3 No 5 Bihaana seas
Race 5 No 3 Delquilo
Race 5 No 7 Jumpin Jared
Race 6 No 11 Tycoon Ted (Scr)
Race 6 14 Semagic
Race 7 No 5 Hectorosa
Race 7 No 11 Century Gal


-Goulburn-

Race 3 No 9 Lycra Dame
Race 5 No 6 Mr Dean
Race 5 No 8 Zali Girl
Race 5 No 9 Zedatete
Race 6 No 7 Zanzarra Bank (Unders)
(at post-time no prices available for Goulburn-selections subject to price restrictions mentioned earlier)
Good luck

Not a good result for starters.
Outlay $2300 Return $1030 Loss $1270.
Hope saturday brings better luck.

_________________
Go Long & Wide

[ This Message was edited by: Go-Long on 2004-05-28 11:18 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Go-Long on 2004-05-28 13:39 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Go-Long on 2004-05-28 23:43 ]

Selections for Saturday 29/05/04
-Moonee Valley-

Race 1 No 5 Ali Shuffle -unders-
Race 1 No 8 Danrego
Race 4 No 2 Jakodae -unders-
Race 4 No 6 Song Time
Race 4 No 14 Rimon Cheli
Race 6 No 3 Mr Trickster
Race 6 No 11 Kel
Race 6 No 12 Longmire**
Race 7 No 3 Step Ahead -unders-
Race 7 No 7 Lethal Leigh - $9.20
Race 7 No 8 Dandy Kid
Race 7 No 10 Run Just Run
Race 8 No 4 Oamaru Town -unders-

-Brisbane-

Race 1 No 4 Difficult
Race 1 No 8 Mitann1 -unders-
Race 1 No 11 Doctor Hennessey
Race 2 No 2 Arrowsweep
Race 2 No 4 Count Ivor
Race 2 No 13 St Nicco Unlucky $9.00(P)
Race 3 No 1 Pearly Kings
Race 3 No 4 Skiddaw
Race 3 No 5 Midnight Avenue
Race 3 No 6 Penola
Race 3 No 10 Messian
Race 4 No 11 Elegant Angela
Race 5 No 5 Regal Punch
Race 5 No 8 Bishop Bill
Race 5 No 11 Double El Aitch (see gc r7)
Race 5 No 14 The Cove Director
Race 5 No 15 Valiant Dane
Race 6 No 1 Tru Glo -unders-
Race 6 No 10 Falkirk
Race 6 No 14 Show Biz Kid
Race 6 No 17 Top Marc
Race 7 No 8 Make Me A Miracle
Race 8 No 1 Russian Pearl $7.65
Race 8 No 5 Reclaim
Race 8 No 6 Kayezed
Race 8 No 8 Set Up
Race 8 No 13 Moshi Moshi

-Randwick-

Race 4 No 5 Empowered
Race 4 No 8 Capri
Race 5 No 4 Beryl
Race 7 No 9 Sunday Service -unders-
Race 8 No 2 Marwin Gold
Race 8 No 14 Sin Trail


-Victoria Park-

Race 4 No 4 Lanson
Race 4 No 13 Mao's Plan (Scr)
Race 5 No 2 Tia Jane
Race 5 No6 Oak Express -unders-
Race 5 No 12 Discounter
Race 6 No 7 Halo Amore
Race 7 No 5 Mt Billy $7.75
race 7 No 13 Ting of Gold (Scr)
Race 8 No 7 Finniss Rhythm $11.05
Race 8 No 10 Faire Monter
Race 8 No 11 Gold Prospectoress

-Belmont Park-

Race 3 No 9 Magissa
Race 4 No 2 On Target -unders-
Race 4 No 3 Star Trek
Race 4 No 4 The Black Flash
Race 5 No 2 Big Dam $20.20
Race 5 No 7 Ebony Storm
Race 5 No 13 Racer's Affair
Race 5 No 14 Shirbella
Race 6 No 2 Irish Pride (FOR PADDY)*********
Race 6 No 3 Modem $7.30
Race 6 No 4 Zoometric
Race 6 No 13 Lady Go Bello
Race 7 No 3 Scenic Cruise
Race 7 No 4 Entrepreneurial
Race 7 No 13 Rodeo Man
Race 8 No 12 Rotterdam -unders-

-Gold Coast-

Race 4 No 8 Force of love
Race 7 No 6 Double El Aitch (seedbn R5(Scr)
Race 7 No 11 Russell On

-Kalgoorlie-

Race 3 No 6 Ye Mighty
Race 4 No 9 M'lady Royale
Race 5 No 6 Protected Species

-Newcastle-

Race 5 No 10 Four Five Two (Scr)
Race 5 No 12 Running Jeans
Race 6 No 7 Mind Storm(*see r8) -unders-
Race 7 NO 6 Alfayn
Race 8 No 6 Champion System (Scr)
Race 8 No 8 Mind Storm(*see r6) (Scr)

-Toowoomba-

Race 1 No 3 Lightning Angel $54.10/$36.40
Race 1 No 7 It's Hot AIS UNITAB
Race 3 No 3 Man Servant
Race 3 NO 6 Hidden Ambition (Scr)
Race 4 No 8 Red Oaks
Race 5 No 10 Talbingo Lad

-Warrnambool-

Race 4 No 8 Right This Time
Race 6 No 7 Ruaton
Race 7 No 7 Benched
Race 8 No 7 Bellagrine Glow
Race 8 No 8 Lunch at Rios

How does one under score?
_
Total Bets 77@$100 = $7700 outlay
Total Returns = $11725
POT = $4025 (52%)
Substitute Unitab
Dividend for toowoomba
Race 1 No3 $36.40 Return $9955
POT $2255 (29%)
Either way a good return for a massive day.
A number of hard luck 2nds/3rds that could
have increased day's return,however I will take what comes.
Go Long & Wide

[ This Message was edited by: Go-Long on 2004-05-28 12:56 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Go-Long on 2004-05-28 13:01 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Go-Long on 2004-05-29 07:15 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Go-Long on 2004-05-30 06:49 ]

Selections Sunday 30/05/04
Flemington
Race 3 No 10 Wry Scr
Race 4 No 10 Belgrade Scr
Race 4 No 14 Mansion Scr
Race 5 No 2 Lewinsky
Race 5 No 3 Elephant Rock
Race 5 No 4 Cognito
Race 5 No 10 Smart & Mighty
Race 6 No 4 Come on Rory
Race 7 No 3 Yusra
Race 7 No 11 Power & Faith
Race 8 No 1 Brava Brava
Race 8 No 3 I'm in Heaven Scr

Mildura

Race 6 No 7 Campitello
Race 6 No 8 Distorted Miss Unders
Race 7 No 4 Cammarnat
Race 8 No 11 Nikita Jane Unders

Launceston

Race 2 No 12 La Bellarina
Race 4 No 12 Biscayla
Race 5 No 3 Fabulous Will
Race 6 No 6 Latest Toy
Race 9 No 11 Lake Arthur

Sunshine Coast

Race 4 No 6 Royal Pash UNDERS
Race 6 No 2 Blazing Dancer
Race 6 No 7 Unistar Unders
Race 6 No 9 Desert Image
Race 7 No 3 Kounthekash Unders
Race 7 No 7 Kerri Anne's Girl (unlucky)
Race 7 No 9 Look Here Tay
Race 9 No 4 Hazchem Scr
Race 9 No 8 Teen A Te Unders


Tamworth

Race 2 No 8 Truinfo Unders
Race 3 No 1 Beautiful Life
Race 3 No 14 Toricay Scr
Race 5 No 7 Satin Express (unlucky)
Race 6 No 2 Regency Pearl $8.00
Race 6 No 9 Wilparina
Race 7 No 7 Hipster Doofus
Race 8 No 2 Kappa Crucis
Race 8 No 13 Sounds Supreme

Outlay $2600 Return $800 Loss $1800
Not a good day a couple of unlucky runs.
But lets stay possitive.
_________________
Go Long & Wide

[ This Message was edited by: Go-Long on 2004-05-30 07:21 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Go-Long on 2004-05-31 09:39 ]

Excellent effort Go-Long. Hopefully all down-hill from here.

Thanks Betty Boop for your support,
the previous four months have been nothing short of exciting. This month is in good stead with one day to go.

Selections for Monday 31/05/04

Echuca

Race2 No 9 You're Thor Scr
Race 4 No 4 Kelinti Scr
Race 5 No 5 Special Number
Race 5 No 12 Petite Lille
Race 5 NO 13 Regent PLace
Race 6 No 1 Bold Revenge
Race 6 No 6 Dell Era
Race 6 No 12 Apres Moi Scr
Race 6 No 13 Gallop Rhythm Scr
Race 8 No 9 Zabiska Scr
Race 8 No 12 Ravissante

Port Macquarie

Race 1 No 10 Victory's Sweet
Race 4 No 7 Sioux Princess Scr
Race 5 No 7 Tanilba Bay (Unders-just)
Race 6 No 2 Clovelly Prince
Race 6 No 9 El Lahon
Race 7 No 1 Broom to the Moon
Race 7 No 5 Dream with You
Race 7 No 13 Oxford Falls

Dubbo

Race 4 No 3 Ready for Fun
Race 4 No 7 Nothin' Like Fame $22.60/$27.50/$38.80 ( Uni/Nsw/Sop TAB Payout)
Race 5 No 12 Gold Carriage
Race 6 No 6 Magical Flight
Race 7 No 3 Covet Minnie
Race 7 No 7 Brandy Star
Race 7 No 11 Barknuckle
Race 7 No 13 Huge Number
Total Bets = 20
Outlay $2000 Return $2750(NSW)
POT $750 37%
A Skinny day for returners although a good one to realise a reasonable profit.This closes out Month of may on a good note.
Good Luck Good Punting
As this post has got rather long in a short space of time I will start a new post for June. This post will contain selections, results and a running Balance.
_________________
Go Long & Wide

[ This Message was edited by: Go-Long on 2004-05-31 09:59 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Go-Long on 2004-06-01 00:28 ]

Nothin' Like fame @ $27.50 NSWTab made it all worthwhile today --- but, oh, was it lonely!!!! Thanks, Go Long. :grin:

Thanks Merriguy, As I said in my first post it will be sometimes rather frustrating seeing them just pipped or having to wait all day for the winner at odds. Ofcourse you could have pulled the plug at 3pm and been approx $1000 better off for the day.
But that's to-day, do that on another day and you could regret it big-time.
All the best

Longy,

Who said this time of year is boring ? I'm sure many here will be watching this one.

So many bets !!!

How do you manage a decent handicapping effort [especially on 26/1 shots], there just ain't that many hours in the day ?

Or is this a system [wow] ?

I'd hate to be waiting on long shots to save me at this amount of $100 a pop action.

Did you sell your house or something ?

Mad cow disease ?

Cheers and good luck :smile:


[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-06-01 05:28 ]

Hey, Go Long, you are doing yourself an injustice in your reporting. Dubbo Race 7, 11 and 13 were both scratched; and, according to my notes, Echuca Race5, 5; Port Macq. Race7, 1 and 5; Dubbo Race6 6; and Race7 3 were all unders. This makes the outlay $1300 rather than $2000, and the POT 111.5%. Or did you get out when $1000 up :grin:

P.S. I only used $10 bets but was mighty pleased with the day. Thanks again.

Hi Crash,
The actual determination of where the selections are derived from is quite complicated. The daily selection process is quite simple although the criterea for selection did originally take quite some months to perfect. However bear in mind that I did say that the investigation process was done over a rather short period of 4 months. I use many past form aspects to come to a decision and the rest is up to horse and jockey on the day. As you have seen their can be many selections but only one or a couple of results. What we are looking for is that 26/1 chance on more than one occassion to keep our head above water and ofcourse to build our bank. That is not to say that you have to bet all selections, if you have your own handicapping programme you may delete as many as half and still be profitable.
If it is for you your more than welcome to follow in the months ahead. Good luck

Hi Merriguy,
Your right I did make a couple of errors in reporting,Dubbo race 7 No 11/13were scratched, Echuca race 5 No 5 was at unders
But the others I left in as according to Unitab results they were over at jump time,.
I guess it depends where you place your bets sometimes .As not all avenues will redcord identical prices as you probably well know when chasing overs.
My actual result was slightly better than posted.(+$500)due to the anomalies (some) that you posted. However I am still happy with the result. Glad you were able to take advantage. Be aware that I did state that the period of investigation was short and this process of selection is not perfected
and ofcourse does not come with any guarantees.If you have the ability to handicap or rate in your own way you may be able to reduce the number of selections and still be profitable.Due to my other commitments I do not have the time nor resources to be more selective at present.
Good luck and kick many profitable punting goals