Geelong by 13
Eagles by 14
Essendon by 29
Fremantle by 10
Sydney by 2
Brisbane by 50
St.Kilda by 13
Port by 39

The above are my system selections.
To be editted during the week to allow for the gut factor.

On Friday they go like this

Geelong under the roof by 16
Eagles by 20
Essendon by 41
Fremantle by 11
Sydney by 4
Brisbane by 48
St.Kilda by 1
Port by 43


_________________
If things don't work out as I would like,I will be dissappointed,but it isn't the end of the world.


[ This Message was edited by: moeee on 2004-07-09 14:53 ]

Take Hawthorn with the start in a $1.50 rolly
I actually think theyre gunna cause a boilover or come close but just to be on the safe side
I suppose what I really mean is Dont bet against them
Well thats what the Gutz tells me at least Ill probably throw em in to beef up a few multis at 1.90 or 2.10 ......AND I could be dead wrong haha.....AND Watch out for the Colliwobblers





[ This Message was edited by: Floydyboy on 2004-07-05 18:20 ]

FRIDAY JULY 9 AEST
Collingwood vs Geelong
Telstra Dome 7:40 PM AEST

SATURDAY JULY 10 AEST
Hawthorn vs West Coast Eagles
York Park 1:10 PM AEST

Richmond vs Essendon
MCG 2:10 PM AEST

Sydney Swans vs Adelaide
S.C.G. 7:10 PM AEST

Fremantle vs Kangaroos
Subiaco Oval 5:40 PM AWST

SUNDAY JULY 11 AEST
Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs
Gabba 1:10 PM AEST

Melbourne vs St Kilda
MCG 2:10 PM AEST

Port Adelaide vs Carlton
AAMI Stadium 2:10 PM ACST

my tips
collingwood by 16
hawthorn by 10
Essendon by 22(if they dont win this week,they "re gone)
Swans by 24
Kangaroos by 4
brisbane by 48
melbourne by 26
port adelaide by 37
as far as multis go I am going to concentrate solely on brisbane -port in big roll your own double,that way there will be some money in the kitty
cheers

you could throw in the roosters for a bit more, better than bank interest

thanks GM havent looked at league yet.
To digress last night I had no money in sportodds account,but fancied following bets
greece to win$4.85
Draw-greece Ht/Ft double $9
Greece 1-0 $10
they all won ,hoey vay
cheers

Wouldn't that ******** you off,anyway i'll will wait until the days games in the nrl incase of late changes, but the roosters go better post origin, floogging the warriors 58-6, thats with injured and suspended players also, winning their past 5 after origin.
Looks an easy round barring injurys.

cheers

Gee.I'm sorry Floydyboy,but there's just not enough room in my fat guts for Hawthorn.
Made a mess of Mr J's weekend by writing off Richmond after he said he felt good about them.
BUT.
Unless Schwab gets sacked in the next 5 days,my guts is telling me that the eagles want to soar in September.

Thats fair enough but dont bet against em ...ya been warned .... I see Rabbitz has gone with me on hawthorn and collingwood well done rabs

The hawks only chance is if a couple more eagles retire LOL

Just had a look at the market Didnt think collingwood would be giving away points and I didnt think Hawthorn would be that skinny either

That 1.40 swannies looks a bit of value though in fact ill say i reckon theyll win by 20+

And you probably didn't think the Rabbitz would tip the Kangaroos to beat Fremantle at Subiaco either.

I'm tipping this will be the closest game of the round, as collingwood is improving and geelong had that hard game in the west last week.

Didnt have any thoughts in that direction
at all but Im gunna say what ever the rolly for the swans @ -20 is paying.. jump on
Ill be leaving Hawthorn and Collingwood alone because theres no value there I like a cushion and I doubt Ill be having a bet Im going to be without a computer from thursday till sunday.




[ This Message was edited by: Floydyboy on 2004-07-05 20:25 ]

Here's a new one. TAB Sportsbet are taking bets on how many of the home teams will win.

5 HOME TEAMS WIN $2.60
4 HOME TEAMS WIN $3.10
6 HOME TEAMS WIN $3.70
3 HOME TEAMS WIN $6.50
7 HOME TEAMS WIN $10.00
2 HOME TEAMS WIN $24.00
8 HOME TEAMS WIN $50.00
1 HOME TEAM WINS $170.00
NO HOME TEAM WINS $500.00


[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-07-05 21:27 ]

The Bludgers must have been reading this forum :lol:

I reckon 6 is a good number

[ This Message was edited by: Floydyboy on 2004-07-05 22:02 ]

Moe I still bet Richmond....

My Ratings:

Coll 94 Geel 110
Hawt 82 WCst 97
Rich 85 Ess 105
Syd 110 Adel 88
Frem 110 Kang 90
Bris 134 WBull 66
Melb 107 St.K 111
Port 128 Carl 76

Whew!
That means I can return that rope.

Looks like no bets on AFL for you this week Sportznut.
But I bet you come here on Monday and say "Guess who I backed?".

Collingwood Magpies Line-6.5
Hawthorn Hawks Line+7.5
Richmond Tigers Line+16.5
Sydney Swans Line-18.5
Kangaroos Line+16.5
St Kilda Saints To Win
Western Bulldogs Start+53.5
Carlton Blues Line+40.5
$218.00 x $1.00

And Ive done something Ive never ever done before ...Backed Queensland (only$6)
then its all up
Swans-18.5
St Kilda to win
Which are my 2 best for the weekend so far havent looked at the NRL yet though

[ This Message was edited by: floydyboy on 2004-07-06 13:23 ]

Port adelaide -40.5 =$1.90
Thats the only realistic start I can see so far
cheers

$2.05 sportsbet Geelong to beat Collingwood will do me for the weekend.

COLLINGWOOD v GEELONG

Collingwood have won 4 of the last 10 against geelong, winning 1 each from the 2 played at telstra dome, magpies have won 3/5 there this year.

last 4 H2H:
R14 2001 GEELONG 111-93 @ TELSTRA DOME
R15 2002 GEELONG 127-99 @ M.C.G
R 3 2003 COLLINGWOOD 116-69 @ M.C.G
R18 2003 COLLINGWOOD 97-73 @ TELSTRA DOME

HAWTHORN v WEST COAST

The hawks have won 5/6 at york pk overall, winning their only game there this year, while w/coast have played there once,losing 91-89 to hawthorn.

last 4 H2H:
R 8 2001 HAWTHORN 138-58 @ M.C.G
R 9 2002 W/COAST 126-88 @ SUBIACO
R 2 2003 HAWTHORN 91-89 @ YORK PK
R17 2003 W/COAST 98-42 @ SUBIACO

RICHMOND v ESSENDON

Richmond have only won 2 of the last 12 against essendon, all played at the m.c.g. Essendon have won 8/9 there this year while richmond have won 2/4.

last 4 H2H:
R 2 2002 ESSENDON 112-60 @ M.C.G
R17 2002 ESSENDON 54-53 @ M.C.G
R 7 2003 RICHMOND 84-42 @ M.C.G
R20 2003 ESSENDON 92-53 @ M.C.G

SWANS v ADELAIDE

The swans have won 2 of the last 6 against adelaide, losing the last 2 played at the s.c.g to them,the swans have won 5/6 at the s.c.g this year.

last 4 H2H:
R 3 2002 ADELAIDE 114-84 @ AAMI STADIUM
R18 2002 ADELAIDE 116-98 @ S.C.G
R 3 2003 ADELAIDE 103-76 @ S.C.G
R18 2003 ADELAIDE 97-93 @ AAMI STADIUM

FREMANTLE v KANGAROOS

Fremantle have won 2 of the last 6 against the kangaroos and winning only 1/3 that have been played at subiaco, whilst this year
they have won 5/8 at home.

last 4 H2H:
R11 2001 KANGAROOS 154-68 @ TELSTRA DOME
R15 2002 KANGAROOS 83-82 @ MANUKA OVAL
R 4 2003 FREMANTLE 167-122 @ SUBIACO
R19 2003 FREMANTLE 99-98 @ M.C.G

BRISBANE v WESTERN BULLDOGS

The lions have won 10/14 against the bulldogs, winning 6/8 at the gabba against them [last 6 straight].The lions have won 7/7 at the gabba this year.

last 4 H2H:
R 4 2002 LIONS 94-78 @ TELSTRA DOME
R19 2002 LIONS 105-67 @ GABBA
R 5 2003 LIONS 106-79 @ GABBA
R22 2003 LIONS 170-86 @ TELSTRA DOME

MELBOURNE v ST KILDA

Melb have won their last 6 against st kilda, with 4 of the last 5 played at the m.c.g,the demons have won 8/9 there this year while st kilda lost their only game there this year against the w/bulldogs 103-80.

last 4 H2H:
R10 2001 MELB 144-113 @ TELLSTRA DOME
R 7 2002 MELB 105-102 @ M.C.G
R22 2002 MELB 135-117 @ TELSTRA DOME
R13 2003 MELB 136-94 @ M.C.G

PORT ADELAIDE v CARLTON

Port have won 8/11 against carlton,winning 5/7 played at aami stadium, also port has won 7/8 at home this year.

last 4 H2H:
R 4 2002 PORT 148-95 @ AAMI STADIUM
R19 2002 PORT 54-45 @ OPTUS OVAL
R 4 2003 PORT 114-84 @ OPTUS OVAL
R19 2003 PORT 125-81 @ AAMI STADIUM

[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-07-07 13:54 ]

The bookie that advertises with Melbourne sport radio station SPORT SEN said the Bombers are going to belt the Tigers.
It's how he said it.I heard the vibe there big time.I must factor that into my selection.

And Goldmember.The little summary you provide us all with.Is that plagiarism or is that your own statistical analysis?

When I read them,I came up with this.
Adelaide a bonus of 10 points.
Bulldogs a bonus of 15 points.
Melbourne a bonus of 12 points.
And the bookies vibe gives the bombers 15 points.

Moeee, the little summary is my wording, from the stats i get from the AFL tables

Collingwood by 16 to start the weekend off on a winner.

Why are st kilda $2.30, are they all sick or what?, have they any players out

I think big Fraser had to front the tribunal

3 suspended - Brent Guerra copped a one-match ban, while Fraser Gehrig and Luke Penny will miss the club's next two games.
_________________
May the luck of the Irish be with you!

[ This Message was edited by: Paddy on 2004-07-07 18:39 ]

Market movement home team wins

5 HOME TEAMS WIN $2.65 (was $2.60)
4 HOME TEAMS WIN $3.20 (was $3.10)
6 HOME TEAMS WIN $3.75 (was $3.70)
3 HOME TEAMS WIN $6.75 (was $6.50)
7 HOME TEAMS WIN $8.50 (was $10.00)
2 HOME TEAMS WIN $24.00 (steady)
8 HOME TEAMS WIN $28 (was $50.00)
1 HOME TEAM WINS $50 (was $170.00)
NO HOME TEAM WINS $250.00 (was $500.00)

Collingwood -2.5 at 1.94.
West Coast -6.5 at 1.91.
Richmond +17.5 at 1.94.
Adelaide +15.5 at 2.00.
Bulldogs +51.5 at 1.97.
Kangaroos +15.5 at 1.97.
Port -42.5 at 1.91.

The -10.5 for Melbourne that the bookies seem to have is right in line with my spread.

Mr J
I take it that you bet individually on your selections
is that right.

Luke Penny appeal upheld
Richo returns

Yep rabbitz. I make my living off sportsbetting.

Lots of value this weekend backing underdogs with start.

geelong +4.5 +$1.87 in from $1.90
could be value
cheers

Can't get my roll your owns to set up.
Rabbitz!.How do you do it.
I am only taking line prices in my multi,but I only can get the $1.90 selections in my multi.
I want the $1.40 selections.
Don't tell me I have to go physically all up,a bet at a time.