Fri Jul 9 7:30
St Geo/Ill vs Brisbane

Sat Jul 10 5:30
Canberra vs N.Qld

Sat Jul 10 7:30
Parramatta vs Syd Roosters
Sharks vs N.Zld

Sun Jul 11 2:30
Manly vs W.Tigers

Sun Jul 11 3:00
Bulldogs vs Melbourne
Souths vs Penrith

My Ratings:

StG/I 36 Bris 26
Canb 30 N.Qld 20
Parra 18 SydR 40
Shrks 28 N.Zld 18
Man 20 W.Tig 22
Bull 38 Melb 24
Sou 22 Pen 28

Sportz an idea how Brisbane fare down at win stadium.
also(because Im too lazy to find out)how many players do both teams have backing up from origin.
Cheers

Sportz I think I'll be liking the Tigers a bit more than that. Think I'll be on the warriors again as well, don't think sharks deserve to be -10 against the warriors (or any team for that matter, probally not even souths!!!).

Think I also like the cowboys for a closer scoreline, maybe +6 although the bookies will probally have something more like your scoreline.

Wow, souths +6 against penrith? Injuries and SOO?? I guess that shows how much depth the panthers have in their squad...

I should check out how my system has done against pre-SOO games. Also wouldn't mind factoring injuries into my system, although that's pretty hard to do. You'd have to figure out how the missing players affects the scoreline compared to the replacement.

I'll be looking for more than 6 start for the RABBITOHS. I still remember our round 9 thrashing.

STGEORGE ILLAWARRA v BRONCOS

Stgeorge ill have won only 4/11 against the broncos, winning 2/3 played at wollongong, saints have won 2/4 there this year whilst broncos have won 5/6 away [losing 25-18 against the bulldogs in r8]

last 4 H2H:
R17 2002 BRONCOS 34-22 @ ANZ STADIUM
R17 2003 STGEORGE 32-16 @ WOLLONGONG
R26 2003 STGEORGE 26-25 @ SUNCORP
R12 2004 BRONCOS 24-22 @ SUNCORP

RAIDERS v COWBOYS

The raiders have won 13/16 against the cowboys, winning 7/8 at bruce stadium,this year the raiders have won 5/7 at home,[losing to penrith and broncos], while cowboys have 4 wins + 1 draw from 7 away.

last 4 H2H:
R19 2002 COWBOYS 34-18 @ DAIRY FARMERS
R 1 2003 RAIDERS 46-14 @ DAIRY FARMERS
R23 2003 COWBOYS 34-28 @ BRUCE STADIUM
R 3 2004 RAIDERS 19-18 @ DAIRY FARMERS

EELS v ROOSTERS

The eels have 3 wins + 1 draw in their last 12 against the roosters, eels have won 3/7 at home this year while the roosters have won 4/6 away[ losing to penrith and bulldogs]

last 4 H2H:
R11 2002 ROOSTERS 18- 4 @ PARRA STADIUM
R15 2002 DRAW 12-12 @ S.F.S
R 1 2003 ROOSTERS 32-14 @ S.F.S
R 8 2003 ROOSTERS 44-12 @ PARRA STADIUM

SHARKS v WARRIORS
The sharks have won only 1 of the last 6 against the warriors, winning 3/7 at home this year while warriors have won 2/6 away [against manly and souths]

last 4 H2H:
R17 2002 SHARKS 36-24 @ TOYOTA PK
FNL 2002 WARRIORS 16-10 @ STADIUM AUST
213 2003 WARRIORS 23- 6 @ ERICSSON
R19 2003 WARRIORS 31-24 @ TOYOTA PK

MANLY v W/TIGERS

Manly and w/tigers have met 3 times, with manly winning 1 and tiger 2, manly have won 2/8 at home this year,[against stgeorge and penrith],while the tigers have won 2/6 away.

last 4 H2H:
R13 2002 NTN EAGLES 42-18 @ BROOKVALE
R 4 2003 W/TIGERS 38-12 @ BROOKVALE
R13 2003 MANLY 38-30 @ LEICHARDT
R 7 2004 W/TIGERS 30-22 @ LEICHARDT

BULLDOGS v STORM

The bulldogs have won 9/13 against the storm, winning the last 8, bulldogs have won 5/5 at home this year[plus 2/3 neutrals]while storm have won 2/6 away[ against eels and knights].

last 4 H2H:
R25 2002 BULLDOGS 24-16 @ SHOWGROUNDS
R15 2003 BULLDOGS 26-12 @ OLYMPIC PK
R22 2003 BULLDOGS 50- 4 @ SHOWGROUNDS
FNL 2003 BULLDOGS 30- 0 @ S.F.S

SOUTHS v PENRITH

souths have won 3 of their last 10 against penrith, winning 1 of the last 4 at S.F.S against them, at home this year souths have won 3/6, while penrith have won 5/9 away.

last 4 H2H:
R24 2002 PENRITH 28-12 @ GOSFORD
R 6 2003 PENRITH 16-14 @ S.F.S
R18 2003 PENRITH 30-24 @ PENRITH PK
R 9 2004 PENRITH 38- 4 @ PENRITH PK

[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-07-07 12:44 ]

[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-07-07 13:01 ]

Post origin:

Teams most affected by origin,

2003
ORIGIN 1

BRONCOS beat raiders[away]
ROOSTERS beat cowboys [home]
BULLDOGS beat manly [home]

ORIGIN 2

BRONCOS beat roosters [home]
ROOSTERS lost broncos [away]
BULLDOGS lost penrith [away]

ORIGIN 3

BRONCOS beat storm [away]
ROOSTERS beat manly [away]
BULLDOGS bye

2004
ORIGIN 1

BRONCOS beat stgeorge [home]
ROOSTERS beat warriors [home]
BULLDOGS lost penrith [away]
STGEORGE lost broncos [away]
PENRITH beat bulldogs [home]
STORM beat knights [away]
COWBOYS bye

ORIGIN 2

BRONCOS beat eels [away]
ROOSTERS beat knights [home]
BULLDOGS beat raiders [neutral] home game
COWBOYS beat warriors [away]
PENRITH beat sharks [away]
STGEORGE beat w/tigers [home] only 1 player
STORM bye

ST HELENS -5.5 @ $1.46

Well, my system likes all dogs. All the underdogs and the bulldogs :wink:

I have most of the scorelines quite a bit closer.

And no, my system doesn't just pick underdogs. About 66% of the picks are underdogs though.

1 win from 3 against St Geo/Ill at Win Stadium. Saints won 32-16 there last year. And I think both teams have 6 players backing up from Origin.

The saints will probably cover the start here, -4.5, but i am going to back them -2.5 in the 2nd half handicap in case the broncos go with them early and fade in the 2nd 40 min. without carlaw, meyers and no recognised goal kicker [M.Devere] and tallis not 100% they might struggle.

The raiders will cover the start easily against the cowboys, +10.5 won't be enough, after they lost morrison, then bowman and campion and now sing, they wont come close.

Roosters will have no trouble against the eels, -9.5 is a gimmie as the eels have nothing, lucky hindmarch is there because it could be anything from 40-50 pt win.

Sharks should win but the 10.5 could go either way, with kimmorely out and peachy only 50/50 chance of playing and g.bird suspended again, gives the warriors a rough, VERY ROUGH chance.

Manly and W/tigers, what a pair of turnstyle teams, could be another 70 pt game again, manly at home -2.5 maybe, as they have less trouble scoring pts than the w/tigers do and they have lost S.Prince. [wont be betting on this]

Bulldogs wont have any trouble -5.5 against the storm, storm away are not much touble to the better teams ant wont get close.

Penrith should cover the +13.5 that souths have, with their players back,Campbell and Roberts at the halves [R.Wesser out]

Looks like it's Mr Js system vs Goldmember this weekend. They disagree on 5 games.

Yep mr j, thats how i see it this week, as it stands now, but i will be betting day by day, waiting to see if there are any key withdrawals tomorrow.

With D.Carlaw and B.Meyers out of tonights game,looks like B.Ikin will come in with either D.Stagg or T .Learoyd, for stgeorge J.Carlaw and M.Gasnier are out but havent heard who will replace them yet.

Goldmember wrote on 7-7-04
St helens at -5.5 @$1.46
I had exactly same roll your own into a couple of south american soccer games
which have both won into brisbane lions 40 +
Dividend $4.88
cheers

Gee.Certainly an apt user name.
You don't mind rooting around for a bit.I mean bet.

If things dont work out as I'd like ,I will be upset but at least I had a partridge in every pie
Cheers moestir

Offensive post censored.



[ This Message was edited by: moeee on 2004-07-12 11:27 ]

TAB Sportsbet's Home Wins Bet:

4 HOME TEAMS WIN $2.50
3 HOME TEAMS WIN $2.80
5 HOME TEAMS WIN $4.00
2 HOME TEAMS WIN $6.00
6 HOME TEAMS WIN $14.00
1 HOME TEAM WINS $25.00
7 HOME TEAMS WIN $80.00
NO HOME TEAM WINS $101.00

Raiders are no threat to the top teams, like i said a few months ago they are average, just as well the cowboys were ordinary in the 1st half otherwise they would have been beaten.